Inside Edge
Arizona Diamondbacks85% HRR O 0.578.6% H O 0.565% 1B O 0.5
Season
All Ildemaro Vargas propsProps — 202643 games with closing lines
Runs Scored
43g45.2%Over: 19-23-1
0vs O 0.5+120
vs
Rockies5/21
Rockies5/21✗✗✓✓✓✗✓✗✓✗
H: 36.4%(22)A: 52.4%(21)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.4★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(2%)
Total Matchups
48Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Vargas's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 40%(2-3) | 20%(1-4) | 0%(0-5) |
| ★★★★★ | 80%(8-2) | 40%(4-6) | 20%(2-8) |
| ★★★★★ | 81.3%(13-3) | 25%(4-12) | 6.7%(1-14) |
| ★★★★★ | 81.8%(9-2) | 36.4%(4-7) | 18.2%(2-9) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Tomoyuki Sugano
5/22Vargas has an OPS of .821 in 39 AB's against right-handers who rely heavily on the slider like Sugano over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Zach Agnos
5/21Agnos has allowed a slugging percentage of .474 against left-handed batters who hit for high average like Vargas over the last 2 years.
★★★★★vs Tyler Mahle
5/20Vargas is slugging .514 in his last 105 AB's.
Game Log
Bet
$
26-90-2 Over43g · 118 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/21 | vsRockies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +120 |
| 5/21 | vsRockies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +900 |
| 5/21 | vsRockies | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +5500 |
| 5/20 | vs Giants | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 5/20 | vsGiants | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +140 |
| 5/20 | vsGiants | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 5/19 | vsGiants | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +1300 |
| 5/19 | vsGiants | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +155 |
| 5/19 | vsGiants | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +4000 |
| 5/18 | vsGiants | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +950 |
| 5/18 | vsGiants | O 0.5 | 2 | W | +125 |
| 5/18 | vsGiants | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +6000 |
| 5/17 | @Rockies | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +430 |
| 5/17 | @Rockies | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -125 |
| 5/17 | @Rockies | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +2000 |
| 5/16 | @Rockies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +600 |
| 5/16 | @Rockies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +110 |
| 5/16 | @Rockies | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +3500 |
| 5/15 | @Rockies | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +3000 |
| 5/15 | @Rockies | O 0.5 | 2 | W | -110 |
| 5/15 | @Rockies | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +500 |
| 5/13 | @ Rangers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +165 |
| 5/13 | @Rangers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1200 |
| 5/13 | @Rangers | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 5/12 | @Rangers | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +7500 |
| 5/12 | @Rangers | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +1100 |
| 5/12 | @Rangers | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +150 |
| 5/11 | @Rangers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +175 |
| 5/11 | @Rangers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1300 |
| 5/11 | @Rangers | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +4500 |
| 5/10 | vs Mets | O 0.5 | 2 | W | +150 |
| 5/10 | vsMets | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +1200 |
| 5/10 | vsMets | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +7500 |
| 5/9 | vsMets | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 5/9 | vsMets | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +141 |
| 5/9 | vsMets | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +6000 |
| 5/8 | vsMets | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +950 |
| 5/8 | vsMets | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +135 |
| 5/8 | vsMets | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +5500 |
| 5/7 | vs Pirates | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1100 |
| 5/7 | vsPirates | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +165 |
| 5/7 | vsPirates | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 5/6 | vsPirates | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +195 |
| 5/6 | vsPirates | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1500 |
| 5/6 | vsPirates | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +4500 |
| 5/5 | vsPirates | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 5/5 | vsPirates | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +140 |
| 5/5 | vsPirates | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +7000 |
| 5/3 | @ Cubs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +600 |
| 5/3 | @Cubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +105 |
Arizona Diamondbacks Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Ildemaro Vargas hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Ildemaro Vargas hits the over on runs scored 0.5 45.2% of the time in 2026, going 19-23-1 with an average actual of 0.6.
Is Ildemaro Vargas over 0.5 runs scored a good bet?
Based on 43 games in 2026, betting $100 on Ildemaro Vargas over 0.5 runs scored at best closing odds has returned +$469 (+10.91% ROI). The hit rate is 45.2% with an average actual of 0.6.
What is Ildemaro Vargas's runs scored average this season?
Ildemaro Vargas averages 0.6 runs scored per game in 2026 across 43 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.