Inside Edge
San Diego Padres55.6% ER O 2.552.4% K O 4.540% HA O 5.5
Season
All JP Sears propsProps — 202527 games with closing lines
Hits Allowed
27g48.1%Over: 13-14
7vs O 4.5+115
vs
Diamondbacks9/28
Diamondbacks9/28✓✓✗✗✓✓✗✓✗✗
H: 37.5%(8)A: 41.7%(12)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
3(11%)
Total Matchups
28Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Sears's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) | 33.3%(1-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 75%(3-1) | 66.7%(2-1) | 50%(2-2) | 50%(2-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 36.4%(4-7) | 66.7%(6-3) | 36.4%(4-7) | 42.9%(6-8) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★
9/28Left-handed starters have an ERA of 6.23 against the Diamondbacks in the past 30 days.
★★★★★
9/12Rockies hitters have a 1.5 star average matchup against Sears.
★★★★★
8/25Left-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Sears have an ERA of 4.75 against the Mariners since last year.
Game Log
Bet
$
13-14 Over27g · 27 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/28 | vsDiamondbacks | O 4.5 | 7 | W | +115 |
| 9/12 | vs Rockies | O 4.5 | 5 | W | +125 |
| 8/25 | @ Mariners | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +125 |
| 8/20 | vs Giants | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -115 |
| 8/4 | @Diamondbacks | O 5.5 | 10 | W | -125 |
| 7/28 | vsMariners | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -165 |
| 7/23 | @ Rangers | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +110 |
| 7/18 | @ Guardians | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +120 |
| 7/10 | vs Braves | O 5.5 | 4 | L | -115 |
| 7/4 | vsGiants | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +110 |
| 6/28 | @ Yankees | O 5.5 | 2 | L | -105 |
| 6/22 | vsGuardians | O 5.5 | 7 | W | +100 |
| 6/17 | vs Astros | O 6.5 | 5 | L | +110 |
| 6/11 | @ Angels | O 5.5 | 4 | L | -125 |
| 6/6 | vs Orioles | O 5.5 | 4 | L | -165 |
| 6/1 | @ Blue Jays | O 6.5 | 7 | W | +110 |
| 5/27 | @Astros | O 5.5 | 10 | W | -160 |
| 5/21 | vsAngels | O 5.5 | 8 | W | -160 |
| 5/16 | @Giants | O 5.5 | 6 | W | -125 |
| 5/10 | vsYankees | O 5.5 | 4 | L | -125 |
| 5/4 | @ Marlins | O 5.5 | 4 | L | -125 |
| 4/28 | @Rangers | O 5.5 | 5 | L | -118 |
| 4/23 | vsRangers | O 5.5 | 5 | L | -145 |
| 4/17 | @ White Sox | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +110 |
| 4/11 | vs Mets | O 5.5 | 6 | W | -110 |
| 4/5 | @Rockies | O 5.5 | 6 | W | -140 |
| 3/30 | @Mariners | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -130 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does JP Sears hit the over on hits allowed 5.5?
JP Sears hits the over on hits allowed 5.5 40% of the time in 2025, going 8-12 with an average actual of 5.3.
Is JP Sears over 5.5 hits allowed a good bet?
Based on 27 games in 2025, betting $100 on JP Sears over 5.5 hits allowed at best closing odds has returned -$245 (-9.07% ROI). The hit rate is 40% with an average actual of 5.3.
What is JP Sears's hits allowed average this season?
JP Sears averages 5.3 hits allowed per game in 2025 across 27 games. The primary line is set at 5.5.