Inside Edge
Arizona Diamondbacks90% K O 2.560% BBA O 1.550% OUT O 16.5
Season
All Ryne Nelson propsProps — 202610 games with closing lines
Pitcher Ks
10g90%Over: 9-1
3vs O 2.5-750
vs
Giants5/19
Giants5/19✓✓✓✓✓✗✓✓✓✓
H: 80%(5)A: 100%(5)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
1.7★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(11%)
Total Matchups
9Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Nelson's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 2.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 16.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | — | 0%(0-1) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 83.3%(5-1) | 40%(2-3) | 40%(2-3) | 50%(3-3) | 75%(3-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Landen Roupp
5/19Giants hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Nelson.
★★★★★vs Kumar Rocker
5/13Current Rangers hitters have struck out 27.9% of the time against top-tier right-handed pitchers like Nelson over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
★★★★★vs Nolan McLean
5/8Mets hitters have a 3.5 star average matchup against Nelson.
Game Log
Bet
$
34-39 Over10g · 73 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/19 | vsGiants | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -106 |
| 5/19 | vsGiants | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -750 |
| 5/19 | vsGiants | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +220 |
| 5/19 | vsGiants | O 6.5 | 3 | L | +470 |
| 5/19 | vsGiants | O 3.5 | 3 | L | -270 |
| 5/19 | vsGiants | O 7.5 | 3 | L | +650 |
| 5/19 | vsGiants | O 8.5 | 3 | L | +1320 |
| 5/19 | vsGiants | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -3900 |
| 5/13 | @ Rangers | O 6.5 | 8 | W | +340 |
| 5/13 | @Rangers | O 5.5 | 8 | W | +175 |
| 5/13 | @Rangers | O 7.5 | 8 | W | +680 |
| 5/13 | @Rangers | O 3.5 | 8 | W | -275 |
| 5/13 | @Rangers | O 2.5 | 8 | W | -700 |
| 5/13 | @Rangers | O 4.5 | 8 | W | -120 |
| 5/13 | @Rangers | O 8.5 | 8 | L | +1340 |
| 5/8 | vs Mets | O 4.5 | 7 | W | +100 |
| 5/8 | vsMets | O 6.5 | 7 | W | +440 |
| 5/8 | vsMets | O 2.5 | 7 | W | -600 |
| 5/8 | vsMets | O 5.5 | 7 | W | +210 |
| 5/8 | vsMets | O 3.5 | 7 | W | -220 |
| 5/8 | vsMets | O 1.5 | 7 | W | -3100 |
| 5/8 | vsMets | O 7.5 | 7 | L | +890 |
| 5/8 | vsMets | O 8.5 | 7 | L | +1820 |
| 5/2 | @ Cubs | O 4.5 | 4 | L | +106 |
| 5/2 | @Cubs | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -579 |
| 5/2 | @Cubs | O 3.5 | 4 | W | -219 |
| 5/2 | @Cubs | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +228 |
| 5/2 | @Cubs | O 6.5 | 4 | L | +472 |
| 5/2 | @Cubs | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -2500 |
| 5/2 | @Cubs | O 7.5 | 4 | L | +960 |
| 5/2 | @Cubs | O 8.5 | 4 | L | +1520 |
| 4/26 | vs Padres | O 3.5 | 4 | W | +132 |
| 4/26 | vsPadres | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -610 |
| 4/26 | vsPadres | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -190 |
| 4/26 | vsPadres | O 4.5 | 4 | L | +308 |
| 4/26 | vsPadres | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +710 |
| 4/26 | vsPadres | O 6.5 | 4 | L | +1500 |
| 4/19 | vs Blue Jays | O 4.5 | 1 | L | +118 |
| 4/19 | vsBlue Jays | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -500 |
| 4/19 | vsBlue Jays | O 3.5 | 1 | L | -200 |
| 4/19 | vsBlue Jays | O 5.5 | 1 | L | +250 |
| 4/19 | vsBlue Jays | O 6.5 | 1 | L | +520 |
| 4/19 | vsBlue Jays | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -2700 |
| 4/19 | vsBlue Jays | O 7.5 | 1 | L | +1080 |
| 4/13 | @ Orioles | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -141 |
| 4/13 | @Orioles | O 2.5 | 7 | W | -950 |
| 4/13 | @Orioles | O 3.5 | 7 | W | -325 |
| 4/13 | @Orioles | O 5.5 | 7 | W | +153 |
| 4/13 | @Orioles | O 6.5 | 7 | W | +312 |
| 4/13 | @Orioles | O 7.5 | 7 | L | +630 |
Arizona Diamondbacks Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Ryne Nelson hit the over on pitcher ks 2.5?
Ryne Nelson hits the over on pitcher ks 2.5 90% of the time in 2026, going 9-1 with an average actual of 4.6.
Is Ryne Nelson over 2.5 pitcher ks a good bet?
Based on 10 games in 2026, betting $100 on Ryne Nelson over 2.5 pitcher ks at best closing odds has returned +$83 (+8.3% ROI). The hit rate is 90% with an average actual of 4.6.
What is Ryne Nelson's pitcher ks average this season?
Ryne Nelson averages 4.6 pitcher ks per game in 2026 across 10 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.