Buffalo Bills Lead New England Patriots 9-4 in Head-to-Head Matchups

NFL7-6-0 ATS (53.85%)

The New England Patriots are 4-9 against the Buffalo Bills in head-to-head matchups, going 7-6-0 ATS (53.85% cover rate) with +3.46% ROI. Games average 47.8 total points. Closing lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM, graded against official NFL box scores.

See methodology.

Patriots vs Bills Betting Record

Against the Spread
7-6-0
Win %
53.85%
ROI
+3.46%
Units
+0.5
Moneyline
4-9-0
Win %
30.77%
ROI
-1%
Units
-0.1
Over Rate
8-4-1
Win %
66.67%
ROI
+26.01%
Units
+3.1

From the Other Side — Bills vs Patriots

Against the Spread
6-7-0
Win %
46.15%
ROI
-11.8%
Units
-1.5
Moneyline
9-4-0
Win %
69.23%
ROI
-0.71%
Units
-0.1
Over Rate
8-4-1
Win %
66.67%
ROI
+26.01%
Units
+3.1

Venue Splits

Patriots Home
2-4-0 ATS
33.33% • -35.64%
2-4-0 ML (33.33%)
Bills Home
2-5-0 ATS
28.57% • -44.84%
5-2-0 ML (71.43%)

Scoring Averages

Patriots
20.2
PPG
27.5
allowed
Total
47.8
Avg
13
games
Bills
27.5
PPG
20.2
allowed

Recent Matchups

DateScoreATSMLO/U
12/14L 31-35LO
10/05W 20-23WU
01/05W 23-16WO
12/22L 24-21LU
12/31L 27-21LO
10/22W 29-25WO
01/08L 35-23LO
12/01L 10-24LU
01/15L 47-17LO
12/26L 21-33LO
12/06W 10-14WU
12/28L 9-38LP
11/01L 24-21LO

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills all-time record?
The New England Patriots are 4-9 against the Buffalo Bills in head-to-head matchups.
What is the New England Patriots ATS record vs the Buffalo Bills?
The New England Patriots are 7-6-0 against the spread vs the Buffalo Bills on DraftKings, with +3.46% ROI.
Do New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills games go over or under?
New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills games average 47.8 total points. The Over has hit 66.67% of the time.

More Patriots Matchups

Head-to-head betting record for New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills on LineTerminal. The Patriots are 4-9 straight up against the Bills and 7-6-0 against the spread (53.85% cover rate, +3.46% ROI) on DraftKings. Data sourced from DraftKings closing lines. Updated daily after games are graded. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

LineTerminal

AI-powered betting intelligence for NBA, WNBA, NHL, MLB, NFL, NCAAB, and NCAAF.

LineTerminal provides sports data and analytics for informational and entertainment purposes only. LineTerminal does not accept, place, or facilitate bets or wagers of any kind. Odds data is sourced from third-party providers and may not reflect exact lines at every sportsbook. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Sports betting involves risk — never wager more than you can afford to lose.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-MY-RESET (National Problem Gambling Helpline) or visit ncpgambling.org. Must be 21+ in most jurisdictions. Please gamble responsibly.

© 2026 LineTerminal LLC. All rights reserved.