Francisco Alvarez

New York MetsPosition Player•2026

Reg0.250 / 4 HR / 10 RBI / 27 H / 0 SB / 35G

67.6% HRR O 0.563.2% H O 0.561.1% SO O 0.5

Season

All Francisco Alvarez props

Props — 202642 games with closing lines

Home Runs

40g

avg 0

8.1%Over: 3-34-3

0vs O 0.5+610

Tigers5/12

✗P✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗

H: 11.1%(18)A: 4.8%(21)

Seasonality

Mar

33.3%1-2

Apr

7.7%2-24

May

0%0-11

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

4.3★★★★★

5-Star Games

18(46%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Alvarez's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

Stars	HitsO 0.5	RBIsO 0.5	Home RunsO 0.5
★★★★★	64.7%(11-6)	23.5%(4-13)	6.7%(1-14)
★★★★★	46.7%(7-8)	26.7%(4-11)	6.7%(1-14)
★★★★★	60%(3-2)	0%(0-5)	0%(0-5)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Framber Valdez

5/13

Alvarez slugged .490 in 293 AB's when hitting at home over the last year.

★★★★★vs Jack Flaherty

5/12

Alvarez slugged .473 in 291 AB's when hitting at home over the last year.

★★★★★vs Eduardo Rodriguez

5/10

Matchup data is limited but favors Rodriguez.

Game Log

Bet

4-73-6 Over39g · 83 props

Date ↓	Opp	Line	Result	Odds
5/12	vsTigers	O 1.5	L	+8000
5/12	vsTigers	O 0.5	L	+610
5/10	@Diamondbacks	O 1.5	P	+7000
5/10	@Diamondbacks	O 0.5	P	+540
5/9	@Diamondbacks	O 1.5	L	+5000
5/9	@Diamondbacks	O 0.5	L	+525
5/8	@Diamondbacks	O 1.5	L	+7000
5/8	@Diamondbacks	O 0.5	L	+525
5/7	@Rockies	O 1.5	L	+6000
5/7	@Rockies	O 0.5	L	+470
5/6	@Rockies	O 0.5	L	+590
5/6	@Rockies	O 1.5	L	+8000
5/5	@Rockies	O 0.5	L	+680
5/5	@Rockies	O 1.5	L	+10000
5/4	@Rockies	O 0.5	L	+440
5/4	@Rockies	O 1.5	L	+5500
5/3	@Angels	O 0.5	L	+400
5/3	@Angels	O 1.5	L	+3000
5/2	@Angels	O 0.5	L	+490
5/2	@Angels	O 1.5	L	+5500
5/1	@Angels	O 0.5	L	+555
5/1	@Angels	O 1.5	L	+7000
4/30	vsNationals	O 0.5	L	+474
4/30	vsNationals	O 1.5	L	+5500
4/29	vsNationals	O 1.5	L	+8200
4/29	vsNationals	O 0.5	L	+680
4/28	vsNationals	O 0.5	L	+410
4/28	vsNationals	O 1.5	L	+6000
4/26	vsRockies	O 0.5	L	+528
4/26	vsRockies	O 1.5	L	+5700
4/26	vsRockies	O 0.5	L	+710
4/26	vsRockies	O 1.5	L	+8000
4/25	vsRockies	O 0.5	P	+610
4/25	vsRockies	O 1.5	P	+8000
4/24	vsRockies	O 0.5	L	+540
4/24	vsRockies	O 1.5	L	+7000
4/23	vsTwins	O 1.5	L	+5500
4/23	vsTwins	O 0.5	L	+490
4/22	vsTwins	O 0.5	L	+543
4/22	vsTwins	O 1.5	L	+5900
4/21	vsTwins	O 1.5	L	+5300
4/21	vsTwins	O 0.5	L	+491
4/19	@Cubs	O 0.5	L	+585
4/19	@Cubs	O 1.5	L	+7200
4/18	@Cubs	O 0.5	L	+490
4/18	@Cubs	O 1.5	L	+6000
4/17	@Cubs	O 1.5	L	+3000
4/17	@Cubs	O 0.5	L	+340
4/15	@Dodgers	O 1.5	L	+8000
4/15	@Dodgers	O 0.5	L	+520

New York Mets Teammates

View all

Marcus Semien Bo Bichette Mark Vientos Brett Baty Carson Benge Juan Soto Tyrone Taylor Luis Robert Jr.Luis Torrens Francisco Lindor MJ Melendez Jorge Polanco Austin Slater Ronny Mauricio A.J. Ewing

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Francisco Alvarez hit the over on home runs 0.5?

Francisco Alvarez hits the over on home runs 0.5 8.1% of the time in 2026, going 3-34-3 with an average actual of 0.1.

Is Francisco Alvarez over 0.5 home runs a good bet?

Based on 40 games in 2026, betting $100 on Francisco Alvarez over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned -$1,295 (-32.37% ROI). The hit rate is 8.1% with an average actual of 0.1.

What is Francisco Alvarez's home runs average this season?

Francisco Alvarez averages 0.1 home runs per game in 2026 across 40 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.