Tampa Bay Rays66.7% BBA O 1.550% K O 2.550% OUT O 15.5
Season
Best Performer
Steven Matz goes over 1.5 pitcher ks 87.5% of the time (7-1)
Props — 202610 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.5★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(5%)
Total Matchups
22Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Matz's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 2.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 50%(2-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 50%(2-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(1-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 66.7%(2-1) | 66.7%(2-1) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Seth Lugo
6/25Current Royals are batting .417 in their last 24 AB's against Matz.
★★★★★vs Noah Cameron
6/24Current Royals are batting .417 in their last 24 AB's against Matz.
★★★★★vs Luinder Avila
6/23Current Royals are batting .364 in their last 11 AB's against Matz.
Game Log
Bet
$
57-76 Over133 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/2 | vs Tigers | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -550 |
| 6/2 | vsTigers | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 2 | L | +105 |
| 6/2 | vsTigers | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 2 | L | +443 |
| 6/2 | vsTigers | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 2 | L | +210 |
| 6/2 | vsTigers | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 2 | L | -210 |
| 6/2 | vsTigers | Outs Recorded | O 14.5 | 5 | L | -167 |
| 6/2 | vsTigers | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 5 | W | -153 |
| 6/2 | vsTigers | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -4000 |
| 6/2 | vsTigers | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -107 |
| 6/2 | vsTigers | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 2 | L | +960 |
| 6/2 | vsTigers | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 5 | L | +145 |
| 6/2 | vsTigers | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 5 | W | +120 |
| 6/2 | vsTigers | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +101 |
| 5/27 | @ Orioles | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -440 |
| 5/27 | @Orioles | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 2 | L | -198 |
| 5/27 | @Orioles | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 2 | L | +114 |
| 5/27 | @Orioles | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 2 | L | +535 |
| 5/27 | @Orioles | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -2100 |
| 5/27 | @Orioles | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 2 | L | +249 |
| 5/27 | @Orioles | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 2 | L | +1120 |
| 5/27 | @Orioles | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 6 | W | +103 |
| 5/27 | @Orioles | Outs Recorded | O 14.5 | 9 | L | -160 |
| 5/27 | @Orioles | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -160 |
| 5/27 | @Orioles | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -128 |
| 5/27 | @Orioles | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 7 | W | +125 |
| 5/20 | vsOrioles | Outs Recorded | O 14.5 | 12 | L | -105 |
| 5/20 | vsOrioles | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -139 |
| 5/20 | vsOrioles | Outs Recorded | O 13.5 | 12 | L | -119 |
| 5/20 | vsOrioles | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 3 | L | +120 |
| 5/20 | vsOrioles | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 5 | W | -175 |
| 5/20 | vsOrioles | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 5 | L | +581 |
| 5/20 | vsOrioles | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +275 |
| 5/20 | vsOrioles | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 5 | W | -1900 |
| 5/20 | vsOrioles | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 5 | L | +1320 |
| 5/20 | vsOrioles | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +113 |
| 5/20 | vsOrioles | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 5 | W | +125 |
| 5/20 | vsOrioles | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -500 |
| 5/20 | vsOrioles | Hits Allowed | O 3.5 | 3 | L | -148 |
| 5/3 | vs Giants | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 18 | W | -103 |
| 5/3 | vsGiants | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 1 | L | -104 |
| 5/3 | vsGiants | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -3600 |
| 5/3 | vsGiants | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -650 |
| 5/3 | vsGiants | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 1 | L | -250 |
| 5/3 | vsGiants | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 1 | L | +185 |
| 5/3 | vsGiants | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 1 | L | +360 |
| 5/3 | vsGiants | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 1 | L | +830 |
| 5/3 | vsGiants | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 18 | W | -131 |
| 5/3 | vsGiants | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +118 |
| 5/3 | vsGiants | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +115 |
| 5/3 | vsGiants | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 18 | W | +100 |
Tampa Bay Rays Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Steven Matz hit the over on pitcher ks 2.5?
Steven Matz hits the over on pitcher ks 2.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 5-5 with an average actual of 3.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$419.
How often does Steven Matz hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Steven Matz hits the over on earned runs 2.5 37.5% of the time in 2026, going 3-5 with an average actual of 2.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$153.
How often does Steven Matz hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Steven Matz hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 40% of the time in 2026, going 4-6 with an average actual of 4.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$310.
How often does Steven Matz hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Steven Matz hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 66.7% of the time in 2026, going 6-3 with an average actual of 1.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$332.
How often does Steven Matz hit the over on outs recorded 15.5?
Steven Matz hits the over on outs recorded 15.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 4-4 with an average actual of 14.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$46.
What are Steven Matz's best prop bets in 2026?
Steven Matz's highest-hitting props in 2026: Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 66.7% (6-3); Pitcher Ks O 2.5 at 50% (5-5); Outs Recorded O 15.5 at 50% (4-4).
Inside Edge