Arizona Diamondbacks86.7% K O 2.557.1% BBA O 1.555.6% OUT O 17.5
Season
All Ryne Nelson propsProps — 202615 games with closing lines
Hits Allowed
15g53.3%Over: 8-7
9vs O 5.5-120
vs
Angels6/15
Angels6/15✓✓✗✓✓✓✗✗✗✓
H: 62.5%(8)A: 25%(4)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(7%)
Total Matchups
14Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Nelson's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 2.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | — | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 75%(3-1) | 50%(2-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 50%(2-2) | 33.3%(1-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 85.7%(6-1) | 33.3%(2-4) | 50%(3-3) | 50%(1-1) | 57.1%(4-3) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Walbert Ureña
6/15Current Angels hitters have struck out 26.3% of the time against pitchers similar to Nelson over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Angels.
★★★★★vs Ryan Gusto
6/10Right-handed starters have an ERA of 3.91 against the Marlins since last season, but other matchup data favors the Marlins.
★★★★★vs Justin Wrobleski
6/4Current Dodgers hitters have struck out 25.3% of the time against pitchers similar to Nelson over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Dodgers.
Game Log
Bet
$
9-11 Over15g · 20 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/15 | vsAngels | O 5.5 | 9 | W | -120 |
| 6/10 | @ Marlins | O 5.5 | 8 | W | -117 |
| 6/4 | vs Dodgers | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +104 |
| 5/30 | @ Mariners | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -128 |
| 5/24 | vs Rockies | O 5.5 | 6 | W | -106 |
| 5/19 | vs Giants | O 5.5 | 8 | W | +100 |
| 5/13 | @ Rangers | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -151 |
| 5/8 | vs Mets | O 5.5 | 2 | L | +125 |
| 5/8 | vsMets | O 4.5 | 2 | L | -160 |
| 5/2 | @ Cubs | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -139 |
| 5/2 | @Cubs | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +120 |
| 4/26 | vs Padres | O 5.5 | 7 | W | -175 |
| 4/26 | vsPadres | O 6.5 | 7 | W | -104 |
| 4/19 | vs Blue Jays | O 5.5 | 8 | W | -106 |
| 4/13 | @ Orioles | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +126 |
| 4/13 | @Orioles | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -150 |
| 4/8 | @Mets | O 4.5 | 5 | W | +107 |
| 4/2 | vs Braves | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +123 |
| 3/27 | @Dodgers | O 5.5 | 2 | L | +105 |
| 3/27 | @Dodgers | O 4.5 | 2 | L | -148 |
Arizona Diamondbacks Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Ryne Nelson hit the over on hits allowed 5.5?
Ryne Nelson hits the over on hits allowed 5.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 6-6 with an average actual of 5.4.
Is Ryne Nelson over 5.5 hits allowed a good bet?
Based on 15 games in 2026, betting $100 on Ryne Nelson over 5.5 hits allowed at best closing odds has returned -$0 (0% ROI). The hit rate is 50% with an average actual of 5.4.
What is Ryne Nelson's hits allowed average this season?
Ryne Nelson averages 5.4 hits allowed per game in 2026 across 15 games. The primary line is set at 5.5.
Inside Edge