Inside Edge
Arizona Diamondbacks90% K O 2.560% BBA O 1.550% OUT O 16.5
Season
All Ryne Nelson propsProps — 202610 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
10g50%Over: 5-5
3vs O 2.5+113
vs
Giants5/19
Giants5/19✓✓✗✗✓✓✗✗✗✓
H: 50%(4)A: 40%(5)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
1.7★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(11%)
Total Matchups
9Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Nelson's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 2.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 16.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | — | 0%(0-1) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 83.3%(5-1) | 40%(2-3) | 40%(2-3) | 50%(3-3) | 75%(3-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Landen Roupp
5/19Giants hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Nelson.
★★★★★vs Kumar Rocker
5/13Current Rangers hitters have struck out 27.9% of the time against top-tier right-handed pitchers like Nelson over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
★★★★★vs Nolan McLean
5/8Mets hitters have a 3.5 star average matchup against Nelson.
Game Log
Bet
$
6-6 Over10g · 12 props
Arizona Diamondbacks Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Ryne Nelson hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Ryne Nelson hits the over on earned runs 2.5 44.4% of the time in 2026, going 4-5 with an average actual of 2.7.
Is Ryne Nelson over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 10 games in 2026, betting $100 on Ryne Nelson over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$39 (-3.9% ROI). The hit rate is 44.4% with an average actual of 2.7.
What is Ryne Nelson's earned runs average this season?
Ryne Nelson averages 2.7 earned runs per game in 2026 across 10 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.