
70% HRR O 0.558.3% H O 0.545.7% 1B O 0.5
Season
All Ildemaro Vargas propsProps — 202681 games with closing lines
Runs Scored
79g36.1%Over: 26-46-7
0vs O 0.5+180
@
Padres7/6
✗✗✗✗✗P✓P✗✓
H: 27.5%(40)A: 38.5%(39)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.8★★★★★
5-Star Games
6(7%)
Total Matchups
90Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Vargas's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 25%(1-3) | 0%(0-4) |
| ★★★★★ | 23.5%(4-13) | 17.6%(3-14) | 0%(0-18) |
| ★★★★★ | 45.8%(11-13) | 29.2%(7-17) | 8.3%(2-22) |
| ★★★★★ | 78.9%(15-4) | 26.3%(5-14) | 5.6%(1-17) |
| ★★★★★ | 62.5%(10-6) | 31.3%(5-11) | 12.5%(2-14) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Germán Márquez
7/7Matchup data is limited but favors Vargas.
★★★★★vs Walker Buehler
7/6Matchup data is limited but favors Buehler.
★★★★★vs Brandon Sproat
7/5Sproat has allowed a slugging percentage of .656 against top-tier hitters like Vargas over the last 2 years.
Game Log
Bet
$
34-178-20 Over79g · 232 props
Arizona Diamondbacks Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Ildemaro Vargas hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Ildemaro Vargas hits the over on runs scored 0.5 36.1% of the time in 2026, going 26-46-7 with an average actual of 0.4.
Is Ildemaro Vargas over 0.5 runs scored a good bet?
Based on 79 games in 2026, betting $100 on Ildemaro Vargas over 0.5 runs scored at best closing odds has returned -$831 (-10.52% ROI). The hit rate is 36.1% with an average actual of 0.4.
What is Ildemaro Vargas's runs scored average this season?
Ildemaro Vargas averages 0.4 runs scored per game in 2026 across 79 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.

Inside Edge