Inside Edge
Arizona Diamondbacks90% K O 2.560% BBA O 1.550% OUT O 16.5
Season
Best Performer
Ryne Nelson goes over 2.5 pitcher ks 90% of the time (9-1)
Props — 202610 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
1.7★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(11%)
Total Matchups
9Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Nelson's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 2.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 16.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | — | 0%(0-1) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 83.3%(5-1) | 40%(2-3) | 40%(2-3) | 50%(3-3) | 75%(3-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Landen Roupp
5/19Giants hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Nelson.
★★★★★vs Kumar Rocker
5/13Current Rangers hitters have struck out 27.9% of the time against top-tier right-handed pitchers like Nelson over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
★★★★★vs Nolan McLean
5/8Mets hitters have a 3.5 star average matchup against Nelson.
Game Log
Bet
$
59-66 Over125 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/19 | vs Giants | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -106 |
| 5/19 | vsGiants | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -750 |
| 5/19 | vsGiants | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +220 |
| 5/19 | vsGiants | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 3 | L | +470 |
| 5/19 | vsGiants | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 3 | L | -270 |
| 5/19 | vsGiants | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 3 | L | +650 |
| 5/19 | vsGiants | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 3 | L | +1320 |
| 5/19 | vsGiants | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 8 | W | +100 |
| 5/19 | vsGiants | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +113 |
| 5/19 | vsGiants | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 21 | W | -150 |
| 5/19 | vsGiants | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +140 |
| 5/19 | vsGiants | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -3900 |
| 5/13 | @ Rangers | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 8 | W | +340 |
| 5/13 | @Rangers | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 8 | W | +175 |
| 5/13 | @Rangers | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 8 | W | +680 |
| 5/13 | @Rangers | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 8 | W | -275 |
| 5/13 | @Rangers | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 8 | W | -700 |
| 5/13 | @Rangers | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 8 | W | -120 |
| 5/13 | @Rangers | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 21 | W | -118 |
| 5/13 | @Rangers | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -151 |
| 5/13 | @Rangers | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -103 |
| 5/13 | @Rangers | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 8 | L | +1340 |
| 5/13 | @Rangers | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +104 |
| 5/8 | vs Mets | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 7 | W | +100 |
| 5/8 | vsMets | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 7 | W | +440 |
| 5/8 | vsMets | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 7 | W | -600 |
| 5/8 | vsMets | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 7 | W | +210 |
| 5/8 | vsMets | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 7 | W | -220 |
| 5/8 | vsMets | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 20 | W | -102 |
| 5/8 | vsMets | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 7 | W | -3100 |
| 5/8 | vsMets | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 7 | L | +890 |
| 5/8 | vsMets | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -105 |
| 5/8 | vsMets | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 2 | L | +125 |
| 5/8 | vsMets | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 2 | L | -160 |
| 5/8 | vsMets | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -114 |
| 5/8 | vsMets | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 20 | W | -129 |
| 5/8 | vsMets | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 7 | L | +1820 |
| 5/2 | @ Cubs | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 4 | L | +106 |
| 5/2 | @Cubs | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -579 |
| 5/2 | @Cubs | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 4 | W | -219 |
| 5/2 | @Cubs | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +228 |
| 5/2 | @Cubs | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 4 | L | +472 |
| 5/2 | @Cubs | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 17 | W | -105 |
| 5/2 | @Cubs | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -2500 |
| 5/2 | @Cubs | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 4 | L | +960 |
| 5/2 | @Cubs | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 4 | L | +1520 |
| 5/2 | @Cubs | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +104 |
| 5/2 | @Cubs | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -139 |
| 5/2 | @Cubs | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -194 |
| 5/2 | @Cubs | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 17 | W | -130 |
Arizona Diamondbacks Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Ryne Nelson hit the over on pitcher ks 2.5?
Ryne Nelson hits the over on pitcher ks 2.5 90% of the time in 2026, going 9-1 with an average actual of 4.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$83.
How often does Ryne Nelson hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Ryne Nelson hits the over on earned runs 2.5 44.4% of the time in 2026, going 4-5 with an average actual of 2.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$105.
How often does Ryne Nelson hit the over on hits allowed 5.5?
Ryne Nelson hits the over on hits allowed 5.5 37.5% of the time in 2026, going 3-5 with an average actual of 4.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$249.
How often does Ryne Nelson hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Ryne Nelson hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 60% of the time in 2026, going 6-4 with an average actual of 1.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$166.
How often does Ryne Nelson hit the over on outs recorded 16.5?
Ryne Nelson hits the over on outs recorded 16.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 3-3 with an average actual of 14.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$9.
What are Ryne Nelson's best prop bets in 2026?
Ryne Nelson's highest-hitting props in 2026: Pitcher Ks O 2.5 at 90% (9-1); Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 60% (6-4); Outs Recorded O 16.5 at 50% (3-3).