
69% HRR O 0.565.1% H O 0.565.1% TB O 0.5
Season
All Nolan Arenado propsProps — 202690 games with closing lines
Runs Scored
90g38.6%Over: 32-51-7
1vs O 0.5+171
@
Padres7/6
✓P✗✗✓✓✓✗✗✗
H: 45.7%(46)A: 25%(44)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.2★★★★★
5-Star Games
7(8%)
Total Matchups
90Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Arenado's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 85.7%(6-1) | 28.6%(2-5) | 57.1%(4-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(2-4) | 0%(0-6) | 0%(0-6) |
| ★★★★★ | 53.8%(7-6) | 0%(0-13) | 15.4%(2-11) |
| ★★★★★ | 58.6%(17-12) | 13.8%(4-25) | 24.1%(7-22) |
| ★★★★★ | 60.6%(20-13) | 9.1%(3-30) | 24.2%(8-25) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Germán Márquez
7/7Arenado is slugging .461 against right-handers with high flyball rates over the last two seasons but has a well hit rate of 8.3% (League Avg: 20.2%) in his last five games.
★★★★★vs Walker Buehler
7/6Arenado is batting just .206 (7-34) against Buehler.
★★★★★vs Brandon Sproat
7/5Arenado has a wOBA of just .189 over his last 5 games in 16 PA's.
Game Log
Bet
$
39-217-20 Over90g · 276 props
Arizona Diamondbacks Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Nolan Arenado hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Nolan Arenado hits the over on runs scored 0.5 38.6% of the time in 2026, going 32-51-7 with an average actual of 0.4.
Is Nolan Arenado over 0.5 runs scored a good bet?
Based on 90 games in 2026, betting $100 on Nolan Arenado over 0.5 runs scored at best closing odds has returned -$833 (-9.26% ROI). The hit rate is 38.6% with an average actual of 0.4.
What is Nolan Arenado's runs scored average this season?
Nolan Arenado averages 0.4 runs scored per game in 2026 across 90 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.

Inside Edge