Steven Matz

Tampa Bay RaysPitcher•2026

Reg3.72 ERA / 33 K / 41.1 IP / 7.2 K/9 / 8G

71.4% BBA O 1.566.7% ER O 1.562.5% K O 2.5

Season

All Steven Matz props

Props — 20268 games with closing lines

Pitcher Ks

avg 4.1

62.5%Over: 5-3

5vs O 2.5-500

Orioles5/20

✓✗✗✓✓✓✓✗

H: 75%(4)A: 50%(4)

Seasonality

Mar

0%0-1

Apr

80%4-1

May

50%1-1

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

3.4★★★★★

5-Star Games

1(14%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Matz's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

Stars	Pitcher KsO 2.5	Earned RunsO 1.5	Hits AllowedO 4.5	Walks AllowedO 1.5	Outs RecordedO 15.5
★★★★★	0%(0-1)	100%(1-0)	0%(0-1)	0%(0-1)	100%(1-0)
★★★★★	50%(2-2)	100%(2-0)	50%(2-2)	66.7%(2-1)	50%(2-2)
★★★★★	100%(1-0)	0%(0-1)	0%(0-1)	100%(1-0)	100%(1-0)
★★★★★	100%(1-0)	100%(1-0)	0%(0-1)	100%(1-0)	0%(0-1)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Tyler Mahle

5/3

Left-handed starters have an ERA of 3.20 against the Giants since last season.

★★★★★vs Parker Messick

4/27

Current Guardians hitters have struck out 26.7% of the time against pitchers similar to Matz over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).

★★★★★vs Chase Burns

4/21

Current Reds hitters are batting .229 against left-handers who rely heavily on the slider like like Matz over the the last two years.

Game Log

Bet

23-35 Over8g · 58 props

Date ↓	Opp	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
5/20	vsOrioles	O 3.5	5	W	-175
5/20	vsOrioles	O 6.5	5	L	+581
5/20	vsOrioles	O 5.5	5	L	+275
5/20	vsOrioles	O 1.5	5	W	-1900
5/20	vsOrioles	O 7.5	5	L	+1320
5/20	vsOrioles	O 4.5	5	W	+125
5/20	vsOrioles	O 2.5	5	W	-500
5/3	vsGiants	O 4.5	1	L	-104
5/3	vsGiants	O 1.5	1	L	-3600
5/3	vsGiants	O 2.5	1	L	-650
5/3	vsGiants	O 3.5	1	L	-250
5/3	vsGiants	O 5.5	1	L	+185
5/3	vsGiants	O 6.5	1	L	+360
5/3	vsGiants	O 7.5	1	L	+830
5/3	vsGiants	O 8.5	1	L	+1680
4/27	@Guardians	O 4.5	2	L	+136
4/27	@Guardians	O 3.5	2	L	-168
4/27	@Guardians	O 2.5	2	L	-452
4/27	@Guardians	O 5.5	2	L	+300
4/27	@Guardians	O 6.5	2	L	+640
4/27	@Guardians	O 1.5	2	W	-1960
4/27	@Guardians	O 7.5	2	L	+1360
4/21	vsReds	O 5.5	4	L	+132
4/21	vsReds	O 2.5	4	W	-1240
4/21	vsReds	O 3.5	4	W	-398
4/21	vsReds	O 4.5	4	L	-165
4/21	vsReds	O 6.5	4	L	+267
4/21	vsReds	O 7.5	4	L	+553
4/21	vsReds	O 8.5	4	L	+1120
4/21	vsReds	O 9.5	4	L	+1680
4/16	@White Sox	O 5.5	4	L	+155
4/16	@White Sox	O 2.5	4	W	-800
4/16	@White Sox	O 3.5	4	W	-295
4/16	@White Sox	O 4.5	4	L	-135
4/16	@White Sox	O 6.5	4	L	+311
4/16	@White Sox	O 7.5	4	L	+640
4/16	@White Sox	O 8.5	4	L	+1340
4/10	vsYankees	O 4.5	7	W	-112
4/10	vsYankees	O 2.5	7	W	-650
4/10	vsYankees	O 3.5	7	W	-250
4/10	vsYankees	O 5.5	7	W	+194
4/10	vsYankees	O 6.5	7	W	+400
4/10	vsYankees	O 7.5	7	L	+750
4/10	vsYankees	O 1.5	7	W	-3100
4/10	vsYankees	O 8.5	7	L	+1480
4/4	@Twins	O 4.5	8	W	+140
4/4	@Twins	O 3.5	8	W	-160
4/4	@Twins	O 2.5	8	W	-400
4/4	@Twins	O 5.5	8	W	+300
4/4	@Twins	O 6.5	8	W	+552

Tampa Bay Rays Teammates

View all

Junior Caminero Jonathan Aranda Chandler Simpson Cedric Mullins Nick Fortes Taylor Walls Ben Williamson Jake Fraley Richie Palacios Hunter Feduccia Ryan Vilade Carson Williams Drew Rasmussen Shane McClanahan Nick Martinez

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Steven Matz hit the over on pitcher ks 2.5?

Steven Matz hits the over on pitcher ks 2.5 62.5% of the time in 2026, going 5-3 with an average actual of 4.1.

Is Steven Matz over 2.5 pitcher ks a good bet?

Based on 8 games in 2026, betting $100 on Steven Matz over 2.5 pitcher ks at best closing odds has returned -$219 (-27.37% ROI). The hit rate is 62.5% with an average actual of 4.1.

What is Steven Matz's pitcher ks average this season?

Steven Matz averages 4.1 pitcher ks per game in 2026 across 8 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.