Inside Edge
San Diego Padres55.6% ER O 2.552.4% K O 4.540% HA O 5.5
Season
Best Performer
JP Sears goes over 4.5 hits allowed 80% of the time (4-1)
Props — 202527 games with closing lines
Hits Allowed
27g48.1%Over: 13-14
7vs O 4.5+115
vs
Diamondbacks9/28
Diamondbacks9/28✓✓✗✗✓✓✗✓✗✗
H: 37.5%(8)A: 41.7%(12)
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
3(11%)
Total Matchups
28Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Sears's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) | 33.3%(1-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 75%(3-1) | 66.7%(2-1) | 50%(2-2) | 50%(2-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 36.4%(4-7) | 66.7%(6-3) | 36.4%(4-7) | 42.9%(6-8) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★
9/28Left-handed starters have an ERA of 6.23 against the Diamondbacks in the past 30 days.
★★★★★
9/12Rockies hitters have a 1.5 star average matchup against Sears.
★★★★★
8/25Left-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Sears have an ERA of 4.75 against the Mariners since last year.
Game Log
Bet
$
53-58 Over111 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/28 | vsDiamondbacks | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 4 | W | +105 |
| 9/28 | vsDiamondbacks | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -160 |
| 9/28 | vsDiamondbacks | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 7 | W | +115 |
| 9/12 | vs Rockies | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 8 | W | +108 |
| 9/12 | vsRockies | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -165 |
| 9/12 | vsRockies | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 5 | W | +125 |
| 9/12 | vsRockies | Walks Allowed | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -249 |
| 8/25 | @ Mariners | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 2 | L | -120 |
| 8/25 | @Mariners | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -150 |
| 8/25 | @Mariners | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +125 |
| 8/25 | @Mariners | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +110 |
| 8/20 | vs Giants | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 2 | L | -134 |
| 8/20 | vsGiants | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +110 |
| 8/20 | vsGiants | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -115 |
| 8/20 | vsGiants | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +120 |
| 8/4 | @Diamondbacks | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 4 | L | +130 |
| 8/4 | @Diamondbacks | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -140 |
| 8/4 | @Diamondbacks | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 10 | W | -125 |
| 8/4 | @Diamondbacks | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +125 |
| 7/28 | vsMariners | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 6 | W | +105 |
| 7/28 | vsMariners | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -130 |
| 7/28 | vsMariners | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -165 |
| 7/28 | vsMariners | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -110 |
| 7/23 | @ Rangers | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 7 | W | +115 |
| 7/23 | @Rangers | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -135 |
| 7/23 | @Rangers | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +110 |
| 7/23 | @Rangers | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +100 |
| 7/18 | @ Guardians | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 5 | W | -155 |
| 7/18 | @Guardians | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 6 | W | -105 |
| 7/18 | @Guardians | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +120 |
| 7/18 | @Guardians | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -110 |
| 7/10 | vs Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 6 | W | +132 |
| 7/10 | vsBraves | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 6 | W | -165 |
| 7/10 | vsBraves | Earned Runs | O 3.5 | 3 | L | +115 |
| 7/10 | vsBraves | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 4 | L | -115 |
| 7/10 | vsBraves | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -120 |
| 7/4 | vsGiants | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 6 | W | +105 |
| 7/4 | vsGiants | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -150 |
| 7/4 | vsGiants | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +110 |
| 7/4 | vsGiants | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -105 |
| 6/28 | @ Yankees | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 4 | L | +125 |
| 6/28 | @Yankees | Earned Runs | O 3.5 | 0 | L | +100 |
| 6/28 | @Yankees | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 2 | L | -105 |
| 6/28 | @Yankees | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -130 |
| 6/22 | vsGuardians | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 5 | W | -190 |
| 6/22 | vsGuardians | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 5 | W | +125 |
| 6/22 | vsGuardians | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -140 |
| 6/22 | vsGuardians | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 7 | W | +100 |
| 6/22 | vsGuardians | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -115 |
| 6/17 | vs Astros | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 0 | L | +106 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does JP Sears hit the over on pitcher ks 4.5?
JP Sears hits the over on pitcher ks 4.5 52.4% of the time in 2025, going 11-10 with an average actual of 4.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$256.
How often does JP Sears hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
JP Sears hits the over on earned runs 2.5 55.6% of the time in 2025, going 10-8 with an average actual of 3.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$84.
How often does JP Sears hit the over on hits allowed 5.5?
JP Sears hits the over on hits allowed 5.5 40% of the time in 2025, going 8-12 with an average actual of 5.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$533.
How often does JP Sears hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
JP Sears hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 40% of the time in 2025, going 10-15 with an average actual of 1.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$487.
What are JP Sears's best prop bets in 2025?
JP Sears's highest-hitting props in 2025: Earned Runs O 2.5 at 55.6% (10-8); Pitcher Ks O 4.5 at 52.4% (11-10); Hits Allowed O 5.5 at 40% (8-12).