Francisco Alvarez

New York MetsPosition Player•2026

Reg0.250 / 4 HR / 10 RBI / 27 H / 0 SB / 35G

67.6% HRR O 0.563.2% H O 0.561.1% SO O 0.5

Season

All Francisco Alvarez props

Props — 202642 games with closing lines

Strikeouts

39g

avg 0.7

61.1%Over: 22-14-3

0vs O 0.5-225

Tigers5/12

✗✓✓✓✗✓✓✓✓✓

H: 38.9%(18)A: 71.4%(21)

Seasonality

Mar

50%2-2

Apr

48%12-13

May

80%8-2

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

4.3★★★★★

5-Star Games

18(46%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Alvarez's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

Stars	HitsO 0.5	RBIsO 0.5	Home RunsO 0.5
★★★★★	64.7%(11-6)	23.5%(4-13)	6.7%(1-14)
★★★★★	46.7%(7-8)	26.7%(4-11)	6.7%(1-14)
★★★★★	60%(3-2)	0%(0-5)	0%(0-5)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Framber Valdez

5/13

Alvarez slugged .490 in 293 AB's when hitting at home over the last year.

★★★★★vs Jack Flaherty

5/12

Alvarez slugged .473 in 291 AB's when hitting at home over the last year.

★★★★★vs Eduardo Rodriguez

5/10

Matchup data is limited but favors Rodriguez.

Game Log

Bet

25-56-3 Over39g · 84 props

Date ↓	Opp	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
5/12	vsTigers	O 0.5	0	L	-225
5/12	vsTigers	O 1.5	0	L	+234
5/12	vsTigers	O 2.5	0	L	+1220
5/9	@Diamondbacks	O 0.5	1	W	-185
5/9	@Diamondbacks	O 1.5	1	L	+240
5/9	@Diamondbacks	O 2.5	1	L	+1200
5/8	@Diamondbacks	O 1.5	1	L	+212
5/8	@Diamondbacks	O 0.5	1	W	-200
5/8	@Diamondbacks	O 2.5	1	L	+1140
5/7	@Rockies	O 0.5	2	W	-155
5/7	@Rockies	O 1.5	2	W	+368
5/6	@Rockies	O 0.5	0	L	-175
5/6	@Rockies	O 1.5	0	L	+326
5/5	@Rockies	O 0.5	1	W	-165
5/5	@Rockies	O 1.5	1	L	+327
5/4	@Rockies	O 0.5	1	W	-155
5/4	@Rockies	O 1.5	1	L	+361
5/3	@Angels	O 0.5	2	W	-210
5/2	@Angels	O 0.5	1	W	-367
5/2	@Angels	O 1.5	1	L	+161
5/2	@Angels	O 2.5	1	L	+780
5/1	@Angels	O 0.5	1	W	-281
5/1	@Angels	O 1.5	1	L	+213
5/1	@Angels	O 2.5	1	L	+1040
4/30	vsNationals	O 0.5	0	L	-152
4/30	vsNationals	O 1.5	0	L	+413
4/29	vsNationals	O 0.5	3	W	-200
4/29	vsNationals	O 1.5	3	W	+295
4/28	vsNationals	O 0.5	0	L	-155
4/28	vsNationals	O 1.5	0	L	+318
4/26	vsRockies	O 0.5	0	L	-158
4/26	vsRockies	O 1.5	0	L	+396
4/25	vsRockies	O 0.5	0	P	-135
4/24	vsRockies	O 0.5	1	W	-190
4/24	vsRockies	O 1.5	1	L	+280
4/23	vsTwins	O 0.5	2	W	-423
4/23	vsTwins	O 1.5	2	W	+150
4/23	vsTwins	O 2.5	2	L	+750
4/22	vsTwins	O 0.5	0	L	-220
4/22	vsTwins	O 1.5	0	L	+230
4/22	vsTwins	O 2.5	0	L	+1160
4/21	vsTwins	O 0.5	1	W	-190
4/21	vsTwins	O 1.5	1	L	+335
4/19	@Cubs	O 0.5	1	W	-210
4/19	@Cubs	O 1.5	1	L	+266
4/18	@Cubs	O 0.5	0	L	-208
4/18	@Cubs	O 1.5	0	L	+295
4/17	@Cubs	O 0.5	0	L	-328
4/17	@Cubs	O 1.5	0	L	+185
4/17	@Cubs	O 2.5	0	L	+930

New York Mets Teammates

View all

Marcus Semien Bo Bichette Mark Vientos Brett Baty Carson Benge Juan Soto Tyrone Taylor Luis Robert Jr.Luis Torrens Francisco Lindor MJ Melendez Jorge Polanco Austin Slater Ronny Mauricio A.J. Ewing

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Francisco Alvarez hit the over on strikeouts 0.5?

Francisco Alvarez hits the over on strikeouts 0.5 61.1% of the time in 2026, going 22-14-3 with an average actual of 0.7.

Is Francisco Alvarez over 0.5 strikeouts a good bet?

Based on 39 games in 2026, betting $100 on Francisco Alvarez over 0.5 strikeouts at best closing odds has returned -$378 (-9.69% ROI). The hit rate is 61.1% with an average actual of 0.7.

What is Francisco Alvarez's strikeouts average this season?

Francisco Alvarez averages 0.7 strikeouts per game in 2026 across 39 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.