Nolan Arenado

Nolan Arenado

Arizona DiamondbacksPosition Player2026
Reg0.240 / 10 HR / 37 RBI / 69 H / 3 SB / 84G
69% HRR O 0.565.1% H O 0.565.1% TB O 0.5
Season
Best Performer

Nolan Arenado goes over 0.5 hits+runs+rbis 69% of the time (58-26-6)

Props — 202690 games with closing lines

Hits

90g
avg 0.7
65.1%Over: 54-29-7
1vs O 0.5-143
@Padres7/6
P
H: 65.2%(46)A: 54.5%(44)
avg 0.1
10.7%Over: 9-75-6
1vs O 0.5+690
@Padres7/6
P
H: 13%(46)A: 6.8%(44)

RBIs

90g
avg 0.2
25.3%Over: 21-62-7
1vs O 0.5+251
@Padres7/6
P
H: 21.7%(46)A: 25%(44)
avg 0.3
38.6%Over: 32-51-7
1vs O 0.5+171
@Padres7/6
P
H: 45.7%(46)A: 25%(44)
avg 1
65.1%Over: 54-29-7
4vs O 0.5-165
@Padres7/6
P
H: 65.2%(46)A: 54.5%(44)
avg 0.1
16.7%Over: 14-70-6
0vs O 0.5+550
@Padres7/6
P
H: 13%(46)A: 18.2%(44)
avg 1.2
69%Over: 58-26-6
3vs O 0.5-183
@Padres7/6
P
H: 69.6%(46)A: 59.1%(44)
avg 0.5
44%Over: 37-47-6
0vs O 0.5+125
@Padres7/6
P
H: 47.8%(46)A: 34.1%(44)
avg 0.9
59.8%Over: 49-33-6
1vs O 0.5-171
@Padres7/6
P
H: 52.2%(46)A: 59.5%(42)
avg 0.2
25.6%Over: 21-61-6
0vs O 0.5+222
@Padres7/6
P
H: 23.9%(46)A: 23.8%(42)
avg 0.1
2.5%Over: 2-77-6
0vs O 0.5+1400
@Padres7/6
P
H: 2.2%(45)A: 2.5%(40)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
2.2
5-Star Games
7(8%)
Total Matchups
90
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Arenado's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

StarsHitsO 0.5Home RunsO 0.5RBIsO 0.5
85.7%(6-1)28.6%(2-5)57.1%(4-3)
33.3%(2-4)0%(0-6)0%(0-6)
53.8%(7-6)0%(0-13)15.4%(2-11)
58.6%(17-12)13.8%(4-25)24.1%(7-22)
60.6%(20-13)9.1%(3-30)24.2%(8-25)

Recent Scouting Notes

vs Germán Márquez
7/7

Arenado is slugging .461 against right-handers with high flyball rates over the last two seasons but has a well hit rate of 8.3% (League Avg: 20.2%) in his last five games.

vs Walker Buehler
7/6

Arenado is batting just .206 (7-34) against Buehler.

vs Brandon Sproat
7/5

Arenado has a wOBA of just .189 over his last 5 games in 16 PA's.

Game Log

Bet
$
538-2138-198 Over2874 props
DateOppMarketLineActualResultOdds
7/6@PadresHits+Runs+RBIsO 5.53L
7/6@PadresHits+Runs+RBIsO 3.53L+531
7/6@PadresHits+Runs+RBIsO 2.53W+274
7/6@PadresHits+Runs+RBIsO 1.53W+135
7/6@PadresHits+Runs+RBIsO 0.53W-183
7/6@PadresHits+Runs+RBIsO 4.53L+1000
7/6@PadresHits+Runs+RBIsO 6.53L
7/6@PadresWalksO 0.50L+222
7/6@PadresDoublesO 0.50L+550
7/6@PadresHitsO 1.51L+416
7/6@PadresHitsO 0.51W-143
7/6@PadresHome RunsO 0.51W+690
7/6@PadresHome RunsO 1.51L+10000
7/6@PadresRBIsO 0.51W+251
7/6@PadresRuns ScoredO 0.51W+171
7/6@PadresRBIsO 1.51L+740
7/6@PadresRuns ScoredO 1.51L+1200
7/6@PadresSinglesO 0.50L+125
7/6@PadresTotal BasesO 4.54L+1340
7/6@PadresTotal BasesO 2.54W+419
7/6@PadresTotal BasesO 3.54W+574
7/6@PadresTotal BasesO 1.54W+204
7/6@PadresHitsO 2.51L+2300
7/6@PadresRBIsO 2.51L+2000
7/6@PadresTotal BasesO 5.54L
7/6@PadresTotal BasesO 0.54W-165
7/6@PadresSinglesO 1.50L+810
7/6@PadresHome RunsO 2.51L
7/6@PadresStrikeoutsO 1.51L+357
7/6@PadresStrikeoutsO 0.51W-171
7/6@PadresStolen BasesO 0.50L+1400
7/6@PadresRBIsO 3.51L+5500
7/6@PadresRBIsO 4.51L+5000
7/6@PadresHitsO 3.51L+12500
7/6@PadresRuns ScoredO 2.51L+8000
7/6@PadresDoublesO 1.50L
7/6@PadresRuns ScoredO 3.51L
7/5vsBrewersHits+Runs+RBIsO 4.50P+800
7/5vsBrewersHits+Runs+RBIsO 3.50P+425
7/5vsBrewersHits+Runs+RBIsO 5.50P
7/5vsBrewersHits+Runs+RBIsO 1.50P+110
7/5vsBrewersHits+Runs+RBIsO 0.50P-220
7/5vsBrewersHits+Runs+RBIsO 2.50P+230
7/5vsBrewersWalksO 0.50P+192
7/5vsBrewersRBIsO 1.50P+675
7/5vsBrewersRBIsO 0.50P+200
7/5vsBrewersDoublesO 0.50P+425
7/5vsBrewersHitsO 1.50P+325
7/5vsBrewersHitsO 0.50P-165
7/5vsBrewersHome RunsO 1.50P+5500

Arizona Diamondbacks Teammates

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Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Nolan Arenado hit the over on hits 0.5?
Nolan Arenado hits the over on hits 0.5 65.1% of the time in 2026, going 54-29-7 with an average actual of 0.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$44.
How often does Nolan Arenado hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Nolan Arenado hits the over on home runs 0.5 10.7% of the time in 2026, going 9-75-6 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$991.
How often does Nolan Arenado hit the over on rbis 0.5?
Nolan Arenado hits the over on rbis 0.5 25.3% of the time in 2026, going 21-62-7 with an average actual of 0.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$2,155.
How often does Nolan Arenado hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Nolan Arenado hits the over on runs scored 0.5 38.6% of the time in 2026, going 32-51-7 with an average actual of 0.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$833.
How often does Nolan Arenado hit the over on total bases 0.5?
Nolan Arenado hits the over on total bases 0.5 65.1% of the time in 2026, going 54-29-7 with an average actual of 1.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$93.
What are Nolan Arenado's best prop bets in 2026?
Nolan Arenado's highest-hitting props in 2026: Hits+Runs+RBIs O 0.5 at 69% (58-26); Hits O 0.5 at 65.1% (54-29); Total Bases O 0.5 at 65.1% (54-29).

Nolan Arenado 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.90 games analyzed across 11 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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