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Players/MLB/New York Mets/Francisco Alvarez
Francisco Alvarez

Francisco Alvarez

New York Mets•2026
.236AVG13HR30RBI28R70H0SB90G
.236AVG13HR30RBI28R70H0SB90G
63% H O 0.561.4% TB O 0.544% 1B O 0.5
Season
Best Performer

Francisco Alvarez goes over 0.5 hits 63% of the time (58-34-18)

Props — 2026110 games with closing lines

Hits

110g
avg 0.5
63%Over: 58-34-18
1vs O 0.5-135
@White Sox8/22
✓✗✗✗✗P✓✗✗✗
H: 48.1%(54)A: 56.6%(53)

RBIs

110g
avg 0.2
27.2%Over: 25-67-18
0vs O 0.5+224
@White Sox8/22
✗✗✗✗✗P✓✗✗✗
H: 25.9%(54)A: 18.9%(53)

Runs Scored

110g
avg 0.2
25%Over: 23-69-18
0vs O 0.5+150
@White Sox8/22
✗✗✗✗✗P✗✗✗✗
H: 22.2%(54)A: 18.9%(53)

Total Bases

109g
avg 0.8
60.4%Over: 55-36-18
1vs O 0.5-135
@White Sox8/22
✓✗✗✗✗P✓✗✗✗
H: 45.1%(51)A: 57.7%(52)

Home Runs

108g
avg 0.1
12.1%Over: 11-80-17
0vs O 0.5+450
@White Sox8/22
✗✗✗✗✗P✗✗✗✗
H: 11.3%(53)A: 7.7%(52)

Strikeouts

107g
avg 1.2
28.6%Over: 26-65-16
2vs O 1.5+230
@White Sox8/22
✓✓✗✗✓P✓✓✓✓
H: 22%(50)A: 25%(48)

Doubles

107g
avg 0.1
12.1%Over: 11-80-16
0vs O 0.5+550
@White Sox8/22
✗✗✗✗✗P✓✗✗✗
H: 13.2%(53)A: 7.8%(51)

Hits+Runs+RBIs

107g
avg 0.9
35.2%Over: 32-59-16
1vs O 1.5+130
@White Sox8/22
✗✗✗✗✗P✓✗✗✗
H: 30.2%(53)A: 29.4%(51)

Singles

107g
avg 0.3
44%Over: 40-51-16
1vs O 0.5+142
@White Sox8/22
✓✗✗✗✗P✗✗✗✗
H: 30.2%(53)A: 45.1%(51)

Walks

102g
avg 0.6
33.7%Over: 30-59-13
1vs O 0.5+176
@White Sox8/22
✓✗✗✓✗P✗✓✗✓
H: 32%(50)A: 28%(50)

Stolen Bases

84g
avg 0
1.5%Over: 1-66-17
0vs O 0.5
vsPadres8/19
✗✗✗P✗✗✗✗P✗
H: 2.3%(44)A: 0%(38)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
4.2★★★★★
5-Star Games
46(43%)
Total Matchups
106
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Alvarez's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

StarsHitsO 0.5RBIsO 0.5Home RunsO 0.5
★★★★★51.1%(23-22)26.7%(12-33)16.3%(7-36)
★★★★★48.6%(17-18)22.9%(8-27)5.7%(2-33)
★★★★★57.9%(11-8)10.5%(2-17)0%(0-19)
★★★★★75%(3-1)50%(2-2)25%(1-3)
★★★★★0%(0-1)0%(0-1)0%(0-1)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Sean Newcomb
8/23

Alvarez is slugging .533 in his last 33 PA's against left-handers who rely heavily on the slider like Newcomb over the last 2 seasons.

★★★★★vs Luis Castillo
8/22

Alvarez has a Well-Hit Rate of just 7.1% in 14 AB's over the last 5 days; League Avg: 19.4%.

★★★★★vs Sean Burke
8/21

Alvarez is slugging .654 in his last 27 PA's against right-handers who rely heavily on both the slider and curve like Burke over the last 2 seasons.

