Inside Edge
Arizona Diamondbacks69.6% HRR O 0.564.4% H O 0.564.4% TB O 0.5
Season
All Nolan Arenado propsProps — 202648 games with closing lines
Home Runs
48g13%Over: 6-40-2
0vs O 0.5+610
vs
Rockies5/21
Rockies5/21✗P✗✓✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 16.7%(24)A: 8.3%(24)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
6(13%)
Total Matchups
48Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Arenado's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 83.3%(5-1) | 33.3%(2-4) | 50%(3-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(2-4) | 0%(0-6) | 0%(0-6) |
| ★★★★★ | 60%(9-6) | 13.3%(2-13) | 26.7%(4-11) |
| ★★★★★ | 64.7%(11-6) | 11.8%(2-15) | 29.4%(5-12) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Tomoyuki Sugano
5/22Arenado is slugging .561 in his last 52 PA's but is batting just .200 (1-for-5) against Sugano in their last six head-to-head PA's.
★★★★★vs Zach Agnos
5/21Arenado slugged just .408 in 478 AB's when hitting at home over the last year.
★★★★★vs Tyler Mahle
5/20Arenado has a wOBA of just .217 in 23 PA's against Mahle.
Game Log
Bet
$
7-90-4 Over48g · 101 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/21 | vsRockies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +610 |
| 5/21 | vsRockies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +7500 |
| 5/20 | vs Giants | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +650 |
| 5/20 | vsGiants | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +5000 |
| 5/19 | vsGiants | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +20000 |
| 5/19 | vsGiants | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +980 |
| 5/18 | vsGiants | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +8000 |
| 5/18 | vsGiants | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +610 |
| 5/17 | @Rockies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +540 |
| 5/17 | @Rockies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6600 |
| 5/16 | @Rockies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6000 |
| 5/16 | @Rockies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +496 |
| 5/15 | @Rockies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5000 |
| 5/15 | @Rockies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +450 |
| 5/15 | @Rockies | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/13 | @ Rangers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +730 |
| 5/13 | @Rangers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 5/12 | @Rangers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +578 |
| 5/12 | @Rangers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +7000 |
| 5/11 | @Rangers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 5/11 | @Rangers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +725 |
| 5/10 | vs Mets | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +15000 |
| 5/10 | vsMets | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +920 |
| 5/9 | vsMets | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/9 | vsMets | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +800 |
| 5/8 | vsMets | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +10000 |
| 5/8 | vsMets | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +780 |
| 5/7 | vs Pirates | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +15000 |
| 5/7 | vsPirates | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +970 |
| 5/6 | vsPirates | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 5/6 | vsPirates | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +960 |
| 5/5 | vsPirates | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +775 |
| 5/5 | vsPirates | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/3 | @ Cubs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +4000 |
| 5/3 | @Cubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +440 |
| 5/2 | @Cubs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/2 | @Cubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +780 |
| 5/1 | @Cubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1200 |
| 5/1 | @Cubs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +30000 |
| 4/30 | @ Brewers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +710 |
| 4/30 | @Brewers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 4/29 | @Brewers | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +10000 |
| 4/29 | @Brewers | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +820 |
| 4/28 | @Brewers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +670 |
| 4/28 | @Brewers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8100 |
| 4/26 | vs Padres | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +410 |
| 4/26 | vsPadres | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +4000 |
| 4/25 | vsPadres | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +2700 |
| 4/25 | vsPadres | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +325 |
| 4/25 | vsPadres | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
Arizona Diamondbacks Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Nolan Arenado hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Nolan Arenado hits the over on home runs 0.5 13% of the time in 2026, going 6-40-2 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is Nolan Arenado over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 48 games in 2026, betting $100 on Nolan Arenado over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned +$359 (+7.48% ROI). The hit rate is 13% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is Nolan Arenado's home runs average this season?
Nolan Arenado averages 0.1 home runs per game in 2026 across 48 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.