Arizona Diamondbacks86.7% K O 2.557.1% BBA O 1.555.6% OUT O 17.5
Season
Best Performer
Ryne Nelson goes over 1.5 pitcher ks 90% of the time (9-1)
Props — 202615 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(7%)
Total Matchups
14Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Nelson's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 2.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | — | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 75%(3-1) | 50%(2-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 50%(2-2) | 33.3%(1-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 85.7%(6-1) | 33.3%(2-4) | 50%(3-3) | 50%(1-1) | 57.1%(4-3) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Walbert Ureña
6/15Current Angels hitters have struck out 26.3% of the time against pitchers similar to Nelson over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Angels.
★★★★★vs Ryan Gusto
6/10Right-handed starters have an ERA of 3.91 against the Marlins since last season, but other matchup data favors the Marlins.
★★★★★vs Justin Wrobleski
6/4Current Dodgers hitters have struck out 25.3% of the time against pitchers similar to Nelson over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Dodgers.
Game Log
Bet
$
80-106 Over186 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/15 | vs Angels | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 5 | W | -325 |
| 6/15 | vsAngels | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -800 |
| 6/15 | vsAngels | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 21 | W | -122 |
| 6/15 | vsAngels | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 5 | L | +1320 |
| 6/15 | vsAngels | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 5 | L | +640 |
| 6/15 | vsAngels | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -145 |
| 6/15 | vsAngels | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +152 |
| 6/15 | vsAngels | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 5 | L | +320 |
| 6/15 | vsAngels | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 9 | W | -120 |
| 6/15 | vsAngels | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -132 |
| 6/10 | @ Marlins | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 2 | L | +118 |
| 6/10 | @Marlins | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 2 | L | -203 |
| 6/10 | @Marlins | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 2 | L | +1760 |
| 6/10 | @Marlins | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -553 |
| 6/10 | @Marlins | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 2 | L | +261 |
| 6/10 | @Marlins | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 12 | L | -148 |
| 6/10 | @Marlins | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 2 | L | +592 |
| 6/10 | @Marlins | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 2 | L | +1220 |
| 6/10 | @Marlins | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -2500 |
| 6/10 | @Marlins | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 7 | W | -103 |
| 6/10 | @Marlins | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 8 | W | -117 |
| 6/10 | @Marlins | Outs Recorded | O 18.5 | 12 | L | +125 |
| 6/10 | @Marlins | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +104 |
| 6/4 | vs Dodgers | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 3 | L | +126 |
| 6/4 | vsDodgers | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -477 |
| 6/4 | vsDodgers | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 3 | L | +580 |
| 6/4 | vsDodgers | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 3 | L | -180 |
| 6/4 | vsDodgers | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +273 |
| 6/4 | vsDodgers | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 21 | W | +112 |
| 6/4 | vsDodgers | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 3 | L | +1180 |
| 6/4 | vsDodgers | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -1980 |
| 6/4 | vsDodgers | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +104 |
| 6/4 | vsDodgers | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -118 |
| 6/4 | vsDodgers | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -124 |
| 6/4 | vsDodgers | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 21 | W | -117 |
| 5/30 | @ Mariners | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +136 |
| 5/30 | @Mariners | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -158 |
| 5/30 | @Mariners | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -1100 |
| 5/30 | @Mariners | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 3 | L | +290 |
| 5/30 | @Mariners | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 3 | L | +630 |
| 5/30 | @Mariners | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 3 | L | -386 |
| 5/30 | @Mariners | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 16 | L | -162 |
| 5/30 | @Mariners | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -128 |
| 5/30 | @Mariners | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +114 |
| 5/30 | @Mariners | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 3 | L | +1760 |
| 5/30 | @Mariners | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 3 | L | +1060 |
| 5/30 | @Mariners | Outs Recorded | O 18.5 | 16 | L | +128 |
| 5/30 | @Mariners | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -118 |
| 5/24 | vs Rockies | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -810 |
| 5/24 | vsRockies | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 3 | L | +670 |
Arizona Diamondbacks Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Ryne Nelson hit the over on pitcher ks 2.5?
Ryne Nelson hits the over on pitcher ks 2.5 86.7% of the time in 2026, going 13-2 with an average actual of 4.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$38.
How often does Ryne Nelson hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Ryne Nelson hits the over on earned runs 2.5 42.9% of the time in 2026, going 6-8 with an average actual of 2.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$194.
How often does Ryne Nelson hit the over on hits allowed 5.5?
Ryne Nelson hits the over on hits allowed 5.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 6-6 with an average actual of 5.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$85.
How often does Ryne Nelson hit the over on outs recorded 17.5?
Ryne Nelson hits the over on outs recorded 17.5 55.6% of the time in 2026, going 5-4 with an average actual of 17. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$8.
How often does Ryne Nelson hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Ryne Nelson hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 57.1% of the time in 2026, going 8-6 with an average actual of 1.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$193.
What are Ryne Nelson's best prop bets in 2026?
Ryne Nelson's highest-hitting props in 2026: Pitcher Ks O 2.5 at 86.7% (13-2); Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 57.1% (8-6); Outs Recorded O 17.5 at 55.6% (5-4).
Inside Edge