Arizona Diamondbacks70% HRR O 0.558.3% H O 0.545.7% 1B O 0.5
Season
All Ildemaro Vargas propsProps — 202681 games with closing lines
Home Runs
80g7%Over: 5-66-9
0vs O 0.5+980
@
Padres7/7
Padres7/7P✗✗✗✗✗P✗P✗
H: 7.5%(40)A: 5%(40)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.8★★★★★
5-Star Games
6(7%)
Total Matchups
91Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Vargas's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 25%(1-3) | 0%(0-4) |
| ★★★★★ | 23.5%(4-13) | 17.6%(3-14) | 0%(0-18) |
| ★★★★★ | 45.8%(11-13) | 29.2%(7-17) | 8.3%(2-22) |
| ★★★★★ | 78.9%(15-4) | 26.3%(5-14) | 5.6%(1-17) |
| ★★★★★ | 62.5%(10-6) | 31.3%(5-11) | 12.5%(2-14) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Michael King
7/8Matchup data is limited but favors King.
★★★★★vs Germán Márquez
7/7Matchup data is limited but favors Vargas.
★★★★★vs Walker Buehler
7/6Matchup data is limited but favors Buehler.
Game Log
Bet
$
6-147-19 Over80g · 172 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/7 | @Padres | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +10000 |
| 7/7 | @Padres | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +980 |
| 7/6 | @Padres | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +17500 |
| 7/6 | @Padres | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1360 |
| 7/6 | @Padres | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 7/5 | vs Brewers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +25000 |
| 7/5 | vsBrewers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1340 |
| 7/5 | vsBrewers | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 7/4 | vsBrewers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1220 |
| 7/4 | vsBrewers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +17500 |
| 7/4 | vsBrewers | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 7/3 | vsBrewers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +17500 |
| 7/3 | vsBrewers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +900 |
| 7/3 | vsBrewers | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 6/28 | @ Rays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 6/28 | @Rays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1300 |
| 6/28 | @Rays | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 6/25 | @ Cardinals | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +30000 |
| 6/25 | @Cardinals | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1080 |
| 6/25 | @Cardinals | O 2.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 6/24 | @Cardinals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +17500 |
| 6/24 | @Cardinals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +920 |
| 6/24 | @Cardinals | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 6/23 | @Cardinals | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +6600 |
| 6/23 | @Cardinals | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1200 |
| 6/22 | @Cardinals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2500 |
| 6/21 | vs Twins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +15000 |
| 6/21 | vsTwins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1040 |
| 6/21 | vsTwins | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 6/19 | vsTwins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +20000 |
| 6/19 | vsTwins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 6/19 | vsTwins | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 6/17 | vs Angels | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +20000 |
| 6/17 | vsAngels | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +880 |
| 6/16 | vsAngels | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +17500 |
| 6/16 | vsAngels | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +860 |
| 6/16 | vsAngels | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 6/15 | vsAngels | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +790 |
| 6/15 | vsAngels | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +12500 |
| 6/14 | @ Reds | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +710 |
| 6/14 | @Reds | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 6/13 | @Reds | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +10000 |
| 6/13 | @Reds | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +780 |
| 6/12 | @Reds | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 6/12 | @Reds | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +710 |
| 6/11 | @ Marlins | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +25000 |
| 6/11 | @Marlins | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1200 |
| 6/10 | @Marlins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1100 |
| 6/10 | @Marlins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +20000 |
| 6/9 | @Marlins | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +6600 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Ildemaro Vargas hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Ildemaro Vargas hits the over on home runs 0.5 7% of the time in 2026, going 5-66-9 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is Ildemaro Vargas over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 80 games in 2026, betting $100 on Ildemaro Vargas over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned -$1,810 (-22.62% ROI). The hit rate is 7% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is Ildemaro Vargas's home runs average this season?
Ildemaro Vargas averages 0.1 home runs per game in 2026 across 80 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.
Inside Edge