Inside Edge
Tampa Bay Rays71.4% BBA O 1.566.7% ER O 1.562.5% K O 2.5
Season
All Steven Matz propsProps — 20268 games with closing lines
Outs Recorded
8g50%Over: 4-4
12vs O 14.5-105
vs
Orioles5/20
Orioles5/20✗✓✓✗✓✗✓✗
H: 33.3%(3)A: 75%(4)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.4★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(14%)
Total Matchups
7Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Matz's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 2.5 | Earned RunsO 1.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 100%(2-0) | 50%(2-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 50%(2-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Tyler Mahle
5/3Left-handed starters have an ERA of 3.20 against the Giants since last season.
★★★★★vs Parker Messick
4/27Current Guardians hitters have struck out 26.7% of the time against pitchers similar to Matz over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
★★★★★vs Chase Burns
4/21Current Reds hitters are batting .229 against left-handers who rely heavily on the slider like like Matz over the the last two years.
Game Log
Bet
$
12-7 Over8g · 19 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/20 | vsOrioles | O 14.5 | 12 | L | -105 |
| 5/20 | vsOrioles | O 13.5 | 12 | L | -119 |
| 5/3 | vs Giants | O 16.5 | 18 | W | -103 |
| 5/3 | vsGiants | O 15.5 | 18 | W | -131 |
| 5/3 | vsGiants | O 17.5 | 18 | W | +100 |
| 4/27 | @ Guardians | O 15.5 | 21 | W | +135 |
| 4/27 | @Guardians | O 14.5 | 21 | W | -175 |
| 4/21 | vs Reds | O 15.5 | 9 | L | +110 |
| 4/16 | @ White Sox | O 15.5 | 16 | W | -112 |
| 4/10 | vs Yankees | O 15.5 | 15 | L | +130 |
| 4/10 | vsYankees | O 14.5 | 15 | W | -172 |
| 4/4 | @ Twins | O 14.5 | 18 | W | -160 |
| 4/4 | @Twins | O 15.5 | 18 | W | +145 |
| 3/29 | @ Cardinals | O 14.5 | 15 | W | -140 |
| 3/29 | @Cardinals | O 12.5 | 15 | W | -235 |
| 3/29 | @Cardinals | O 13.5 | 15 | W | -190 |
| 3/29 | @Cardinals | O 15.5 | 15 | L | +170 |
| 3/29 | @Cardinals | O 16.5 | 15 | L | +210 |
| 3/29 | @Cardinals | O 17.5 | 15 | L | +265 |
Tampa Bay Rays Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Steven Matz hit the over on outs recorded 15.5?
Steven Matz hits the over on outs recorded 15.5 57.1% of the time in 2026, going 4-3 with an average actual of 16.
Is Steven Matz over 15.5 outs recorded a good bet?
Based on 8 games in 2026, betting $100 on Steven Matz over 15.5 outs recorded at best closing odds has returned +$46 (+5.75% ROI). The hit rate is 57.1% with an average actual of 16.
What is Steven Matz's outs recorded average this season?
Steven Matz averages 16 outs recorded per game in 2026 across 8 games. The primary line is set at 15.5.