Francisco Alvarez

New York MetsPosition Player•2026

Reg0.250 / 4 HR / 10 RBI / 27 H / 0 SB / 35G

67.6% HRR O 0.563.2% H O 0.561.1% SO O 0.5

Season

All Francisco Alvarez props

Props — 202642 games with closing lines

Total Bases

41g

avg 0.9

28.9%Over: 11-27-3

2vs O 1.5+230

Tigers5/12

✓P✗✗✗✓✗✓✗✗

H: 29.4%(17)A: 23.8%(21)

Seasonality

Mar

66.7%2-1

Apr

20%5-20

May

27.3%3-8

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

4.3★★★★★

5-Star Games

18(46%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Alvarez's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

Stars	HitsO 0.5	RBIsO 0.5	Home RunsO 0.5
★★★★★	64.7%(11-6)	23.5%(4-13)	6.7%(1-14)
★★★★★	46.7%(7-8)	26.7%(4-11)	6.7%(1-14)
★★★★★	60%(3-2)	0%(0-5)	0%(0-5)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Framber Valdez

5/13

Alvarez slugged .490 in 293 AB's when hitting at home over the last year.

★★★★★vs Jack Flaherty

5/12

Alvarez slugged .473 in 291 AB's when hitting at home over the last year.

★★★★★vs Eduardo Rodriguez

5/10

Matchup data is limited but favors Rodriguez.

Game Log

Bet

39-151-15 Over40g · 205 props

Date ↓	Opp	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
5/12	vsTigers	O 4.5	2	L	+1500
5/12	vsTigers	O 3.5	2	L	+550
5/12	vsTigers	O 2.5	2	L	+440
5/12	vsTigers	O 1.5	2	W	+230
5/12	vsTigers	O 0.5	2	W	-110
5/10	@Diamondbacks	O 4.5	0	P	+850
5/10	@Diamondbacks	O 2.5	0	P	+271
5/10	@Diamondbacks	O 3.5	0	P	+420
5/10	@Diamondbacks	O 1.5	0	P	+136
5/9	@Diamondbacks	O 4.5	0	L	+875
5/9	@Diamondbacks	O 3.5	0	L	+425
5/9	@Diamondbacks	O 2.5	0	L	+310
5/9	@Diamondbacks	O 1.5	0	L	+165
5/9	@Diamondbacks	O 0.5	0	L	-160
5/8	@Diamondbacks	O 4.5	1	L	+900
5/8	@Diamondbacks	O 3.5	1	L	+425
5/8	@Diamondbacks	O 1.5	1	L	+155
5/8	@Diamondbacks	O 2.5	1	L	+310
5/8	@Diamondbacks	O 0.5	1	W	-165
5/7	@Rockies	O 4.5	1	L	+650
5/7	@Rockies	O 2.5	1	L	+210
5/7	@Rockies	O 1.5	1	L	+105
5/7	@Rockies	O 3.5	1	L	+320
5/7	@Rockies	O 5.5	1	L	+940
5/7	@Rockies	O 0.5	1	W	-250
5/7	@Rockies	O 6.5	1	L	+1320
5/6	@Rockies	O 1.5	2	W	+140
5/6	@Rockies	O 2.5	2	L	+290
5/6	@Rockies	O 3.5	2	L	+420
5/6	@Rockies	O 4.5	2	L	+800
5/6	@Rockies	O 5.5	2	L	+1060
5/6	@Rockies	O 0.5	2	W	-210
5/5	@Rockies	O 4.5	0	L	+950
5/5	@Rockies	O 1.5	0	L	+140
5/5	@Rockies	O 3.5	0	L	+460
5/5	@Rockies	O 2.5	0	L	+280
5/5	@Rockies	O 0.5	0	L	-200
5/4	@Rockies	O 1.5	2	W	+125
5/4	@Rockies	O 2.5	2	L	+230
5/4	@Rockies	O 3.5	2	L	+325
5/4	@Rockies	O 4.5	2	L	+650
5/4	@Rockies	O 5.5	2	L	+1140
5/4	@Rockies	O 0.5	2	W	-220
5/3	@Angels	O 0.5	1	W	-190
5/3	@Angels	O 4.5	1	L	+700
5/3	@Angels	O 3.5	1	L	+360
5/3	@Angels	O 1.5	1	L	+155
5/3	@Angels	O 2.5	1	L	+275
5/2	@Angels	O 4.5	1	L	+800
5/2	@Angels	O 2.5	1	L	+280

New York Mets Teammates

View all

Marcus Semien Bo Bichette Mark Vientos Brett Baty Carson Benge Juan Soto Tyrone Taylor Luis Robert Jr.Luis Torrens Francisco Lindor MJ Melendez Jorge Polanco Austin Slater Ronny Mauricio A.J. Ewing

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Francisco Alvarez hit the over on total bases 1.5?

Francisco Alvarez hits the over on total bases 1.5 27.8% of the time in 2026, going 10-26-3 with an average actual of 1.2.

Is Francisco Alvarez over 1.5 total bases a good bet?

Based on 41 games in 2026, betting $100 on Francisco Alvarez over 1.5 total bases at best closing odds has returned -$874 (-21.32% ROI). The hit rate is 27.8% with an average actual of 1.2.

What is Francisco Alvarez's total bases average this season?

Francisco Alvarez averages 1.2 total bases per game in 2026 across 41 games. The primary line is set at 1.5.