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Players/MLB/New York Mets/Francisco Alvarez/Hits
Francisco Alvarez

Francisco Alvarez

New York Mets•2026
.235AVG13HR30RBI28R70H0SB91G
.235AVG13HR30RBI28R70H0SB91G
62.4% H O 0.560.7% TB O 0.543.5% 1B O 0.5
Season
All Francisco Alvarez props

Props — 2026111 games with closing lines

Hits

111g
avg 0.5
62.4%Over: 58-35-18
0vs O 0.5
@White Sox8/23
✗✓✗✗✗✗P✓✗✗
H: 48.1%(54)A: 55.6%(54)
SeasonalityAll lines
60%
48%
73%
64%
46%
40%
Mar
3-2
Apr
13-14
May
8-3
Jun
14-8
Jul
12-14
Aug
8-12
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
4.2★★★★★
5-Star Games
46(43%)
Total Matchups
106
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Alvarez's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

StarsHitsO 0.5RBIsO 0.5Home RunsO 0.5
★★★★★51.1%(23-22)26.7%(12-33)16.3%(7-36)
★★★★★47.2%(17-19)22.2%(8-28)5.6%(2-34)
★★★★★57.9%(11-8)10.5%(2-17)0%(0-19)
★★★★★75%(3-1)50%(2-2)25%(1-3)
★★★★★0%(0-1)0%(0-1)0%(0-1)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Sean Newcomb
8/23

Alvarez is slugging .533 in his last 33 PA's against left-handers who rely heavily on the slider like Newcomb over the last 2 seasons.

★★★★★vs Luis Castillo
8/22

Alvarez has a Well-Hit Rate of just 7.1% in 14 AB's over the last 5 days; League Avg: 19.4%.

★★★★★vs Sean Burke
8/21

Alvarez is slugging .654 in his last 27 PA's against right-handers who rely heavily on both the slider and curve like Burke over the last 2 seasons.

Game Log

Bet
$
72-290-66 Over108g · 428 props
Date ↓OppLineActualResultOdds
8/23@White SoxO 1.50L—
8/23@White SoxO 0.50L—
8/23@White SoxO 2.50L—
8/23@White SoxO 3.50L+4500
8/22@White SoxO 1.51L+400
8/22@White SoxO 0.51W-135
8/22@White SoxO 2.51L+2100
8/22@White SoxO 3.51L+15000
8/21@White SoxO 0.50L-120
8/21@White SoxO 1.50L+450
8/21@White SoxO 2.50L+2300
8/21@White SoxO 3.50L+15000
8/19vsPadresO 0.50L-135
8/19vsPadresO 1.50L+420
8/19vsPadresO 2.50L+2500
8/19vsPadresO 3.50L+20000
8/18vsPadresO 1.50L+499
8/18vsPadresO 0.50L-126
8/18vsPadresO 2.50L+2700
8/18vsPadresO 3.50L+5500
8/17vsPadresO 0.50L-125
8/17vsPadresO 1.50L+490
8/17vsPadresO 2.50L+3000
8/17vsPadresO 3.50L+22500
8/16vsNationalsO 1.50P—
8/16vsNationalsO 0.50P—
8/16vsNationalsO 2.50P—
8/16vsNationalsO 3.50P+6000
8/15vsNationalsO 0.51W-135
8/15vsNationalsO 1.51L+450
8/15vsNationalsO 2.51L+3000
8/15vsNationalsO 3.51L+6000
8/14vsNationalsO 0.50L-155
8/14vsNationalsO 1.50L+350
8/14vsNationalsO 2.50L+2000
8/14vsNationalsO 3.50L+20000
8/12@BravesO 0.50L-165
8/12@BravesO 1.50L+360
8/12@BravesO 2.50L+2000
8/12@BravesO 3.50L+10000
8/11@BravesO 0.50L-105
8/11@BravesO 1.50L+700
8/11@BravesO 2.50L+4000
8/11@BravesO 3.50L+15000
8/10@BravesO 0.52W-155
8/10@BravesO 1.52W+418
8/10@BravesO 2.52L+2200
8/10@BravesO 3.52L+15000
8/9@PiratesO 0.51W-135
8/9@PiratesO 1.51L+420

New York Mets Teammates

View all
Bo BichetteCarson BengeMarcus SemienBrett BatyA.J. EwingJuan SotoFrancisco LindorJared YoungLuis TorrensMark VientosLuis Robert Jr.Tyrone TaylorGabriel AriasJorge PolancoMJ Melendez

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Francisco Alvarez hit the over on hits 0.5?
Francisco Alvarez hits the over on hits 0.5 62.4% of the time in 2026, going 58-35-18 with an average actual of 0.6.
Is Francisco Alvarez over 0.5 hits a good bet?
Based on 111 games in 2026, betting $100 on Francisco Alvarez over 0.5 hits at best closing odds has returned +$669 (+6.03% ROI). The hit rate is 62.4% with an average actual of 0.6.
What is Francisco Alvarez's hits average this season?
Francisco Alvarez averages 0.6 hits per game in 2026 across 111 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.

Francisco Alvarez 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.111 games analyzed across 11 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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