Francisco Alvarez

New York MetsPosition Player•2026

Reg0.251 / 9 HR / 20 RBI / 49 H / 0 SB / 59G

68.3% HRR O 0.566.1% SO O 0.565.6% H O 0.5

Season

All Francisco Alvarez props

Props — 202670 games with closing lines

Strikeouts

67g

avg 1

66.1%Over: 39-20-8

0vs O 0.5-343

Braves7/6

✗P✓✗✓✓✗✓✓✓

H: 54.8%(31)A: 60%(35)

SeasonalityAll lines

50%

46%

80%

68%

40%

Mar
2-2

Apr
12-14

May
8-2

Jun
15-7

Jul
2-3

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

4.2★★★★★

5-Star Games

31(47%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Alvarez's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

Stars	HitsO 0.5	RBIsO 0.5	Home RunsO 0.5
★★★★★	60%(18-12)	30%(9-21)	17.9%(5-23)
★★★★★	50%(10-10)	20%(4-16)	5%(1-19)
★★★★★	54.5%(6-5)	0%(0-11)	0%(0-11)
★★★★★	66.7%(2-1)	66.7%(2-1)	33.3%(1-2)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Seth Lugo

7/7

Alvarez slugged .576 in 306 AB's when hitting at home over the last year.

★★★★★vs Reynaldo López

7/6

Alvarez has a wOBA of just .208 over his last 5 games in 12 PA's.

★★★★★vs Martín Pérez

7/5

Alvarez is slugging .525 in his last 47 PA's against left-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to Perez over the last 2 seasons.

Game Log

Bet

53-90-13 Over66g · 156 props

Date ↓	Opp	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
7/6	@Braves	O 1.5	0	L	+170
7/6	@Braves	O 2.5	0	L	+850
7/6	@Braves	O 0.5	0	L	-343
7/5	@Braves	O 1.5	0	P	+204
7/5	@Braves	O 2.5	0	P	+1040
7/5	@Braves	O 0.5	0	P	-288
7/4	@Braves	O 1.5	1	L	+123
7/4	@Braves	O 2.5	1	L	+610
7/4	@Braves	O 0.5	1	W	-497
7/3	@Braves	O 1.5	0	L	+137
7/3	@Braves	O 0.5	0	L	-453
7/3	@Braves	O 2.5	0	L	+680
7/1	@Blue Jays	O 0.5	3	W	-347
7/1	@Blue Jays	O 2.5	3	W	+860
7/1	@Blue Jays	O 1.5	3	W	+170
6/30	@Blue Jays	O 2.5	2	L	+670
6/30	@Blue Jays	O 1.5	2	W	+135
6/30	@Blue Jays	O 0.5	2	W	-449
6/29	@Blue Jays	O 1.5	0	L	+217
6/29	@Blue Jays	O 0.5	0	L	-283
6/29	@Blue Jays	O 2.5	0	L	+1160
6/28	vsPhillies	O 0.5	3	W	-354
6/28	vsPhillies	O 1.5	3	W	+163
6/28	vsPhillies	O 2.5	3	W	+810
6/27	vsPhillies	O 1.5	2	W	+220
6/27	vsPhillies	O 2.5	2	L	+1160
6/27	vsPhillies	O 0.5	2	W	-286
6/26	vsPhillies	O 1.5	1	L	+110
6/26	vsPhillies	O 2.5	1	L	+540
6/26	vsPhillies	O 0.5	1	W	-610
6/25	vsCubs	O 1.5	1	L	+240
6/25	vsCubs	O 0.5	1	W	-245
6/25	vsCubs	O 2.5	1	L	+1220
6/24	vsCubs	O 1.5	1	L	+350
6/24	vsCubs	O 0.5	1	W	-177
6/24	vsCubs	O 1.5	2	W	+255
6/24	vsCubs	O 0.5	2	W	-237
6/23	vsCubs	O 0.5	1	W	-348
6/23	vsCubs	O 1.5	1	L	+184
6/23	vsCubs	O 2.5	1	L	+1020
6/22	vsCubs	O 0.5	0	P	-184
6/22	vsCubs	O 1.5	0	P	+327
6/21	@Phillies	O 1.5	3	W	+127
6/21	@Phillies	O 0.5	3	W	-523
6/21	@Phillies	O 2.5	3	W	+640
6/20	@Phillies	O 2.5	0	L	+670
6/20	@Phillies	O 1.5	0	L	+140
6/20	@Phillies	O 0.5	0	L	-442
6/18	@Phillies	O 0.5	1	W	-361
6/18	@Phillies	O 1.5	1	L	+176

New York Mets Teammates

View all

Bo Bichette Carson Benge Brett Baty Juan Soto Marcus Semien Mark Vientos Luis Torrens A.J. Ewing MJ Melendez Jared Young Francisco Lindor Tyrone Taylor Luis Robert Jr.Ronny Mauricio Zack Short

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Francisco Alvarez hit the over on strikeouts 0.5?

Francisco Alvarez hits the over on strikeouts 0.5 66.1% of the time in 2026, going 39-20-8 with an average actual of 0.8.

Is Francisco Alvarez over 0.5 strikeouts a good bet?

Based on 67 games in 2026, betting $100 on Francisco Alvarez over 0.5 strikeouts at best closing odds has returned -$358 (-5.34% ROI). The hit rate is 66.1% with an average actual of 0.8.

What is Francisco Alvarez's strikeouts average this season?

Francisco Alvarez averages 0.8 strikeouts per game in 2026 across 67 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.