Francisco Alvarez

New York MetsPosition Player•2026

Reg0.251 / 9 HR / 20 RBI / 49 H / 0 SB / 59G

68.3% HRR O 0.566.1% SO O 0.565.6% H O 0.5

Season

All Francisco Alvarez props

Props — 202671 games with closing lines

Runs Scored

71g

avg 0.3

26.2%Over: 16-45-10

0vs O 0.5+135

Royals7/7

P✗P✗✗✗✓✗✓✗

H: 27.3%(33)A: 16.7%(36)

SeasonalityAll lines

40%

11%

36%

32%

Mar
2-3

Apr
3-24

May
4-7

Jun
7-15

Jul
0-6

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

4.2★★★★★

5-Star Games

31(47%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Alvarez's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

Stars	HitsO 0.5	RBIsO 0.5	Home RunsO 0.5
★★★★★	60%(18-12)	30%(9-21)	17.9%(5-23)
★★★★★	47.6%(10-11)	19%(4-17)	4.8%(1-20)
★★★★★	54.5%(6-5)	0%(0-11)	0%(0-11)
★★★★★	66.7%(2-1)	66.7%(2-1)	33.3%(1-2)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Seth Lugo

7/7

Alvarez slugged .576 in 306 AB's when hitting at home over the last year.

★★★★★vs Reynaldo López

7/6

Alvarez has a wOBA of just .208 over his last 5 games in 12 PA's.

★★★★★vs Martín Pérez

7/5

Alvarez is slugging .525 in his last 47 PA's against left-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to Perez over the last 2 seasons.

Game Log

Bet

18-171-27 Over69g · 216 props

Date ↓	Opp	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
7/7	vsRoyals	O 0.5	0	P	+135
7/7	vsRoyals	O 3.5	0	P	—
7/7	vsRoyals	O 2.5	0	P	+3500
7/7	vsRoyals	O 1.5	0	P	+1000
7/6	@Braves	O 1.5	0	L	+1000
7/6	@Braves	O 0.5	0	L	+165
7/6	@Braves	O 2.5	0	L	+5000
7/6	@Braves	O 3.5	0	L	—
7/5	@Braves	O 1.5	0	P	+725
7/5	@Braves	O 0.5	0	P	+125
7/5	@Braves	O 2.5	0	P	+3300
7/5	@Braves	O 3.5	0	P	—
7/4	@Braves	O 1.5	0	L	+1400
7/4	@Braves	O 0.5	0	L	+175
7/4	@Braves	O 2.5	0	L	+4000
7/4	@Braves	O 3.5	0	L	—
7/3	@Braves	O 0.5	0	L	+140
7/3	@Braves	O 1.5	0	L	+900
7/3	@Braves	O 2.5	0	L	+5000
7/3	@Braves	O 3.5	0	L	—
7/1	@Blue Jays	O 1.5	0	L	+1000
7/1	@Blue Jays	O 0.5	0	L	+140
7/1	@Blue Jays	O 2.5	0	L	+6000
7/1	@Blue Jays	O 3.5	0	L	—
6/30	@Blue Jays	O 0.5	1	W	+172
6/30	@Blue Jays	O 1.5	1	L	+1000
6/30	@Blue Jays	O 2.5	1	L	+7000
6/30	@Blue Jays	O 3.5	1	L	—
6/29	@Blue Jays	O 1.5	0	L	+950
6/29	@Blue Jays	O 0.5	0	L	+161
6/29	@Blue Jays	O 2.5	0	L	+6500
6/29	@Blue Jays	O 3.5	0	L	—
6/28	vsPhillies	O 0.5	1	W	+150
6/28	vsPhillies	O 1.5	1	L	+1000
6/28	vsPhillies	O 2.5	1	L	+8000
6/28	vsPhillies	O 3.5	1	L	—
6/27	vsPhillies	O 1.5	0	L	+850
6/27	vsPhillies	O 0.5	0	L	+126
6/27	vsPhillies	O 2.5	0	L	+6000
6/27	vsPhillies	O 3.5	0	L	—
6/26	vsPhillies	O 1.5	0	L	+1600
6/26	vsPhillies	O 0.5	0	L	+195
6/26	vsPhillies	O 2.5	0	L	+4500
6/26	vsPhillies	O 3.5	0	L	—
6/25	vsCubs	O 0.5	0	L	+140
6/25	vsCubs	O 1.5	0	L	+900
6/25	vsCubs	O 3.5	0	L	—
6/25	vsCubs	O 2.5	0	L	+6000
6/24	vsCubs	O 0.5	1	W	+130
6/24	vsCubs	O 1.5	1	L	+950

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Francisco Alvarez hit the over on runs scored 0.5?

Francisco Alvarez hits the over on runs scored 0.5 26.2% of the time in 2026, going 16-45-10 with an average actual of 0.2.

Is Francisco Alvarez over 0.5 runs scored a good bet?

Based on 71 games in 2026, betting $100 on Francisco Alvarez over 0.5 runs scored at best closing odds has returned -$2,245 (-31.62% ROI). The hit rate is 26.2% with an average actual of 0.2.

What is Francisco Alvarez's runs scored average this season?

Francisco Alvarez averages 0.2 runs scored per game in 2026 across 71 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.