Game Log

Bet
$
571-2524-546 Over3641 props
Date ↓OppMarketLineActualResultOdds
8/22@White SoxHitsO 1.51L+400
8/22@White SoxDoublesO 0.50L+550
8/22@White SoxHitsO 0.51W-135
8/22@White SoxHits+Runs+RBIsO 1.51L+130
8/22@White SoxHits+Runs+RBIsO 0.51W-185
8/22@White SoxHome RunsO 1.50L+4800
8/22@White SoxHome RunsO 0.50L+450
8/22@White SoxRBIsO 1.50L+650
8/22@White SoxRBIsO 0.50L+224
8/22@White SoxRuns ScoredO 0.50L+150
8/22@White SoxRuns ScoredO 1.50L+900
8/22@White SoxSinglesO 0.51W+142
8/22@White SoxTotal BasesO 3.51L+400
8/22@White SoxTotal BasesO 4.51L+880
8/22@White SoxTotal BasesO 1.51L+195
8/22@White SoxTotal BasesO 2.51L+333
8/22@White SoxRBIsO 2.50L+1800
8/22@White SoxTotal BasesO 5.51L—
8/22@White SoxTotal BasesO 0.51W-135
8/22@White SoxHitsO 2.51L+2100
8/22@White SoxHits+Runs+RBIsO 5.51L—
8/22@White SoxHits+Runs+RBIsO 2.51L+240
8/22@White SoxHits+Runs+RBIsO 3.51L+425
8/22@White SoxHits+Runs+RBIsO 4.51L+775
8/22@White SoxWalksO 0.51W+176
8/22@White SoxSinglesO 1.51L+950
8/22@White SoxRBIsO 3.50L+4500
8/22@White SoxStrikeoutsO 2.52L+1200
8/22@White SoxStrikeoutsO 0.52W-276
8/22@White SoxStrikeoutsO 1.52W+230
8/22@White SoxWalksO 1.51L+1220
8/22@White SoxHitsO 3.51L+15000
8/22@White SoxRBIsO 4.50L+5500
8/22@White SoxRuns ScoredO 2.50L+6000
8/22@White SoxDoublesO 1.50L—
8/21@White SoxHits+Runs+RBIsO 0.50L-173
8/21@White SoxHits+Runs+RBIsO 2.50L+240
8/21@White SoxHits+Runs+RBIsO 3.50L+457
8/21@White SoxHits+Runs+RBIsO 1.50L+135
8/21@White SoxHits+Runs+RBIsO 4.50L+860
8/21@White SoxHits+Runs+RBIsO 5.50L—
8/21@White SoxSinglesO 0.50L+160
8/21@White SoxWalksO 0.50L+231
8/21@White SoxHome RunsO 0.50L+475
8/21@White SoxHitsO 0.50L-120
8/21@White SoxRBIsO 0.50L+229
8/21@White SoxRuns ScoredO 0.50L+150
8/21@White SoxTotal BasesO 0.50L-120
8/21@White SoxDoublesO 0.50L+575
8/21@White SoxRBIsO 1.50L+700

New York Mets Teammates

View all
Bo BichetteCarson BengeMarcus SemienBrett BatyA.J. EwingJuan SotoFrancisco LindorJared YoungLuis TorrensMark VientosLuis Robert Jr.Tyrone TaylorGabriel AriasJorge PolancoMJ Melendez

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Francisco Alvarez hit the over on hits 0.5?
Francisco Alvarez hits the over on hits 0.5 63% of the time in 2026, going 58-34-18 with an average actual of 0.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$669.
How often does Francisco Alvarez hit the over on rbis 0.5?
Francisco Alvarez hits the over on rbis 0.5 27.2% of the time in 2026, going 25-67-18 with an average actual of 0.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,398.
How often does Francisco Alvarez hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Francisco Alvarez hits the over on runs scored 0.5 25% of the time in 2026, going 23-69-18 with an average actual of 0.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$3,522.
How often does Francisco Alvarez hit the over on total bases 0.5?
Francisco Alvarez hits the over on total bases 0.5 61.4% of the time in 2026, going 54-34-17 with an average actual of 1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$456.
How often does Francisco Alvarez hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Francisco Alvarez hits the over on home runs 0.5 12.1% of the time in 2026, going 11-80-17 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,984.
What are Francisco Alvarez's best prop bets in 2026?
Francisco Alvarez's highest-hitting props in 2026: Hits O 0.5 at 63% (58-34); Total Bases O 0.5 at 61.4% (54-34); Singles O 0.5 at 44% (40-51).

Francisco Alvarez 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.110 games analyzed across 11 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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