Inside Edge
New York Yankees60% ER O 2.557.1% K O 4.555.6% BBA O 1.5
Season
All Clarke Schmidt propsProps — 202513 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
12g50%Over: 6-6
3vs O 2.5+110
@
Blue Jays7/3
Blue Jays7/3✓✓✗✗✗✓✗✓✗✓
H: 40%(5)A: 80%(5)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(13%)
Total Matchups
15Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Schmidt's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) | 66.7%(2-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(1-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 50%(2-2) | 25%(1-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 33.3%(1-2) | 0%(0-2) | 100%(2-0) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★
7/3Current Blue Jays hitters are batting .218 in their last 55 AB's against Schmidt, but other matchup data favors the Blue Jays.
★★★★★
6/28Current Athletics hitters are batting .246 against right-handers who rely heavily on both the slider and curve like like Schmidt over the the last two years.
★★★★★
6/21Pitchers with similar repertoires to Schmidt have an ERA of 4.26 against the Orioles over the last year.
Game Log
Bet
$
7-6 Over12g · 13 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/3 | @Blue Jays | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +110 |
| 6/28 | vs Athletics | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -175 |
| 6/28 | vsAthletics | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +145 |
| 6/21 | vs Orioles | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -115 |
| 6/16 | vs Angels | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -175 |
| 6/11 | @ Royals | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -110 |
| 6/4 | vs Guardians | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +110 |
| 5/28 | @Angels | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -155 |
| 5/23 | @ Rockies | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -110 |
| 5/17 | vs Mets | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +100 |
| 5/12 | @ Mariners | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +105 |
| 5/6 | vs Padres | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +120 |
| 4/21 | @Guardians | O 2.5 | 5 | W | +115 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Clarke Schmidt hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Clarke Schmidt hits the over on earned runs 2.5 60% of the time in 2025, going 6-4 with an average actual of 2.5.
Is Clarke Schmidt over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 12 games in 2025, betting $100 on Clarke Schmidt over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned +$76 (+6.33% ROI). The hit rate is 60% with an average actual of 2.5.
What is Clarke Schmidt's earned runs average this season?
Clarke Schmidt averages 2.5 earned runs per game in 2025 across 12 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.