Inside Edge
New York Mets50% H O 0.540% BB O 0.540% TB O 0.5
Season
Best Performer
Francisco Alvarez goes over 0.5 hits 50% of the time (3-3)
Props — 20266 games with closing lines
Hits
6g50%O/U: 3-3
0vs O 0.5-155
@
Cardinals4/1
Cardinals4/1✗✗✓✓✗✓
H: 66.7%(3)A: 33.3%(3)
RBIs
6g33.3%O/U: 2-4
0vs O 0.5+210
@Cardinals4/1
Cardinals4/1✗✗✗✓✗✓
H: 66.7%(3)A: 0%(3)
Runs Scored
6g33.3%O/U: 2-4
0vs O 0.5+145
@Cardinals4/1
Cardinals4/1✗✗✗✓✗✓
H: 66.7%(3)A: 0%(3)
Walks
5g40%O/U: 2-3
0vs O 0.5+179
@Cardinals4/1
Cardinals4/1✗✗✓✓✗
H: 50%(2)A: 33.3%(3)
Total Bases
5g40%O/U: 2-3
0vs O 0.5-140
@Cardinals4/1
Cardinals4/1✗✗✓✗✓
H: 50%(2)A: 33.3%(3)
Stolen Bases
4g25%O/U: 1-3
0vs O 0.5+2000
@Cardinals3/31
Cardinals3/31✗✗✓✗
H: 50%(2)A: 0%(2)
Home Runs
3g33.3%O/U: 1-2
0vs O 0.5+575
@Cardinals3/30
Cardinals3/30✗✗✓
H: 50%(2)A: 0%(1)
Strikeouts
2g50%O/U: 1-1
1vs O 0.5-150
@Cardinals4/1
Cardinals4/1✓✗
A: 50%(2)
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
4.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(29%)
Total Matchups
7Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Alvarez's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(1-2) | 0%(0-3) | 0%(0-2) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Landen Roupp
4/4Matchup data is limited but favors Alvarez.
★★★★★vs Tyler Mahle
4/3Alvarez is slugging .472 in his last 156 PA's against right-handers with low strikeout rates like Mahle over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Matthew Liberatore
4/1Right-handed batters who hit the ball on the ground often like Alvarez are batting .306 (11-for-36) against Liberatore over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
15-24 Over39 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/1 | @Cardinals | Hits | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -155 |
| 4/1 | @Cardinals | RBIs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +210 |
| 4/1 | @Cardinals | Runs Scored | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +145 |
| 4/1 | @Cardinals | Total Bases | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +135 |
| 4/1 | @Cardinals | Walks | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +179 |
| 4/1 | @Cardinals | Strikeouts | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -150 |
| 4/1 | @Cardinals | Total Bases | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -140 |
| 3/31 | @Cardinals | Stolen Bases | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2000 |
| 3/31 | @Cardinals | Hits | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -140 |
| 3/31 | @Cardinals | RBIs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +210 |
| 3/31 | @Cardinals | Runs Scored | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +138 |
| 3/31 | @Cardinals | Total Bases | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -140 |
| 3/31 | @Cardinals | Walks | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +202 |
| 3/31 | @Cardinals | Strikeouts | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -155 |
| 3/30 | @Cardinals | Stolen Bases | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2000 |
| 3/30 | @Cardinals | Hits | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -191 |
| 3/30 | @Cardinals | RBIs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +195 |
| 3/30 | @Cardinals | Runs Scored | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +121 |
| 3/30 | @Cardinals | Home Runs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +575 |
| 3/30 | @Cardinals | Total Bases | O 0.5 | 2 | W | -175 |
| 3/30 | @Cardinals | Total Bases | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +142 |
| 3/30 | @Cardinals | Walks | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +234 |
| 3/29 | vs Pirates | Hits | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -134 |
| 3/29 | vsPirates | Stolen Bases | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +2200 |
| 3/29 | vsPirates | RBIs | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +222 |
| 3/29 | vsPirates | Runs Scored | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +142 |
| 3/28 | vsPirates | Hits | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -120 |
| 3/28 | vsPirates | Stolen Bases | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2000 |
| 3/28 | vsPirates | RBIs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +230 |
| 3/28 | vsPirates | Runs Scored | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +165 |
| 3/28 | vsPirates | Home Runs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +700 |
| 3/28 | vsPirates | Total Bases | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -125 |
| 3/28 | vsPirates | Walks | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +186 |
| 3/26 | vsPirates | Hits | O 0.5 | 2 | W | -110 |
| 3/26 | vsPirates | RBIs | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +276 |
| 3/26 | vsPirates | Home Runs | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +675 |
| 3/26 | vsPirates | Runs Scored | O 0.5 | 2 | W | +195 |
| 3/26 | vsPirates | Walks | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +214 |
| 3/26 | vsPirates | Total Bases | O 0.5 | 5 | W | -115 |
New York Mets Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
Does Francisco Alvarez hit the over on hits 0.5?
Francisco Alvarez hits the over on hits 0.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 3-3 with an average actual of 0.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$82.
Does Francisco Alvarez hit the over on rbis 0.5?
Francisco Alvarez hits the over on rbis 0.5 33.3% of the time in 2026, going 2-4 with an average actual of 0.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$98.
Does Francisco Alvarez hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Francisco Alvarez hits the over on runs scored 0.5 33.3% of the time in 2026, going 2-4 with an average actual of 0.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$63.
Does Francisco Alvarez hit the over on walks 0.5?
Francisco Alvarez hits the over on walks 0.5 40% of the time in 2026, going 2-3 with an average actual of 0.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$120.
Does Francisco Alvarez hit the over on total bases 0.5?
Francisco Alvarez hits the over on total bases 0.5 40% of the time in 2026, going 2-3 with an average actual of 1.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$156.