Inside Edge
Arizona Diamondbacks90% K O 2.560% BBA O 1.550% OUT O 16.5
Season
All Ryne Nelson propsProps — 202610 games with closing lines
Hits Allowed
10g40%Over: 4-6
8vs O 5.5+100
vs
Giants5/19
Giants5/19✓✗✗✗✓✓✗✓✗✗
H: 60%(5)A: 0%(3)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
1.7★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(11%)
Total Matchups
9Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Nelson's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 2.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 16.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | — | 0%(0-1) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 83.3%(5-1) | 40%(2-3) | 40%(2-3) | 50%(3-3) | 75%(3-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Landen Roupp
5/19Giants hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Nelson.
★★★★★vs Kumar Rocker
5/13Current Rangers hitters have struck out 27.9% of the time against top-tier right-handed pitchers like Nelson over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
★★★★★vs Nolan McLean
5/8Mets hitters have a 3.5 star average matchup against Nelson.
Game Log
Bet
$
5-10 Over10g · 15 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/19 | vsGiants | O 5.5 | 8 | W | +100 |
| 5/13 | @ Rangers | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -151 |
| 5/8 | vs Mets | O 5.5 | 2 | L | +125 |
| 5/8 | vsMets | O 4.5 | 2 | L | -160 |
| 5/2 | @ Cubs | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -139 |
| 5/2 | @Cubs | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +120 |
| 4/26 | vs Padres | O 5.5 | 7 | W | -175 |
| 4/26 | vsPadres | O 6.5 | 7 | W | -104 |
| 4/19 | vs Blue Jays | O 5.5 | 8 | W | -106 |
| 4/13 | @ Orioles | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +126 |
| 4/13 | @Orioles | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -150 |
| 4/8 | @Mets | O 4.5 | 5 | W | +107 |
| 4/2 | vs Braves | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +123 |
| 3/27 | @ Dodgers | O 5.5 | 2 | L | +105 |
| 3/27 | @Dodgers | O 4.5 | 2 | L | -148 |
Arizona Diamondbacks Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Ryne Nelson hit the over on hits allowed 5.5?
Ryne Nelson hits the over on hits allowed 5.5 37.5% of the time in 2026, going 3-5 with an average actual of 4.6.
Is Ryne Nelson over 5.5 hits allowed a good bet?
Based on 10 games in 2026, betting $100 on Ryne Nelson over 5.5 hits allowed at best closing odds has returned -$242 (-24.2% ROI). The hit rate is 37.5% with an average actual of 4.6.
What is Ryne Nelson's hits allowed average this season?
Ryne Nelson averages 4.6 hits allowed per game in 2026 across 10 games. The primary line is set at 5.5.