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Angels6/15
How Nelson's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Outs RecordedO 16.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | — | — | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 25%(1-3) | 50%(2-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 100%(1-0) | 33.3%(1-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 28.6%(2-5) | 33.3%(2-4) | 50%(3-3) | 75%(3-1) | 57.1%(4-3) |
Current Angels hitters have struck out 26.3% of the time against pitchers similar to Nelson over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Angels.
Right-handed starters have an ERA of 3.91 against the Marlins since last season, but other matchup data favors the Marlins.
Current Dodgers hitters have struck out 25.3% of the time against pitchers similar to Nelson over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Dodgers.
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/15 | vsAngels | O 17.5 | 21 | W | -122 |
| 6/10 | @ Marlins | O 17.5 | 12 | L | -148 |
| 6/10 | @Marlins | O 18.5 | 12 | L | +125 |
| 6/4 | vs Dodgers | O 17.5 | 21 | W | +112 |
| 6/4 | vsDodgers | O 16.5 | 21 | W | -117 |
| 5/30 | @ Mariners | O 17.5 | 16 | L | -162 |
| 5/30 | @Mariners | O 18.5 | 16 | L | +128 |
| 5/24 | vs Rockies | O 17.5 | 24 | W | -161 |
| 5/24 | vsRockies | O 18.5 | 24 | W | +130 |
| 5/19 | vs Giants | O 17.5 | 21 | W | -150 |
| 5/13 | @ Rangers | O 17.5 | 21 | W | -118 |
| 5/8 | vs Mets | O 16.5 | 20 | W | -102 |
| 5/8 | vsMets | O 15.5 | 20 | W | -129 |
| 5/2 | @ Cubs | O 16.5 | 17 | W | -105 |
| 5/2 | @Cubs | O 15.5 | 17 | W | -130 |
| 4/26 | vs Padres | O 14.5 | 15 | W | -115 |
| 4/19 | vs Blue Jays | O 16.5 | 1 | L | -131 |
| 4/19 | vsBlue Jays | O 17.5 | 1 | L | -105 |
| 4/13 | @ Orioles | O 16.5 | 16 | L | -134 |
| 4/13 | @Orioles | O 17.5 | 16 | L | -105 |
| 4/8 | @Mets | O 16.5 | 17 | W | -102 |
| 4/2 | vs Braves | O 15.5 | 14 | L | -146 |
| 4/2 | vsBraves | O 16.5 | 14 | L | -102 |
| 3/27 | @Dodgers | O 14.5 | 14 | L | -160 |
