Francisco Alvarez

New York MetsPosition Player•2026

Reg0.251 / 9 HR / 20 RBI / 49 H / 0 SB / 59G

68.3% HRR O 0.566.1% SO O 0.565.6% H O 0.5

Season

All Francisco Alvarez props

Props — 202670 games with closing lines

Stolen Bases

55g

avg 0

2.2%Over: 1-45-9

0vs O 0.5+1140

Braves7/5

P✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗

H: 3.7%(27)A: 0%(27)

SeasonalityAll lines

25%

Mar
1-3

Apr
0-22

May
0-9

Jun
0-16

Jul
0-4

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

4.2★★★★★

5-Star Games

31(47%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Alvarez's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

Stars	HitsO 0.5	RBIsO 0.5	Home RunsO 0.5
★★★★★	60%(18-12)	30%(9-21)	17.9%(5-23)
★★★★★	50%(10-10)	20%(4-16)	5%(1-19)
★★★★★	54.5%(6-5)	0%(0-11)	0%(0-11)
★★★★★	66.7%(2-1)	66.7%(2-1)	33.3%(1-2)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Seth Lugo

7/7

Alvarez slugged .576 in 306 AB's when hitting at home over the last year.

★★★★★vs Reynaldo López

7/6

Alvarez has a wOBA of just .208 over his last 5 games in 12 PA's.

★★★★★vs Martín Pérez

7/5

Alvarez is slugging .525 in his last 47 PA's against left-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to Perez over the last 2 seasons.

Game Log

Bet

1-48-10 Over54g · 59 props

Date ↓	Opp	Line	Result	Odds
7/5	@Braves	O 0.5	P	+1140
7/5	@Braves	O 1.5	P	+12500
7/4	@Braves	O 0.5	L	+1200
7/4	@Braves	O 1.5	L	+12500
7/3	@Braves	O 0.5	L	+920
7/3	@Braves	O 1.5	L	+12500
7/1	@Blue Jays	O 0.5	L	+1180
6/30	@Blue Jays	O 0.5	L	+1500
6/29	@Blue Jays	O 0.5	L	+4200
6/27	vsPhillies	O 0.5	L	+4200
6/25	vsCubs	O 0.5	L	+1900
6/24	vsCubs	O 0.5	L	+1700
6/24	vsCubs	O 0.5	L	+4300
6/23	vsCubs	O 0.5	L	+4100
6/22	vsCubs	O 0.5	P	+4200
6/21	@Phillies	O 0.5	L	+3900
6/17	@Reds	O 0.5	L	+700
6/17	@Reds	O 1.5	L	+5300
6/16	@Reds	O 0.5	L	+2200
6/14	vsBraves	O 0.5	P	+2200
6/12	vsBraves	O 0.5	P	+4000
6/11	vsCardinals	O 0.5	L	+1500
6/10	vsCardinals	O 0.5	L	+1500
6/9	vsCardinals	O 0.5	L	+5600
5/12	vsTigers	O 0.5	L	+2200
5/10	@Diamondbacks	O 0.5	P	+1500
5/8	@Diamondbacks	O 0.5	L	+2200
5/7	@Rockies	O 0.5	L	+1700
5/6	@Rockies	O 0.5	L	+1500
5/5	@Rockies	O 0.5	L	+1200
5/4	@Rockies	O 0.5	L	+2200
5/2	@Angels	O 0.5	L	+2200
5/1	@Angels	O 0.5	L	+2000
4/30	vsNationals	O 0.5	L	+1500
4/29	vsNationals	O 0.5	L	+2000
4/28	vsNationals	O 0.5	L	+1700
4/26	vsRockies	O 0.5	L	+2200
4/25	vsRockies	O 0.5	P	+2000
4/24	vsRockies	O 0.5	L	+1500
4/23	vsTwins	O 0.5	L	+2200
4/22	vsTwins	O 0.5	L	+2200
4/21	vsTwins	O 0.5	L	+2000
4/18	@Cubs	O 0.5	L	+2000
4/17	@Cubs	O 0.5	L	+1400
4/15	@Dodgers	O 0.5	L	+2200
4/14	@Dodgers	O 0.5	L	+2200
4/13	@Dodgers	O 0.5	L	+2200
4/12	vsAthletics	O 0.5	P	+2000
4/11	vsAthletics	O 0.5	L	+2000
4/10	vsAthletics	O 0.5	L	+2000

New York Mets Teammates

View all

Bo Bichette Carson Benge Brett Baty Juan Soto Marcus Semien Mark Vientos Luis Torrens A.J. Ewing MJ Melendez Jared Young Francisco Lindor Tyrone Taylor Luis Robert Jr.Ronny Mauricio Zack Short

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Francisco Alvarez hit the over on stolen bases 0.5?

Francisco Alvarez hits the over on stolen bases 0.5 2.2% of the time in 2026, going 1-45-9 with an average actual of 0.

Is Francisco Alvarez over 0.5 stolen bases a good bet?

Based on 55 games in 2026, betting $100 on Francisco Alvarez over 0.5 stolen bases at best closing odds has returned -$2,300 (-41.82% ROI). The hit rate is 2.2% with an average actual of 0.

What is Francisco Alvarez's stolen bases average this season?

Francisco Alvarez averages 0 stolen bases per game in 2026 across 55 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.