Ildemaro Vargas

Ildemaro Vargas

Arizona DiamondbacksTwo-Way Player2026
Reg0.253 / 7 HR / 46 RBI / 67 H / 1 SB / 74G
70% HRR O 0.558.3% H O 0.545.7% 1B O 0.5
Season
Best Performer

Ildemaro Vargas goes over 0.5 hits+runs+rbis 70% of the time (49-21-7)

Props — 202680 games with closing lines

Hits

79g
avg 0.3
58.3%Over: 42-30-7
0vs O 0.5-160
@Padres7/6
PP
H: 52.5%(40)A: 53.8%(39)

RBIs

79g
avg 0.3
29.2%Over: 21-51-7
0vs O 0.5+287
@Padres7/6
PP
H: 25%(40)A: 28.2%(39)
avg 0.2
36.1%Over: 26-46-7
0vs O 0.5+180
@Padres7/6
PP
H: 27.5%(40)A: 38.5%(39)
avg 0
7%Over: 5-66-8
0vs O 0.5+1360
@Padres7/6
PP
H: 7.5%(40)A: 5.1%(39)
avg 0.4
33.3%Over: 24-48-7
0vs O 1.5+201
@Padres7/6
PP
H: 27.5%(40)A: 34.2%(38)
avg 0
1.4%Over: 1-70-6
0vs O 0.5+2100
@Padres7/6
P
H: 2.5%(40)A: 0%(37)
avg 0.1
12.9%Over: 9-61-7
0vs O 0.5+514
@Padres7/6
PP
H: 5.3%(38)A: 17.9%(39)
avg 0.8
70%Over: 49-21-7
0vs O 0.5-216
@Padres7/6
PP
H: 63.2%(38)A: 64.1%(39)
avg 0.2
45.7%Over: 32-38-7
0vs O 0.5-105
@Padres7/6
PP
H: 39.5%(38)A: 43.6%(39)
avg 0.3
35.8%Over: 24-43-4
0vs O 0.5+112
@Padres7/6
P
H: 28.6%(35)A: 38.9%(36)
avg 0.3
19.4%Over: 13-54-3
0vs O 0.5+312
@Padres7/6
P
H: 22.2%(36)A: 14.7%(34)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
2.8
5-Star Games
6(7%)
Total Matchups
90
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Vargas's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

StarsHitsO 0.5RBIsO 0.5Home RunsO 0.5
50%(2-2)25%(1-3)0%(0-4)
23.5%(4-13)17.6%(3-14)0%(0-18)
47.8%(11-12)30.4%(7-16)8.7%(2-21)
78.9%(15-4)26.3%(5-14)5.6%(1-17)
62.5%(10-6)31.3%(5-11)12.5%(2-14)

Recent Scouting Notes

vs Germán Márquez
7/7

Matchup data is limited but favors Vargas.

vs Walker Buehler
7/6

Matchup data is limited but favors Buehler.

vs Brandon Sproat
7/5

Sproat has allowed a slugging percentage of .656 against top-tier hitters like Vargas over the last 2 years.

Game Log

Bet
$
441-1742-193 Over2376 props
DateOppMarketLineActualResultOdds
7/6@PadresHitsO 2.50L+1900
7/6@PadresDoublesO 0.50L+514
7/6@PadresHitsO 1.50L+370
7/6@PadresHitsO 0.50L-160
7/6@PadresHitsO 3.50L+15000
7/6@PadresHits+Runs+RBIsO 0.50L-216
7/6@PadresHits+Runs+RBIsO 3.50L+568
7/6@PadresHits+Runs+RBIsO 2.50L+278
7/6@PadresHits+Runs+RBIsO 1.50L+130
7/6@PadresHome RunsO 1.50L+17500
7/6@PadresHome RunsO 0.50L+1360
7/6@PadresRBIsO 1.50L+960
7/6@PadresRBIsO 3.50L+8000
7/6@PadresRBIsO 0.50L+287
7/6@PadresRBIsO 2.50L+3000
7/6@PadresRuns ScoredO 2.50L+8000
7/6@PadresRuns ScoredO 0.50L+180
7/6@PadresSinglesO 0.50L-105
7/6@PadresRuns ScoredO 1.50L+1300
7/6@PadresStolen BasesO 0.50L+2100
7/6@PadresTotal BasesO 3.50L+860
7/6@PadresTotal BasesO 2.50L+490
7/6@PadresTotal BasesO 4.50L+1800
7/6@PadresTotal BasesO 1.50L+201
7/6@PadresHits+Runs+RBIsO 4.50L+1140
7/6@PadresHits+Runs+RBIsO 5.50L
7/6@PadresSinglesO 1.50L+543
7/6@PadresWalksO 0.50L+312
7/6@PadresTotal BasesO 0.50L-160
7/6@PadresDoublesO 1.50L
7/6@PadresStrikeoutsO 1.50L+810
7/6@PadresStrikeoutsO 0.50L+112
7/6@PadresHome RunsO 2.50L
7/6@PadresRuns ScoredO 3.50L
7/5vsBrewersHits+Runs+RBIsO 1.50L+106
7/5vsBrewersHits+Runs+RBIsO 0.50L-250
7/5vsBrewersHits+Runs+RBIsO 5.50L
7/5vsBrewersHits+Runs+RBIsO 3.50L+507
7/5vsBrewersHits+Runs+RBIsO 2.50L+241
7/5vsBrewersHits+Runs+RBIsO 4.50L+1000
7/5vsBrewersWalksO 0.51W+289
7/5vsBrewersSinglesO 0.50L-115
7/5vsBrewersStolen BasesO 0.50L+2500
7/5vsBrewersDoublesO 0.50L+430
7/5vsBrewersRBIsO 1.50L+760
7/5vsBrewersHitsO 1.50L+290
7/5vsBrewersRBIsO 0.50L+231
7/5vsBrewersHitsO 0.50L-200
7/5vsBrewersRuns ScoredO 1.50L+1400
7/5vsBrewersTotal BasesO 3.50L+720

Arizona Diamondbacks Teammates

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Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Ildemaro Vargas hit the over on hits 0.5?
Ildemaro Vargas hits the over on hits 0.5 58.3% of the time in 2026, going 42-30-7 with an average actual of 0.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$899.
How often does Ildemaro Vargas hit the over on rbis 0.5?
Ildemaro Vargas hits the over on rbis 0.5 29.2% of the time in 2026, going 21-51-7 with an average actual of 0.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$666.
How often does Ildemaro Vargas hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Ildemaro Vargas hits the over on runs scored 0.5 36.1% of the time in 2026, going 26-46-7 with an average actual of 0.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$831.
How often does Ildemaro Vargas hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Ildemaro Vargas hits the over on home runs 0.5 7% of the time in 2026, going 5-66-8 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,810.
How often does Ildemaro Vargas hit the over on total bases 1.5?
Ildemaro Vargas hits the over on total bases 1.5 33.8% of the time in 2026, going 24-47-7 with an average actual of 1.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$986.
What are Ildemaro Vargas's best prop bets in 2026?
Ildemaro Vargas's highest-hitting props in 2026: Hits+Runs+RBIs O 0.5 at 70% (49-21); Hits O 0.5 at 58.3% (42-30); Singles O 0.5 at 45.7% (32-38).

Ildemaro Vargas 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.80 games analyzed across 11 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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