St. Louis Cardinals82.4% K O 2.562.5% OUT O 17.550% BBA O 1.5
Season
All Dustin May propsProps — 202617 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
17g47.1%Over: 8-9
0vs O 2.5+128
vs
Brewers7/6
Brewers7/6✗✓✓✗✗✓✗✓✓✗
H: 50%(8)A: 37.5%(8)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.8★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(6%)
Total Matchups
17Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How May's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 2.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 75%(6-2) | 28.6%(2-5) | 60%(3-2) | 28.6%(2-5) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 75%(3-1) | 50%(2-2) | 25%(1-3) | 50%(2-2) | 66.7%(2-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(2-0) | 100%(1-0) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Shane Drohan
7/6Current Brewers hitters have struck out 24.3% of the time against pitchers similar to May over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Brewers.
★★★★★vs Hurston Waldrep
7/2Pitchers with similar repertoires to May have an ERA of 5.97 against the Braves over the last year.
★★★★★vs Stephen Kolek
6/21Current Royals hitters have struck out just 16.3% of the time against bottom-tier right-handed pitchers like May over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
Game Log
Bet
$
9-12 Over17g · 21 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/6 | vsBrewers | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +128 |
| 7/6 | vsBrewers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -130 |
| 7/2 | @ Braves | O 2.5 | 5 | W | +101 |
| 6/21 | @ Royals | O 2.5 | 6 | W | -130 |
| 6/15 | vs Padres | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +119 |
| 6/15 | vsPadres | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -175 |
| 6/9 | @ Mets | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +111 |
| 6/2 | vs Rangers | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +131 |
| 6/2 | vsRangers | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -174 |
| 5/27 | @Brewers | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -111 |
| 5/21 | vs Pirates | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +125 |
| 5/15 | vsRoyals | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -126 |
| 5/9 | @Padres | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +105 |
| 5/3 | vs Dodgers | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -142 |
| 4/27 | @Pirates | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +103 |
| 4/21 | @ Marlins | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -104 |
| 4/15 | vs Guardians | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -105 |
| 4/10 | vs Red Sox | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +110 |
| 4/10 | vsRed Sox | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -171 |
| 4/4 | @ Tigers | O 2.5 | 7 | W | +118 |
| 3/29 | vs Rays | O 1.5 | 6 | W | -152 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Dustin May hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Dustin May hits the over on earned runs 2.5 43.8% of the time in 2026, going 7-9 with an average actual of 2.4.
Is Dustin May over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 17 games in 2026, betting $100 on Dustin May over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$247 (-14.53% ROI). The hit rate is 43.8% with an average actual of 2.4.
What is Dustin May's earned runs average this season?
Dustin May averages 2.4 earned runs per game in 2026 across 17 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.
Inside Edge