Francisco Alvarez

New York MetsPosition Player•2026

Reg0.251 / 9 HR / 20 RBI / 49 H / 0 SB / 59G

68.3% HRR O 0.566.1% SO O 0.565.6% H O 0.5

Season

Best Performer

Francisco Alvarez goes over 0.5 hits+runs+rbis 68.3% of the time (41-19-7)

Props — 202670 games with closing lines

Hits

70g

avg 0.8

65.6%Over: 40-21-9

2vs O 0.5-156

Braves7/6

✓P✗✓✗✓✓✓✗✗

H: 53.1%(32)A: 58.3%(36)

RBIs

70g

avg 0.4

26.2%Over: 16-45-9

1vs O 0.5+208

Braves7/6

✓P✗✗✗✓✗✗✗✗

H: 28.1%(32)A: 16.7%(36)

Runs Scored

70g

avg 0.3

26.2%Over: 16-45-9

0vs O 0.5+165

Braves7/6

✗P✗✗✗✓✗✓✗✗

H: 28.1%(32)A: 16.7%(36)

Total Bases

69g

avg 1.4

34.4%Over: 21-40-8

2vs O 1.5+165

Braves7/6

✓P✗✓✗✓✓✓✗✗

H: 30%(30)A: 29.4%(34)

Home Runs

68g

avg 0.2

13.3%Over: 8-52-8

0vs O 0.5+475

Braves7/6

✗P✗✗✗✓✗✗✗✗

H: 16.1%(31)A: 5.7%(35)

Strikeouts

67g

avg 1

66.1%Over: 39-20-8

0vs O 0.5-343

Braves7/6

✗P✓✗✓✓✗✓✓✓

H: 54.8%(31)A: 60%(35)

Doubles

67g

avg 0.1

11.7%Over: 7-53-7

0vs O 0.5+452

Braves7/6

✗P✗✗✗✗✓✓✗✗

H: 12.9%(31)A: 8.8%(34)

Hits+Runs+RBIs

67g

avg 1.4

68.3%Over: 41-19-7

3vs O 0.5-191

Braves7/6

✓P✗✓✗✓✓✓✗✗

H: 54.8%(31)A: 64.7%(34)

Singles

67g

avg 0.5

48.3%Over: 29-31-7

2vs O 0.5+134

Braves7/6

✓P✗✓✗✗✗✗✗✗

H: 35.5%(31)A: 50%(34)

Walks

63g

avg 0.1

24.1%Over: 14-44-5

0vs O 0.5+304

Braves7/6

✗P✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗

H: 24.1%(29)A: 21.2%(33)

Stolen Bases

55g

avg 0

2.2%Over: 1-45-9

0vs O 0.5+1140

Braves7/5

P✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗

H: 3.7%(27)A: 0%(27)

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

4.2★★★★★

5-Star Games

31(47%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Alvarez's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

Stars	HitsO 0.5	RBIsO 0.5	Home RunsO 0.5
★★★★★	60%(18-12)	30%(9-21)	17.9%(5-23)
★★★★★	50%(10-10)	20%(4-16)	5%(1-19)
★★★★★	54.5%(6-5)	0%(0-11)	0%(0-11)
★★★★★	66.7%(2-1)	66.7%(2-1)	33.3%(1-2)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Seth Lugo

7/7

Alvarez slugged .576 in 306 AB's when hitting at home over the last year.

★★★★★vs Reynaldo López

7/6

Alvarez has a wOBA of just .208 over his last 5 games in 12 PA's.

★★★★★vs Martín Pérez

7/5

Alvarez is slugging .525 in his last 47 PA's against left-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to Perez over the last 2 seasons.

