Inside Edge
San Diego Padres55.6% ER O 2.552.4% K O 4.540% HA O 5.5
Season
All JP Sears propsProps — 202527 games with closing lines
Pitcher Ks
27g48.1%Over: 13-14
4vs O 3.5+105
vs
Diamondbacks9/28
Diamondbacks9/28✓✓✗✗✗✓✓✓✓✓
H: 63.6%(11)A: 40%(10)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
3(11%)
Total Matchups
28Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Sears's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) | 33.3%(1-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 75%(3-1) | 66.7%(2-1) | 50%(2-2) | 50%(2-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 36.4%(4-7) | 66.7%(6-3) | 36.4%(4-7) | 42.9%(6-8) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★
9/28Left-handed starters have an ERA of 6.23 against the Diamondbacks in the past 30 days.
★★★★★
9/12Rockies hitters have a 1.5 star average matchup against Sears.
★★★★★
8/25Left-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Sears have an ERA of 4.75 against the Mariners since last year.
Game Log
Bet
$
16-15 Over27g · 31 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/28 | vsDiamondbacks | O 3.5 | 4 | W | +105 |
| 9/12 | vs Rockies | O 4.5 | 8 | W | +108 |
| 8/25 | @ Mariners | O 4.5 | 2 | L | -120 |
| 8/20 | vs Giants | O 4.5 | 2 | L | -134 |
| 8/4 | @Diamondbacks | O 4.5 | 4 | L | +130 |
| 7/28 | vsMariners | O 4.5 | 6 | W | +105 |
| 7/23 | @ Rangers | O 4.5 | 7 | W | +115 |
| 7/18 | @ Guardians | O 3.5 | 5 | W | -155 |
| 7/10 | vs Braves | O 4.5 | 6 | W | +132 |
| 7/10 | vsBraves | O 3.5 | 6 | W | -165 |
| 7/4 | vsGiants | O 4.5 | 6 | W | +105 |
| 6/28 | @ Yankees | O 4.5 | 4 | L | +125 |
| 6/22 | vsGuardians | O 3.5 | 5 | W | -190 |
| 6/22 | vsGuardians | O 4.5 | 5 | W | +125 |
| 6/17 | vs Astros | O 3.5 | 0 | L | +106 |
| 6/11 | @ Angels | O 4.5 | 9 | W | +120 |
| 6/6 | vs Orioles | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -110 |
| 6/1 | @ Blue Jays | O 3.5 | 3 | L | -115 |
| 5/27 | @Astros | O 3.5 | 1 | L | -115 |
| 5/21 | vsAngels | O 4.5 | 4 | L | +120 |
| 5/16 | @Giants | O 3.5 | 2 | L | -166 |
| 5/16 | @Giants | O 4.5 | 2 | L | +110 |
| 5/10 | vsYankees | O 4.5 | 4 | L | +100 |
| 5/4 | @ Marlins | O 4.5 | 2 | L | -105 |
| 4/28 | @Rangers | O 4.5 | 7 | W | +100 |
| 4/23 | vsRangers | O 4.5 | 5 | W | +112 |
| 4/23 | vsRangers | O 3.5 | 5 | W | -165 |
| 4/17 | @ White Sox | O 4.5 | 2 | L | -122 |
| 4/11 | vs Mets | O 4.5 | 7 | W | +116 |
| 4/5 | @Rockies | O 5.5 | 2 | L | +115 |
| 3/30 | @Mariners | O 4.5 | 7 | W | +118 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does JP Sears hit the over on pitcher ks 4.5?
JP Sears hits the over on pitcher ks 4.5 52.4% of the time in 2025, going 11-10 with an average actual of 4.9.
Is JP Sears over 4.5 pitcher ks a good bet?
Based on 27 games in 2025, betting $100 on JP Sears over 4.5 pitcher ks at best closing odds has returned +$26 (+0.96% ROI). The hit rate is 52.4% with an average actual of 4.9.
What is JP Sears's pitcher ks average this season?
JP Sears averages 4.9 pitcher ks per game in 2025 across 27 games. The primary line is set at 4.5.