Francisco Alvarez

New York MetsPosition Player•2026

Reg0.253 / 9 HR / 21 RBI / 50 H / 0 SB / 60G

68.9% HRR O 0.566.7% SO O 0.566.1% H O 0.5

Season

All Francisco Alvarez props

Props — 202672 games with closing lines

Runs Scored

72g

avg 0.3

25.8%Over: 16-46-10

0vs O 0.5+110

Royals7/8

✗P✗P✗✗✗✓✗✓

H: 26.5%(34)A: 16.7%(36)

SeasonalityAll lines

40%

11%

36%

32%

Mar
2-3

Apr
3-24

May
4-7

Jun
7-15

Jul
0-7

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

4.2★★★★★

5-Star Games

31(46%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Alvarez's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

Stars	HitsO 0.5	RBIsO 0.5	Home RunsO 0.5
★★★★★	60%(18-12)	30%(9-21)	17.9%(5-23)
★★★★★	50%(11-11)	22.7%(5-17)	4.5%(1-21)
★★★★★	54.5%(6-5)	0%(0-11)	0%(0-11)
★★★★★	66.7%(2-1)	66.7%(2-1)	33.3%(1-2)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Steven Cruz

7/8

Alvarez slugged .576 in 306 AB's when hitting at home over the last year.

★★★★★vs Seth Lugo

7/7

Alvarez slugged .576 in 306 AB's when hitting at home over the last year.

★★★★★vs Reynaldo López

7/6

Alvarez has a wOBA of just .208 over his last 5 games in 12 PA's.

Game Log

Bet

18-175-27 Over70g · 220 props

Date ↓	Opp	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
7/8	vsRoyals	O 1.5	0	L	+650
7/8	vsRoyals	O 0.5	0	L	+110
7/8	vsRoyals	O 2.5	0	L	+3500
7/8	vsRoyals	O 3.5	0	L	—
7/7	vsRoyals	O 0.5	0	P	+135
7/7	vsRoyals	O 3.5	0	P	—
7/7	vsRoyals	O 2.5	0	P	+3500
7/7	vsRoyals	O 1.5	0	P	+1000
7/6	@Braves	O 1.5	0	L	+1000
7/6	@Braves	O 0.5	0	L	+165
7/6	@Braves	O 2.5	0	L	+5000
7/6	@Braves	O 3.5	0	L	—
7/5	@Braves	O 1.5	0	P	+725
7/5	@Braves	O 0.5	0	P	+125
7/5	@Braves	O 2.5	0	P	+3300
7/5	@Braves	O 3.5	0	P	—
7/4	@Braves	O 1.5	0	L	+1400
7/4	@Braves	O 0.5	0	L	+175
7/4	@Braves	O 2.5	0	L	+4000
7/4	@Braves	O 3.5	0	L	—
7/3	@Braves	O 0.5	0	L	+140
7/3	@Braves	O 1.5	0	L	+900
7/3	@Braves	O 2.5	0	L	+5000
7/3	@Braves	O 3.5	0	L	—
7/1	@Blue Jays	O 1.5	0	L	+1000
7/1	@Blue Jays	O 0.5	0	L	+140
7/1	@Blue Jays	O 2.5	0	L	+6000
7/1	@Blue Jays	O 3.5	0	L	—
6/30	@Blue Jays	O 0.5	1	W	+172
6/30	@Blue Jays	O 1.5	1	L	+1000
6/30	@Blue Jays	O 2.5	1	L	+7000
6/30	@Blue Jays	O 3.5	1	L	—
6/29	@Blue Jays	O 1.5	0	L	+950
6/29	@Blue Jays	O 0.5	0	L	+161
6/29	@Blue Jays	O 2.5	0	L	+6500
6/29	@Blue Jays	O 3.5	0	L	—
6/28	vsPhillies	O 0.5	1	W	+150
6/28	vsPhillies	O 1.5	1	L	+1000
6/28	vsPhillies	O 2.5	1	L	+8000
6/28	vsPhillies	O 3.5	1	L	—
6/27	vsPhillies	O 1.5	0	L	+850
6/27	vsPhillies	O 0.5	0	L	+126
6/27	vsPhillies	O 2.5	0	L	+6000
6/27	vsPhillies	O 3.5	0	L	—
6/26	vsPhillies	O 1.5	0	L	+1600
6/26	vsPhillies	O 0.5	0	L	+195
6/26	vsPhillies	O 2.5	0	L	+4500
6/26	vsPhillies	O 3.5	0	L	—
6/25	vsCubs	O 0.5	0	L	+140
6/25	vsCubs	O 1.5	0	L	+900

New York Mets Teammates

View all

Bo Bichette Carson Benge Brett Baty Juan Soto Marcus Semien Mark Vientos Luis Torrens A.J. Ewing MJ Melendez Jared Young Francisco Lindor Tyrone Taylor Luis Robert Jr.Ronny Mauricio Jorge Polanco

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Francisco Alvarez hit the over on runs scored 0.5?

Francisco Alvarez hits the over on runs scored 0.5 25.8% of the time in 2026, going 16-46-10 with an average actual of 0.2.

Is Francisco Alvarez over 0.5 runs scored a good bet?

Based on 72 games in 2026, betting $100 on Francisco Alvarez over 0.5 runs scored at best closing odds has returned -$2,345 (-32.57% ROI). The hit rate is 25.8% with an average actual of 0.2.

What is Francisco Alvarez's runs scored average this season?

Francisco Alvarez averages 0.2 runs scored per game in 2026 across 72 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.