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Players/MLB/Arizona Diamondbacks/Ryne Nelson
Ryne Nelson

Ryne Nelson

Arizona Diamondbacks•Pitcher•2026
5.16ERA62K80.3IP6.9K/915G
5.16ERA62K80.3IP6.9K/915G
57.1% OUT O 16.557.1% BBA O 1.550% HA O 5.5
Season
Best Performer

Ryne Nelson goes over 1.5 walks allowed 57.1% of the time (8-6)

Props — 202615 games with closing lines

Pitcher Ks

15g
avg 4.1
33.3%Over: 5-10
5vs O 4.5-145
vsAngels6/15
āœ“āœ—āœ—āœ—āœ—āœ—āœ“āœ“āœ—āœ—
H: 25%(8)A: 42.9%(7)

Earned Runs

15g
avg 3.1
46.7%Over: 7-8
2vs O 2.5-132
vsAngels6/15
āœ—āœ“āœ—āœ“āœ—āœ“āœ“āœ—āœ—āœ“
H: 28.6%(7)A: 57.1%(7)

Hits Allowed

15g
avg 5.4
53.3%Over: 8-7
9vs O 5.5-120
vsAngels6/15
āœ“āœ“āœ—āœ“āœ“āœ“āœ—āœ—āœ—āœ“
H: 62.5%(8)A: 25%(4)

Outs Recorded

15g
avg 16.7
60%Over: 9-6
21vs O 17.5-122
vsAngels6/15
āœ“āœ—āœ“āœ—āœ“āœ“āœ“āœ“āœ“āœ“
H: 50%(4)A: 66.7%(3)

Walks Allowed

14g
avg 1.6
57.1%Over: 8-6
1vs O 1.5+104
@Marlins6/10
āœ—āœ“āœ—āœ“āœ“āœ—āœ—āœ“āœ“āœ—
H: 71.4%(7)A: 42.9%(7)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
2ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…
5-Star Games
1(7%)
Total Matchups
14
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Nelson's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsPitcher KsO 4.5Earned RunsO 2.5Hits AllowedO 5.5Outs RecordedO 16.5Walks AllowedO 1.5
ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…100%(1-0)100%(1-0)——0%(0-1)
ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…25%(1-3)50%(2-2)66.7%(2-1)100%(1-0)33.3%(1-2)
ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…50%(1-1)50%(1-1)50%(1-1)0%(0-1)100%(2-0)
ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…28.6%(2-5)33.3%(2-4)50%(3-3)75%(3-1)57.1%(4-3)

Recent Scouting Notes

ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…vs Walbert UreƱa
6/15

Current Angels hitters have struck out 26.3% of the time against pitchers similar to Nelson over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Angels.

ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…vs Ryan Gusto
6/10

Right-handed starters have an ERA of 3.91 against the Marlins since last season, but other matchup data favors the Marlins.

ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…vs Justin Wrobleski
6/4

Current Dodgers hitters have struck out 25.3% of the time against pitchers similar to Nelson over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Dodgers.

Game Log

Bet
$
80-106 Over186 props
Date ↓OppMarketLineActualResultOdds
6/15vsAngelsPitcher KsO 3.55W-325
6/15vsAngelsPitcher KsO 2.55W-800
6/15vsAngelsOuts RecordedO 17.521W-122
6/15vsAngelsPitcher KsO 8.55L+1320
6/15vsAngelsPitcher KsO 7.55L+640
6/15vsAngelsPitcher KsO 4.55W-145
6/15vsAngelsPitcher KsO 5.55L+152
6/15vsAngelsPitcher KsO 6.55L+320
6/15vsAngelsHits AllowedO 5.59W-120
6/15vsAngelsEarned RunsO 2.52L-132
6/10@MarlinsPitcher KsO 4.52L+118
6/10@MarlinsPitcher KsO 3.52L-203
6/10@MarlinsPitcher KsO 8.52L+1760
6/10@MarlinsPitcher KsO 2.52L-553
6/10@MarlinsPitcher KsO 5.52L+261
6/10@MarlinsOuts RecordedO 17.512L-148
6/10@MarlinsPitcher KsO 6.52L+592
6/10@MarlinsPitcher KsO 7.52L+1220
6/10@MarlinsPitcher KsO 1.52W-2500
6/10@MarlinsEarned RunsO 2.57W-103
6/10@MarlinsHits AllowedO 5.58W-117
6/10@MarlinsOuts RecordedO 18.512L+125
6/10@MarlinsWalks AllowedO 1.51L+104
6/4vsDodgersPitcher KsO 4.53L+126
6/4vsDodgersPitcher KsO 2.53W-477
6/4vsDodgersPitcher KsO 6.53L+580
6/4vsDodgersPitcher KsO 3.53L-180
6/4vsDodgersPitcher KsO 5.53L+273
6/4vsDodgersOuts RecordedO 17.521W+112
6/4vsDodgersPitcher KsO 7.53L+1180
6/4vsDodgersPitcher KsO 1.53W-1980
6/4vsDodgersHits AllowedO 5.55L+104
6/4vsDodgersEarned RunsO 2.52L-118
6/4vsDodgersWalks AllowedO 1.52W-124
6/4vsDodgersOuts RecordedO 16.521W-117
5/30@MarinersPitcher KsO 5.53L+136
5/30@MarinersPitcher KsO 4.53L-158
5/30@MarinersPitcher KsO 2.53W-1100
5/30@MarinersPitcher KsO 6.53L+290
5/30@MarinersPitcher KsO 7.53L+630
5/30@MarinersPitcher KsO 3.53L-386
5/30@MarinersOuts RecordedO 17.516L-162
5/30@MarinersHits AllowedO 4.57W-128
5/30@MarinersEarned RunsO 2.54W+114
5/30@MarinersPitcher KsO 9.53L+1760
5/30@MarinersPitcher KsO 8.53L+1060
5/30@MarinersOuts RecordedO 18.516L+128
5/30@MarinersWalks AllowedO 1.50L-118
5/24vsRockiesPitcher KsO 2.53W-810
5/24vsRockiesPitcher KsO 7.53L+670

Arizona Diamondbacks Teammates

View all
Corbin CarrollGeraldo PerdomoKetel MarteNolan ArenadoGabriel MorenoIldemaro VargasRyan WaldschmidtLars NootbaarTim TawaAdrian Del CastilloLourdes Gurriel Jr.Jose FernandezTommy TroyJorge BarrosaMax Kepler

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Ryne Nelson hit the over on pitcher ks 4.5?
Ryne Nelson hits the over on pitcher ks 4.5 33.3% of the time in 2026, going 5-10 with an average actual of 4.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$589.
How often does Ryne Nelson hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Ryne Nelson hits the over on earned runs 2.5 42.9% of the time in 2026, going 6-8 with an average actual of 2.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$194.
How often does Ryne Nelson hit the over on hits allowed 5.5?
Ryne Nelson hits the over on hits allowed 5.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 6-6 with an average actual of 5.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$85.
How often does Ryne Nelson hit the over on outs recorded 16.5?
Ryne Nelson hits the over on outs recorded 16.5 57.1% of the time in 2026, going 4-3 with an average actual of 15.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$77.
How often does Ryne Nelson hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Ryne Nelson hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 57.1% of the time in 2026, going 8-6 with an average actual of 1.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$193.
What are Ryne Nelson's best prop bets in 2026?
Ryne Nelson's highest-hitting props in 2026: Outs Recorded O 16.5 at 57.1% (4-3); Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 57.1% (8-6); Hits Allowed O 5.5 at 50% (6-6).

Ryne Nelson 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.15 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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