Season
All Lucas Giolito propsProps — 20266 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
6g50%Over: 3-3
4vs O 2.5-115
@
Rangers6/21
Rangers6/21✓✓✗✗✓✗
H: 0%(2)A: 75%(4)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.8★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
5Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Giolito's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Outs RecordedO 14.5 | Pitcher KsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(1-2) | 0%(0-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | — | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Dustin May
6/15Right-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Giolito have an ERA of 4.69 against the Cardinals since last year.
★★★★★vs Chase Burns
6/9Current Reds hitters have struck out 25.3% of the time against pitchers similar to Giolito over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
★★★★★vs Zack Wheeler
6/4Right-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Giolito have an ERA of 4.49 against the Phillies since last year.
Game Log
Bet
$
4-4 Over6g · 8 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/21 | @Rangers | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -115 |
| 6/15 | @ Cardinals | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -165 |
| 6/15 | @Cardinals | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +115 |
| 6/9 | vs Reds | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +115 |
| 6/4 | @ Phillies | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -160 |
| 6/4 | @Phillies | O 3.5 | 2 | L | +116 |
| 5/29 | @ Nationals | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -139 |
| 5/23 | vs Athletics | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -116 |
San Diego Padres Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Lucas Giolito hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Lucas Giolito hits the over on earned runs 2.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 3-3 with an average actual of 2.3.
Is Lucas Giolito over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 6 games in 2026, betting $100 on Lucas Giolito over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$26 (-4.33% ROI). The hit rate is 50% with an average actual of 2.3.
What is Lucas Giolito's earned runs average this season?
Lucas Giolito averages 2.3 earned runs per game in 2026 across 6 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.
Inside Edge