Game Log

Bet

373-1580-226 Over2179 props

Date ↓	Opp	Market	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
7/6	@Braves	Hits	O 0.5	2	W	-156
7/6	@Braves	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 1.5	3	W	+117
7/6	@Braves	RBIs	O 0.5	1	W	+208
7/6	@Braves	Walks	O 0.5	0	L	+304
7/6	@Braves	Total Bases	O 0.5	2	W	-160
7/6	@Braves	Hits	O 1.5	2	W	+362
7/6	@Braves	Hits	O 2.5	2	L	+1760
7/6	@Braves	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 5.5	3	L	—
7/6	@Braves	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 6.5	3	L	—
7/6	@Braves	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 4.5	3	L	+770
7/6	@Braves	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 2.5	3	W	+220
7/6	@Braves	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 3.5	3	L	+412
7/6	@Braves	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 0.5	3	W	-191
7/6	@Braves	Home Runs	O 1.5	0	L	+5700
7/6	@Braves	Home Runs	O 0.5	0	L	+475
7/6	@Braves	RBIs	O 1.5	1	L	+600
7/6	@Braves	RBIs	O 2.5	1	L	+1550
7/6	@Braves	Runs Scored	O 1.5	0	L	+1000
7/6	@Braves	Runs Scored	O 0.5	0	L	+165
7/6	@Braves	Total Bases	O 5.5	2	L	—
7/6	@Braves	Total Bases	O 1.5	2	W	+165
7/6	@Braves	Total Bases	O 3.5	2	L	+400
7/6	@Braves	Total Bases	O 4.5	2	L	+880
7/6	@Braves	Total Bases	O 2.5	2	L	+310
7/6	@Braves	Doubles	O 0.5	0	L	+452
7/6	@Braves	Singles	O 1.5	2	W	+840
7/6	@Braves	Singles	O 0.5	2	W	+134
7/6	@Braves	Home Runs	O 2.5	0	L	—
7/6	@Braves	RBIs	O 3.5	1	L	+3500
7/6	@Braves	Strikeouts	O 1.5	0	L	+170
7/6	@Braves	Strikeouts	O 2.5	0	L	+850
7/6	@Braves	Strikeouts	O 0.5	0	L	-343
7/6	@Braves	Hits	O 3.5	2	L	+10000
7/6	@Braves	RBIs	O 4.5	1	L	+5500
7/6	@Braves	Runs Scored	O 2.5	0	L	+5000
7/6	@Braves	Doubles	O 1.5	0	L	—
7/6	@Braves	Runs Scored	O 3.5	0	L	—
7/5	@Braves	Doubles	O 0.5	0	P	+486
7/5	@Braves	Hits	O 0.5	0	P	-200
7/5	@Braves	Hits	O 1.5	0	P	+295
7/5	@Braves	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 0.5	0	P	-250
7/5	@Braves	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 1.5	0	P	-103
7/5	@Braves	Home Runs	O 1.5	0	P	+4600
7/5	@Braves	Home Runs	O 0.5	0	P	+421
7/5	@Braves	RBIs	O 1.5	0	P	+560
7/5	@Braves	RBIs	O 0.5	0	P	+188
7/5	@Braves	Runs Scored	O 1.5	0	P	+725
7/5	@Braves	Runs Scored	O 0.5	0	P	+125
7/5	@Braves	Singles	O 0.5	0	P	+106
7/5	@Braves	Total Bases	O 1.5	0	P	+142

New York Mets Teammates

View all

Bo Bichette Carson Benge Brett Baty Juan Soto Marcus Semien Mark Vientos Luis Torrens A.J. Ewing MJ Melendez Jared Young Francisco Lindor Tyrone Taylor Luis Robert Jr.Ronny Mauricio Zack Short

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Francisco Alvarez hit the over on hits 0.5?

Francisco Alvarez hits the over on hits 0.5 65.6% of the time in 2026, going 40-21-9 with an average actual of 0.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$645.

How often does Francisco Alvarez hit the over on rbis 0.5?

Francisco Alvarez hits the over on rbis 0.5 26.2% of the time in 2026, going 16-45-9 with an average actual of 0.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,161.

How often does Francisco Alvarez hit the over on runs scored 0.5?

Francisco Alvarez hits the over on runs scored 0.5 26.2% of the time in 2026, going 16-45-9 with an average actual of 0.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$2,245.

How often does Francisco Alvarez hit the over on total bases 1.5?

Francisco Alvarez hits the over on total bases 1.5 33.9% of the time in 2026, going 20-39-7 with an average actual of 1.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$458.

How often does Francisco Alvarez hit the over on home runs 0.5?

Francisco Alvarez hits the over on home runs 0.5 13.3% of the time in 2026, going 8-52-8 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$614.

What are Francisco Alvarez's best prop bets in 2026?

Francisco Alvarez's highest-hitting props in 2026: Hits+Runs+RBIs O 0.5 at 68.3% (41-19); Strikeouts O 0.5 at 66.1% (39-20); Hits O 0.5 at 65.6% (40-21).