Inside Edge
New York Mets67.6% HRR O 0.563.2% H O 0.561.1% SO O 0.5
Season
All Francisco Alvarez propsProps — 202642 games with closing lines
Stolen Bases
34g3.3%Over: 1-29-4
0vs O 0.5+2200
vs
Tigers5/12
Tigers5/12✗P✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 5.9%(17)A: 0%(17)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
4.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
18(46%)
Total Matchups
39Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Alvarez's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 64.7%(11-6) | 23.5%(4-13) | 6.7%(1-14) |
| ★★★★★ | 46.7%(7-8) | 26.7%(4-11) | 6.7%(1-14) |
| ★★★★★ | 60%(3-2) | 0%(0-5) | 0%(0-5) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Framber Valdez
5/13Alvarez slugged .490 in 293 AB's when hitting at home over the last year.
★★★★★vs Jack Flaherty
5/12Alvarez slugged .473 in 291 AB's when hitting at home over the last year.
★★★★★vs Eduardo Rodriguez
5/10Matchup data is limited but favors Rodriguez.
Game Log
Bet
$
1-29-4 Over34g · 34 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/12 | vsTigers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 5/10 | @ Diamondbacks | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1500 |
| 5/8 | @Diamondbacks | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 5/7 | @ Rockies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1700 |
| 5/6 | @Rockies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1500 |
| 5/5 | @Rockies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1200 |
| 5/4 | @Rockies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 5/2 | @ Angels | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 5/1 | @Angels | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2000 |
| 4/30 | vs Nationals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1500 |
| 4/29 | vsNationals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2000 |
| 4/28 | vsNationals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1700 |
| 4/26 | vsRockies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 4/25 | vsRockies | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +2000 |
| 4/24 | vsRockies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1500 |
| 4/23 | vs Twins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 4/22 | vsTwins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 4/21 | vsTwins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2000 |
| 4/18 | @ Cubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2000 |
| 4/17 | @Cubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1400 |
| 4/15 | @ Dodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 4/14 | @Dodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 4/13 | @Dodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 4/12 | vs Athletics | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +2000 |
| 4/11 | vsAthletics | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2000 |
| 4/10 | vsAthletics | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2000 |
| 4/9 | vsDiamondbacks | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1500 |
| 4/8 | vsDiamondbacks | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 4/3 | @ Giants | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +2200 |
| 4/2 | @Giants | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2000 |
| 3/31 | @ Cardinals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2000 |
| 3/30 | @Cardinals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2000 |
| 3/29 | vs Pirates | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +2200 |
| 3/28 | vsPirates | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
New York Mets Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Francisco Alvarez hit the over on stolen bases 0.5?
Francisco Alvarez hits the over on stolen bases 0.5 3.3% of the time in 2026, going 1-29-4 with an average actual of 0.
Is Francisco Alvarez over 0.5 stolen bases a good bet?
Based on 34 games in 2026, betting $100 on Francisco Alvarez over 0.5 stolen bases at best closing odds has returned -$700 (-20.59% ROI). The hit rate is 3.3% with an average actual of 0.
What is Francisco Alvarez's stolen bases average this season?
Francisco Alvarez averages 0 stolen bases per game in 2026 across 34 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.