Season
Best Performer
Lucas Giolito goes over 4.5 hits allowed 60% of the time (3-2)
Props — 20266 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.8★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
5Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Giolito's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Outs RecordedO 14.5 | Pitcher KsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(1-2) | 0%(0-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | — | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Dustin May
6/15Right-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Giolito have an ERA of 4.69 against the Cardinals since last year.
★★★★★vs Chase Burns
6/9Current Reds hitters have struck out 25.3% of the time against pitchers similar to Giolito over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
★★★★★vs Zack Wheeler
6/4Right-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Giolito have an ERA of 4.49 against the Phillies since last year.
Game Log
Bet
$
20-42 Over62 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/21 | @ Rangers | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 7 | W | — |
| 6/21 | @Rangers | Outs Recorded | O 14.5 | 12 | L | -105 |
| 6/21 | @Rangers | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -115 |
| 6/21 | @Rangers | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 2 | L | — |
| 6/15 | @ Cardinals | Outs Recorded | O 13.5 | 15 | W | -105 |
| 6/15 | @Cardinals | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -165 |
| 6/15 | @Cardinals | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +115 |
| 6/15 | @Cardinals | Outs Recorded | O 12.5 | 15 | W | -135 |
| 6/9 | vs Reds | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -112 |
| 6/9 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 3 | L | -250 |
| 6/9 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -625 |
| 6/9 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 3 | L | +421 |
| 6/9 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +195 |
| 6/9 | vsReds | Outs Recorded | O 14.5 | 12 | L | -158 |
| 6/9 | vsReds | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +115 |
| 6/9 | vsReds | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 2 | L | -105 |
| 6/9 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -3400 |
| 6/9 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 3 | L | +900 |
| 6/9 | vsReds | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 12 | L | +125 |
| 6/9 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 3 | L | +1780 |
| 6/9 | vsReds | Walks Allowed | O 2.5 | 5 | W | +133 |
| 6/4 | @ Phillies | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -350 |
| 6/4 | @Phillies | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +370 |
| 6/4 | @Phillies | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 5 | W | -1480 |
| 6/4 | @Phillies | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 5 | W | -136 |
| 6/4 | @Phillies | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 5 | L | +740 |
| 6/4 | @Phillies | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 5 | L | +1520 |
| 6/4 | @Phillies | Outs Recorded | O 14.5 | 12 | L | -158 |
| 6/4 | @Phillies | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 5 | W | +168 |
| 6/4 | @Phillies | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -160 |
| 6/4 | @Phillies | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -170 |
| 6/4 | @Phillies | Walks Allowed | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -112 |
| 6/4 | @Phillies | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +110 |
| 6/4 | @Phillies | Earned Runs | O 3.5 | 2 | L | +116 |
| 6/4 | @Phillies | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 12 | L | +115 |
| 5/29 | @ Nationals | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 1 | L | -130 |
| 5/29 | @Nationals | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -330 |
| 5/29 | @Nationals | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 1 | L | +790 |
| 5/29 | @Nationals | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 8 | L | +112 |
| 5/29 | @Nationals | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 1 | L | +400 |
| 5/29 | @Nationals | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -1260 |
| 5/29 | @Nationals | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 1 | L | +188 |
| 5/29 | @Nationals | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 1 | L | +1640 |
| 5/29 | @Nationals | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -166 |
| 5/29 | @Nationals | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -139 |
| 5/29 | @Nationals | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +127 |
| 5/29 | @Nationals | Walks Allowed | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +149 |
| 5/29 | @Nationals | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 8 | L | -102 |
| 5/23 | vs Athletics | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 2 | L | +490 |
| 5/23 | vsAthletics | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 2 | L | +225 |
San Diego Padres Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Lucas Giolito hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Lucas Giolito hits the over on earned runs 2.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 3-3 with an average actual of 2.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$26.
How often does Lucas Giolito hit the over on outs recorded 14.5?
Lucas Giolito hits the over on outs recorded 14.5 0% of the time in 2026, going 0-3 with an average actual of 12. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$300.
How often does Lucas Giolito hit the over on pitcher ks 2.5?
Lucas Giolito hits the over on pitcher ks 2.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 2-2 with an average actual of 2.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$155.
How often does Lucas Giolito hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Lucas Giolito hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 60% of the time in 2026, going 3-2 with an average actual of 4.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$81.
What are Lucas Giolito's best prop bets in 2026?
Lucas Giolito's highest-hitting props in 2026: Hits Allowed O 4.5 at 60% (3-2); Earned Runs O 2.5 at 50% (3-3); Pitcher Ks O 2.5 at 50% (2-2).
Inside Edge