Inside Edge
New York Mets67.6% HRR O 0.563.2% H O 0.561.1% SO O 0.5
Season
Best Performer
Francisco Alvarez goes over 0.5 hits+runs+rbis 67.6% of the time (25-12-3)
Props — 202642 games with closing lines
avg 1.1
67.6%Over: 25-12-3
3vs O 0.5-160
vs
Tigers5/12
Tigers5/12✓P✗✓✓✓✗✓✓✓
H: 61.1%(18)A: 61.9%(21)
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
4.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
18(46%)
Total Matchups
39Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Alvarez's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 64.7%(11-6) | 23.5%(4-13) | 6.7%(1-14) |
| ★★★★★ | 46.7%(7-8) | 26.7%(4-11) | 6.7%(1-14) |
| ★★★★★ | 60%(3-2) | 0%(0-5) | 0%(0-5) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Framber Valdez
5/13Alvarez slugged .490 in 293 AB's when hitting at home over the last year.
★★★★★vs Jack Flaherty
5/12Alvarez slugged .473 in 291 AB's when hitting at home over the last year.
★★★★★vs Eduardo Rodriguez
5/10Matchup data is limited but favors Rodriguez.
Game Log
Bet
$
204-925-81 Over1210 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/12 | vsTigers | Doubles | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +650 |
| 5/12 | vsTigers | Hits | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +600 |
| 5/12 | vsTigers | Hits | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +4000 |
| 5/12 | vsTigers | Hits | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -110 |
| 5/12 | vsTigers | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 3.5 | 3 | L | +550 |
| 5/12 | vsTigers | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 1.5 | 3 | W | +155 |
| 5/12 | vsTigers | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +300 |
| 5/12 | vsTigers | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 0.5 | 3 | W | -160 |
| 5/12 | vsTigers | Home Runs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 5/12 | vsTigers | Home Runs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +610 |
| 5/12 | vsTigers | RBIs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +750 |
| 5/12 | vsTigers | RBIs | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +250 |
| 5/12 | vsTigers | Runs Scored | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +170 |
| 5/12 | vsTigers | Runs Scored | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +1200 |
| 5/12 | vsTigers | Singles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +175 |
| 5/12 | vsTigers | Total Bases | O 4.5 | 2 | L | +1500 |
| 5/12 | vsTigers | Total Bases | O 3.5 | 2 | L | +550 |
| 5/12 | vsTigers | Total Bases | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +440 |
| 5/12 | vsTigers | Total Bases | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +230 |
| 5/12 | vsTigers | Hits | O 3.5 | 1 | L | +6000 |
| 5/12 | vsTigers | Stolen Bases | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 5/12 | vsTigers | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 4.5 | 3 | L | +1000 |
| 5/12 | vsTigers | Singles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1100 |
| 5/12 | vsTigers | Walks | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1220 |
| 5/12 | vsTigers | Walks | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +189 |
| 5/12 | vsTigers | Strikeouts | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -225 |
| 5/12 | vsTigers | Strikeouts | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +234 |
| 5/12 | vsTigers | Strikeouts | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +1220 |
| 5/12 | vsTigers | RBIs | O 4.5 | 1 | L | +6000 |
| 5/12 | vsTigers | RBIs | O 3.5 | 1 | L | +6500 |
| 5/12 | vsTigers | RBIs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +2000 |
| 5/12 | vsTigers | Runs Scored | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +8000 |
| 5/12 | vsTigers | Total Bases | O 0.5 | 2 | W | -110 |
| 5/10 | @ Diamondbacks | Doubles | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +390 |
| 5/10 | @Diamondbacks | Hits | O 3.5 | 0 | P | +10000 |
| 5/10 | @Diamondbacks | Hits | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +267 |
| 5/10 | @Diamondbacks | Hits | O 2.5 | 0 | P | +1500 |
| 5/10 | @Diamondbacks | Hits | O 0.5 | 0 | P | -206 |
| 5/10 | @Diamondbacks | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 3.5 | 0 | P | +340 |
| 5/10 | @Diamondbacks | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 0.5 | 0 | P | -273 |
| 5/10 | @Diamondbacks | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 2.5 | 0 | P | +175 |
| 5/10 | @Diamondbacks | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 1.5 | 0 | P | -113 |
| 5/10 | @Diamondbacks | Home Runs | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +7000 |
| 5/10 | @Diamondbacks | Home Runs | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +540 |
| 5/10 | @Diamondbacks | RBIs | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +550 |
| 5/10 | @Diamondbacks | RBIs | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +170 |
| 5/10 | @Diamondbacks | Runs Scored | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +124 |
| 5/10 | @Diamondbacks | Singles | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +102 |
| 5/10 | @Diamondbacks | Runs Scored | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +800 |
| 5/10 | @Diamondbacks | Total Bases | O 4.5 | 0 | P | +850 |
New York Mets Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Francisco Alvarez hit the over on hits 0.5?
Francisco Alvarez hits the over on hits 0.5 63.2% of the time in 2026, going 24-14-4 with an average actual of 0.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$177.
How often does Francisco Alvarez hit the over on rbis 0.5?
Francisco Alvarez hits the over on rbis 0.5 23.7% of the time in 2026, going 9-29-4 with an average actual of 0.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,095.
How often does Francisco Alvarez hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Francisco Alvarez hits the over on runs scored 0.5 23.7% of the time in 2026, going 9-29-4 with an average actual of 0.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,649.
How often does Francisco Alvarez hit the over on total bases 1.5?
Francisco Alvarez hits the over on total bases 1.5 27.8% of the time in 2026, going 10-26-3 with an average actual of 1.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$865.
How often does Francisco Alvarez hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Francisco Alvarez hits the over on home runs 0.5 8.1% of the time in 2026, going 3-34-3 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,295.
What are Francisco Alvarez's best prop bets in 2026?
Francisco Alvarez's highest-hitting props in 2026: Hits+Runs+RBIs O 0.5 at 67.6% (25-12); Hits O 0.5 at 63.2% (24-14); Strikeouts O 0.5 at 61.1% (22-14).