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Players/MLB/Tampa Bay Rays/Steven Matz
Steven Matz

Steven Matz

Tampa Bay Rays•Pitcher•2026
6.42ERA49K63.1IP7.0K/925G
6.42ERA49K63.1IP7.0K/925G
66.7% BBA O 1.550% OUT O 14.545.5% K O 3.5
Season
Best Performer

Steven Matz goes over 1.5 walks allowed 66.7% of the time (6-3)

Props — 202611 games with closing lines

Pitcher Ks

11g
avg 3.5
45.5%Over: 5-6
1vs O 3.5
vsOrioles8/14
✗✗✗✓✗✗✓✓✓✓
H: 50%(6)A: 40%(5)

Earned Runs

11g
avg 2.5
36.4%Over: 4-7
0vs O 0.5+155
vsOrioles8/14
✗✓✓✗✗✗✓✗✗✗
H: 50%(4)A: 25%(4)

Hits Allowed

11g
avg 4
36.4%Over: 4-7
0vs O 1.5
vsOrioles8/14
✗✓✓✗✗✗✗✓✗✗
H: 20%(5)A: 60%(5)

Outs Recorded

11g
avg 12.8
54.5%Over: 6-5
3vs O 14.5
vsOrioles8/14
✗✗✗✗✓✓✗✓✓✓
H: 25%(4)A: 75%(4)

Walks Allowed

10g
avg 1.7
70%Over: 7-3
0vs O 1.5+101
vsTigers6/2
✗✓✓✓✗✓✗✓✓✓
H: 80%(5)A: 50%(4)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
2.2★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(2%)
Total Matchups
42
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Matz's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsPitcher KsO 3.5Earned RunsO 2.5Hits AllowedO 4.5Outs RecordedO 14.5Walks AllowedO 1.5
★★★★★0%(0-1)0%(0-1)0%(0-1)100%(1-0)0%(0-1)
★★★★★50%(2-2)33.3%(1-2)50%(2-2)100%(1-0)66.7%(2-1)
★★★★★0%(0-1)——0%(0-1)—
★★★★★33.3%(1-2)66.7%(2-1)66.7%(2-1)33.3%(1-2)66.7%(2-1)
★★★★★100%(1-0)0%(0-1)0%(0-1)100%(1-0)100%(1-0)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Shane Baz
8/23

Current Orioles are batting .366 in their last 41 AB's against Matz.

★★★★★vs Brandon Young
8/22

Current Orioles are batting .366 in their last 41 AB's against Matz.

★★★★★vs Trevor Rogers
8/21

Current Orioles are batting .366 in their last 41 AB's against Matz.

Game Log

Bet
$
57-87 Over144 props
Date ↓OppMarketLineActualResultOdds
8/14vsOriolesPitcher KsO 3.51L—
8/14vsOriolesPitcher KsO 1.51L—
8/14vsOriolesEarned RunsO 0.50L+155
8/14vsOriolesHits AllowedO 1.50L—
8/14vsOriolesOuts RecordedO 4.53L-105
8/14vsOriolesOuts RecordedO 3.53L-140
8/14vsOriolesPitcher KsO 7.51L—
8/14vsOriolesPitcher KsO 6.51L—
8/14vsOriolesPitcher KsO 5.51L—
8/14vsOriolesPitcher KsO 4.51L—
8/14vsOriolesOuts RecordedO 14.53L—
6/2vsTigersPitcher KsO 2.52L-550
6/2vsTigersPitcher KsO 4.52L+105
6/2vsTigersPitcher KsO 6.52L+443
6/2vsTigersPitcher KsO 5.52L+210
6/2vsTigersPitcher KsO 3.52L-210
6/2vsTigersOuts RecordedO 14.55L-167
6/2vsTigersEarned RunsO 1.55W-153
6/2vsTigersPitcher KsO 1.52W-4000
6/2vsTigersHits AllowedO 4.56W-107
6/2vsTigersPitcher KsO 7.52L+960
6/2vsTigersOuts RecordedO 15.55L+145
6/2vsTigersEarned RunsO 2.55W+120
6/2vsTigersWalks AllowedO 1.50L+101
5/27@OriolesPitcher KsO 2.52L-440
5/27@OriolesPitcher KsO 3.52L-198
5/27@OriolesPitcher KsO 4.52L+114
5/27@OriolesPitcher KsO 6.52L+535
5/27@OriolesPitcher KsO 1.52W-2100
5/27@OriolesPitcher KsO 5.52L+249
5/27@OriolesPitcher KsO 7.52L+1120
5/27@OriolesEarned RunsO 2.56W+103
5/27@OriolesOuts RecordedO 14.59L-160
5/27@OriolesHits AllowedO 4.57W-160
5/27@OriolesWalks AllowedO 1.52W-128
5/27@OriolesHits AllowedO 5.57W+125
5/20vsOriolesOuts RecordedO 14.512L-105
5/20vsOriolesEarned RunsO 1.51L-139
5/20vsOriolesOuts RecordedO 13.512L-119
5/20vsOriolesHits AllowedO 4.53L+120
5/20vsOriolesPitcher KsO 3.55W-175
5/20vsOriolesPitcher KsO 6.55L+581
5/20vsOriolesPitcher KsO 5.55L+275
5/20vsOriolesPitcher KsO 1.55W-1900
5/20vsOriolesPitcher KsO 7.55L+1320
5/20vsOriolesWalks AllowedO 1.52W+113
5/20vsOriolesPitcher KsO 4.55W+125
5/20vsOriolesPitcher KsO 2.55W-500
5/20vsOriolesHits AllowedO 3.53L-148
5/3vsGiantsOuts RecordedO 16.518W-103

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Steven Matz hit the over on pitcher ks 3.5?
Steven Matz hits the over on pitcher ks 3.5 45.5% of the time in 2026, going 5-6 with an average actual of 3.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$281.
How often does Steven Matz hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Steven Matz hits the over on earned runs 2.5 37.5% of the time in 2026, going 3-5 with an average actual of 2.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$153.
How often does Steven Matz hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Steven Matz hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 40% of the time in 2026, going 4-6 with an average actual of 4.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$310.
How often does Steven Matz hit the over on outs recorded 14.5?
Steven Matz hits the over on outs recorded 14.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 4-4 with an average actual of 12.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$51.
How often does Steven Matz hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Steven Matz hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 66.7% of the time in 2026, going 6-3 with an average actual of 1.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$332.
What are Steven Matz's best prop bets in 2026?
Steven Matz's highest-hitting props in 2026: Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 66.7% (6-3); Outs Recorded O 14.5 at 50% (4-4); Pitcher Ks O 3.5 at 45.5% (5-6).

Steven Matz 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.11 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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