_
LineTerminalLineTerminal
LineTerminalLineTerminal
HomeScoresResearchPropsA51TeamsPlayers
Player PulseWNBA
AllMLBWNBANFLNBANHL
HomePropsScheduleOddsLineupsWeatherBvP LabProp ScreenerLaunch CodeSwing SignalsPitcher ModelBullpen UsageInside EdgeNRFITeamsPlayers
All
HomeTeamsPlayersProps
MLBMLB
HomeScheduleTeamsPlayersPropsOdds BoardLineupsWeatherBvP LabProp ScreenerLaunch CodeSwing SignalsPitcher ModelNRFIBullpen UsageInside Edge
WNBAWNBA
HomeScheduleTeamsPlayersPropsOdds BoardLineupsShot LabMatchup LabProp Screener
NFLNFL
HomeScheduleTeamsPlayersPropsOdds BoardMatchup LabProp ScreenerDepth ChartsWeatherInside Edge
NBANBA
HomeScheduleTeamsPlayersProps
NHLNHL
HomeScheduleTeamsPlayersProps
Players/MLB/Tampa Bay Rays/Steven Matz/Earned Runs
Steven Matz

Steven Matz

Tampa Bay Rays•Pitcher•2026
6.42ERA49K63.1IP7.0K/925G
6.42ERA49K63.1IP7.0K/925G
66.7% BBA O 1.550% OUT O 14.545.5% K O 3.5
Season
All Steven Matz props

Props — 202611 games with closing lines

Earned Runs

11g
avg 2.5
36.4%Over: 4-7
0vs O 0.5+155
vsOrioles8/14
✗✓✓✗✗✗✓✗✗✗
H: 50%(4)A: 25%(4)
SeasonalityAll lines
20%
50%
100%
Apr
1-4
May
1-1
Jun
1-0
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
2.2★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(2%)
Total Matchups
42
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Matz's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsPitcher KsO 3.5Earned RunsO 2.5Hits AllowedO 4.5Outs RecordedO 14.5Walks AllowedO 1.5
★★★★★0%(0-1)0%(0-1)0%(0-1)100%(1-0)0%(0-1)
★★★★★50%(2-2)33.3%(1-2)50%(2-2)100%(1-0)66.7%(2-1)
★★★★★0%(0-1)——0%(0-1)—
★★★★★33.3%(1-2)66.7%(2-1)66.7%(2-1)33.3%(1-2)66.7%(2-1)
★★★★★100%(1-0)0%(0-1)0%(0-1)100%(1-0)100%(1-0)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Shane Baz
8/23

Current Orioles are batting .366 in their last 41 AB's against Matz.

★★★★★vs Brandon Young
8/22

Current Orioles are batting .366 in their last 41 AB's against Matz.

★★★★★vs Trevor Rogers
8/21

Current Orioles are batting .366 in their last 41 AB's against Matz.

Game Log

Bet
$
8-8 Over11g · 16 props
Date ↓OppLineActualResultOdds
8/14vsOriolesO 0.50L+155
6/2vsTigersO 1.55W-153
6/2vsTigersO 2.55W+120
5/27@OriolesO 2.56W+103
5/20vsOriolesO 1.51L-139
5/3vsGiantsO 2.51L+118
4/27@GuardiansO 1.52W-170
4/27@GuardiansO 2.52L+120
4/21vsRedsO 2.54W+124
4/21vsRedsO 1.54W-175
4/16@White SoxO 2.52L+120
4/10vsYankeesO 2.52L+126
4/10vsYankeesO 1.52W-174
4/4@TwinsO 1.51L-173
4/4@TwinsO 2.51L+128
3/29@CardinalsO 1.54W-157

Tampa Bay Rays Teammates

View all
Junior CamineroJonathan ArandaChandler SimpsonTaylor WallsCedric MullinsLiam HicksRichie PalaciosHunter FeducciaNick FortesBen WilliamsonJorge MateoRyan ViladeVictor Mesa Jr.Jake FraleyAustin Slater

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Steven Matz hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Steven Matz hits the over on earned runs 2.5 37.5% of the time in 2026, going 3-5 with an average actual of 2.9.
Is Steven Matz over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 11 games in 2026, betting $100 on Steven Matz over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$289 (-26.27% ROI). The hit rate is 37.5% with an average actual of 2.9.
What is Steven Matz's earned runs average this season?
Steven Matz averages 2.9 earned runs per game in 2026 across 11 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.

Steven Matz 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.11 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

LineTerminal

AI-powered betting intelligence for NBA, WNBA, NHL, MLB, NFL, NCAAB, and NCAAF.

ResearchHow To UseMethodologyTerms of ServicePrivacy PolicyFAQResponsible GamblingContact

LineTerminal provides sports data and analytics for informational and entertainment purposes only. LineTerminal does not accept, place, or facilitate bets or wagers of any kind. Odds data is sourced from third-party providers and may not reflect exact lines at every sportsbook. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Sports betting involves risk — never wager more than you can afford to lose.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-MY-RESET (National Problem Gambling Helpline) or visit ncpgambling.org. Must be 21+ in most jurisdictions. Please gamble responsibly.

© 2026 LineTerminal LLC. All rights reserved.