Victor Mesa Jr.

Tampa Bay Rays•2026

.214AVG10HR22RBI20R34H6SB51G

64.4% SO O 0.550% H O 0.545.7% HRR O 1.5

Best Performer

Victor Mesa Jr. goes over 0.5 strikeouts 64.4% of the time (29-16-9)

Props — 202655 games with closing lines

Doubles

55g

avg 0.1

6.5%Over: 3-43-9

0vs O 0.5+431

Blue Jays8/19

P✗P✗✗✗✗✗✗✓

H: 6.7%(30)A: 4%(25)

Hits

55g

avg 0.7

50%Over: 23-23-9

0vs O 0.5

Blue Jays8/19

P✗P✗✓✗✓✗✓✓

H: 33.3%(30)A: 52%(25)

Hits+Runs+RBIs

55g

avg 1.4

45.7%Over: 21-25-9

0vs O 1.5

Blue Jays8/19

P✗P✗✓✗✓✗✓✓

H: 26.7%(30)A: 52%(25)

Home Runs

55g

avg 0.2

21.7%Over: 10-36-9

0vs O 0.5

Blue Jays8/19

P✗P✗✗✗✓✗✓✗

H: 10%(30)A: 28%(25)

RBIs

55g

avg 0.4

34.8%Over: 16-30-9

0vs O 0.5

Blue Jays8/19

P✗P✗✓✗✓✗✓✗

H: 20%(30)A: 40%(25)

Runs Scored

55g

avg 0.3

39.1%Over: 18-28-9

0vs O 0.5

Blue Jays8/19

P✗P✗✗✗✓✗✓✗

H: 20%(30)A: 48%(25)

Singles

55g

avg 0.3

32.6%Over: 15-31-9

0vs O 0.5+130

Blue Jays8/19

P✗P✗✓✗✓✗✗✓

H: 26.7%(30)A: 28%(25)

Total Bases

55g

avg 1.6

32.6%Over: 15-31-9

0vs O 1.5+148

Blue Jays8/19

P✗P✗✗✗✓✗✓✓

H: 16.7%(30)A: 40%(25)

Strikeouts

54g

avg 0.6

64.4%Over: 29-16-9

0vs O 0.5-206

Blue Jays8/19

P✗P✗✗✗✓✓✓✓

H: 44.8%(29)A: 64%(25)

Stolen Bases

53g

avg 0.1

13.6%Over: 6-38-9

0vs O 0.5

Blue Jays8/19

P✗P✗✓✗✗✗✓✗

H: 7.1%(28)A: 16%(25)

Walks

53g

avg 0.1

27.3%Over: 12-32-9

0vs O 0.5+248

Blue Jays8/19

P✗P✗✓✗✗✗✗✗

H: 14.3%(28)A: 32%(25)

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

2.9★★★★★

5-Star Games

1(1%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Jr.'s prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

Stars	HitsO 0.5	Home RunsO 0.5	RBIsO 0.5
★★★★★	100%(1-0)	0%(0-1)	100%(1-0)
★★★★★	38.5%(5-8)	0%(0-13)	7.7%(1-12)
★★★★★	44%(11-14)	20%(5-20)	32%(8-17)
★★★★★	46.2%(6-7)	38.5%(5-8)	46.2%(6-7)
★★★★★	0%(0-3)	0%(0-3)	0%(0-3)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Max Scherzer

8/19

Mesa Jr. is batting just .125 (4-for-32) against bottom tier right-handers like Scherzer over the last 2 seasons.

★★★★★vs José Soriano

8/18

Mesa Jr. is batting just .212 in his last 66 AB's.

★★★★★vs Brandon Young

8/17

Mesa Jr. is slugging .528 in his last 38 PA's but is batting just .214 in his last 74 PA's.

