Inside Edge
St. Louis Cardinals90% K O 2.585.7% HA O 4.580% OUT O 15.5
Season
All Dustin May propsProps — 202610 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
10g50%Over: 5-5
4vs O 2.5+125
vs
Pirates5/21
Pirates5/21✓✓✗✓✗✗✗✗✓✓
H: 60%(5)A: 25%(4)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.7★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
10Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How May's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 2.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) | 50%(1-1) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 80%(4-1) | 25%(1-3) | 80%(4-1) | 50%(2-2) | 80%(4-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | — | 100%(1-0) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(2-0) | — |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Braxton Ashcraft
5/21Current Pirates hitters are batting .290 against bottom-tier right-handed pitchers like May over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Michael Wacha
5/15Current Royals hitters are batting .249 against right-handers who rely heavily on the changeup like like May over the the last two years.
★★★★★vs Randy Vasquez
5/9Padres hitters have a 3 star average matchup against May.
Game Log
Bet
$
5-6 Over10g · 11 props
St. Louis Cardinals Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Dustin May hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Dustin May hits the over on earned runs 2.5 44.4% of the time in 2026, going 4-5 with an average actual of 2.7.
Is Dustin May over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 10 games in 2026, betting $100 on Dustin May over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$156 (-15.6% ROI). The hit rate is 44.4% with an average actual of 2.7.
What is Dustin May's earned runs average this season?
Dustin May averages 2.7 earned runs per game in 2026 across 10 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.