Inside Edge
San Diego Padres55.6% ER O 2.552.4% K O 4.540% HA O 5.5
Season
All JP Sears propsProps — 202527 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
27g48.1%Over: 13-14
2vs O 1.5-160
vs
Diamondbacks9/28
Diamondbacks9/28✓✓✓✗✓✗✗✓✗✗
H: 50%(8)A: 60%(10)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
3(11%)
Total Matchups
28Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Sears's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) | 33.3%(1-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 75%(3-1) | 66.7%(2-1) | 50%(2-2) | 50%(2-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 36.4%(4-7) | 66.7%(6-3) | 36.4%(4-7) | 42.9%(6-8) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★
9/28Left-handed starters have an ERA of 6.23 against the Diamondbacks in the past 30 days.
★★★★★
9/12Rockies hitters have a 1.5 star average matchup against Sears.
★★★★★
8/25Left-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Sears have an ERA of 4.75 against the Mariners since last year.
Game Log
Bet
$
13-14 Over27g · 27 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/28 | vsDiamondbacks | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -160 |
| 9/12 | vs Rockies | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -165 |
| 8/25 | @ Mariners | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -150 |
| 8/20 | vs Giants | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +110 |
| 8/4 | @Diamondbacks | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -140 |
| 7/28 | vsMariners | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -130 |
| 7/23 | @ Rangers | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -135 |
| 7/18 | @ Guardians | O 2.5 | 6 | W | -105 |
| 7/10 | vs Braves | O 3.5 | 3 | L | +115 |
| 7/4 | vsGiants | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -150 |
| 6/28 | @ Yankees | O 3.5 | 0 | L | +100 |
| 6/22 | vsGuardians | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -140 |
| 6/17 | vs Astros | O 3.5 | 5 | W | +125 |
| 6/11 | @ Angels | O 3.5 | 2 | L | +120 |
| 6/6 | vs Orioles | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -155 |
| 6/1 | @ Blue Jays | O 3.5 | 2 | L | +100 |
| 5/27 | @Astros | O 2.5 | 9 | W | -160 |
| 5/21 | vsAngels | O 2.5 | 6 | W | -165 |
| 5/16 | @Giants | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -120 |
| 5/10 | vsYankees | O 3.5 | 1 | L | +115 |
| 5/4 | @ Marlins | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -110 |
| 4/28 | @Rangers | O 3.5 | 1 | L | +120 |
| 4/23 | vsRangers | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -165 |
| 4/17 | @ White Sox | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -110 |
| 4/11 | vs Mets | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -140 |
| 4/5 | @Rockies | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -145 |
| 3/30 | @Mariners | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -110 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does JP Sears hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
JP Sears hits the over on earned runs 2.5 55.6% of the time in 2025, going 10-8 with an average actual of 3.1.
Is JP Sears over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 27 games in 2025, betting $100 on JP Sears over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$436 (-16.15% ROI). The hit rate is 55.6% with an average actual of 3.1.
What is JP Sears's earned runs average this season?
JP Sears averages 3.1 earned runs per game in 2025 across 27 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.