Game Log

Bet

297-1378-323 Over1998 props

Date ↓	Opp	Market	Line	Result	Odds
8/19	vsBlue Jays	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 1.5	P	—
8/19	vsBlue Jays	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 0.5	P	-223
8/19	vsBlue Jays	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 3.5	P	+360
8/19	vsBlue Jays	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 2.5	P	+192
8/19	vsBlue Jays	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 5.5	P	—
8/19	vsBlue Jays	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 6.5	P	—
8/19	vsBlue Jays	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 4.5	P	+650
8/19	vsBlue Jays	Walks	O 0.5	P	+248
8/19	vsBlue Jays	Singles	O 0.5	P	+130
8/19	vsBlue Jays	Hits	O 0.5	P	—
8/19	vsBlue Jays	Home Runs	O 0.5	P	—
8/19	vsBlue Jays	RBIs	O 0.5	P	—
8/19	vsBlue Jays	Runs Scored	O 0.5	P	—
8/19	vsBlue Jays	Stolen Bases	O 0.5	P	—
8/19	vsBlue Jays	Total Bases	O 0.5	P	—
8/19	vsBlue Jays	Doubles	O 0.5	P	+431
8/19	vsBlue Jays	Hits	O 1.5	P	+345
8/19	vsBlue Jays	Hits	O 2.5	P	+1820
8/19	vsBlue Jays	Home Runs	O 1.5	P	+4500
8/19	vsBlue Jays	RBIs	O 1.5	P	+500
8/19	vsBlue Jays	RBIs	O 2.5	P	+1240
8/19	vsBlue Jays	Runs Scored	O 1.5	P	+870
8/19	vsBlue Jays	Total Bases	O 1.5	P	+148
8/19	vsBlue Jays	Total Bases	O 2.5	P	+272
8/19	vsBlue Jays	Total Bases	O 5.5	P	—
8/19	vsBlue Jays	Total Bases	O 3.5	P	+360
8/19	vsBlue Jays	Total Bases	O 4.5	P	+810
8/19	vsBlue Jays	Strikeouts	O 1.5	P	+298
8/19	vsBlue Jays	Singles	O 1.5	P	+870
8/19	vsBlue Jays	Total Bases	O 6.5	P	—
8/19	vsBlue Jays	RBIs	O 3.5	P	—
8/19	vsBlue Jays	Strikeouts	O 0.5	P	-206
8/19	vsBlue Jays	Stolen Bases	O 1.5	P	+4600
8/19	vsBlue Jays	Doubles	O 1.5	P	—
8/18	vsBlue Jays	Total Bases	O 1.5	L	+170
8/18	vsBlue Jays	Hits	O 1.5	L	+345
8/18	vsBlue Jays	RBIs	O 2.5	L	+1600
8/18	vsBlue Jays	Total Bases	O 2.5	L	+345
8/18	vsBlue Jays	Total Bases	O 0.5	L	-165
8/18	vsBlue Jays	RBIs	O 1.5	L	+583
8/18	vsBlue Jays	Hits	O 2.5	L	+1820
8/18	vsBlue Jays	Hits	O 0.5	L	-165
8/18	vsBlue Jays	RBIs	O 0.5	L	+204
8/18	vsBlue Jays	Home Runs	O 0.5	L	+620
8/18	vsBlue Jays	Hits	O 3.5	L	+10000
8/18	vsBlue Jays	Doubles	O 0.5	L	+465
8/18	vsBlue Jays	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 4.5	L	+770
8/18	vsBlue Jays	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 3.5	L	+413
8/18	vsBlue Jays	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 2.5	L	+222
8/18	vsBlue Jays	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 0.5	L	-228

Tampa Bay Rays Teammates

View all

Junior Caminero Jonathan Aranda Chandler Simpson Taylor Walls Cedric Mullins Liam Hicks Richie Palacios Nick Fortes Hunter Feduccia Ben Williamson Jorge Mateo Ryan Vilade Jake Fraley Austin Slater Carson Williams

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Victor Mesa Jr. hit the over on doubles 0.5?

Victor Mesa Jr. hits the over on doubles 0.5 6.5% of the time in 2026, going 3-43-9 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$2,786.

How often does Victor Mesa Jr. hit the over on hits 0.5?

Victor Mesa Jr. hits the over on hits 0.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 23-23-9 with an average actual of 0.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$880.

How often does Victor Mesa Jr. hit the over on hits+runs+rbis 1.5?

Victor Mesa Jr. hits the over on hits+runs+rbis 1.5 45.7% of the time in 2026, going 21-25-9 with an average actual of 1.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$124.

How often does Victor Mesa Jr. hit the over on home runs 0.5?

Victor Mesa Jr. hits the over on home runs 0.5 21.7% of the time in 2026, going 10-36-9 with an average actual of 0.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$2,619.

How often does Victor Mesa Jr. hit the over on rbis 0.5?

Victor Mesa Jr. hits the over on rbis 0.5 34.8% of the time in 2026, going 16-30-9 with an average actual of 0.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$299.

What are Victor Mesa Jr.'s best prop bets in 2026?

Victor Mesa Jr.'s highest-hitting props in 2026: Strikeouts O 0.5 at 64.4% (29-16); Hits O 0.5 at 50% (23-23); Hits+Runs+RBIs O 1.5 at 45.7% (21-25).

Stars

HitsO 0.5

Home RunsO 0.5

RBIsO 0.5

★★★★★

100%(1-0)

0%(0-1)

100%(1-0)

★★★★★

38.5%(5-8)

0%(0-13)

7.7%(1-12)

★★★★★

44%(11-14)

20%(5-20)

32%(8-17)

★★★★★

46.2%(6-7)

38.5%(5-8)

46.2%(6-7)

★★★★★

0%(0-3)

Date ↓

Opp

Market

Line

Actual

Result

Odds