Victor Mesa Jr.

Tampa Bay RaysPosition Player•2026

Reg0.188 / 4 HR / 10 RBI / 15 H / 2 SB / 27G

66.7% SO O 0.559.1% HRR O 0.545.5% H O 0.5

Best Performer

Victor Mesa Jr. goes over 0.5 strikeouts 66.7% of the time (14-7-4)

Props — 202626 games with closing lines

Doubles

26g

avg 0

4.5%Over: 1-21-4

0vs O 0.5+470

Yankees7/7

✗P✗✗✗✗✗✗✓✗

H: 6.7%(15)A: 0%(11)

Hits

26g

avg 0.5

45.5%Over: 10-12-4

2vs O 0.5-142

Yankees7/7

✓P✗✗✗✗✓✓✓✗

H: 33.3%(15)A: 45.5%(11)

Hits+Runs+RBIs

26g

avg 1.3

59.1%Over: 13-9-4

4vs O 0.5-185

Yankees7/7

✓P✗✓✗✗✓✓✓✗

H: 40%(15)A: 63.6%(11)

Home Runs

26g

avg 0.2

18.2%Over: 4-18-4

1vs O 0.5+730

Yankees7/7

✓P✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗

H: 13.3%(15)A: 18.2%(11)

RBIs

26g

avg 0.4

27.3%Over: 6-16-4

1vs O 0.5+229

Yankees7/7

✓P✗✓✗✗✗✗✗✗

H: 20%(15)A: 27.3%(11)

Runs Scored

26g

avg 0.4

45.5%Over: 10-12-4

1vs O 0.5+176

Yankees7/7

✓P✗✓✗✗✓✗✓✗

H: 26.7%(15)A: 54.5%(11)

Singles

26g

avg 0.3

36.4%Over: 8-14-4

1vs O 0.5+130

Yankees7/7

✓P✗✗✗✗✓✓✓✗

H: 26.7%(15)A: 36.4%(11)

Total Bases

26g

avg 1

45.5%Over: 10-12-4

5vs O 0.5-155

Yankees7/7

✓P✗✗✗✗✓✓✓✗

H: 33.3%(15)A: 45.5%(11)

Stolen Bases

25g

avg 0.1

9.5%Over: 2-19-4

0vs O 0.5+940

Yankees7/7

✗P✗✓✗✗✗✓✗✗

H: 7.1%(14)A: 9.1%(11)

Strikeouts

25g

avg 0.7

66.7%Over: 14-7-4

0vs O 0.5-198

Yankees7/7

✗P✓✓✓✗✓✓✗✗

H: 50%(14)A: 63.6%(11)

Walks

25g

avg 0.4

38.1%Over: 8-13-4

0vs O 0.5+223

Yankees7/7

✗P✓✓✗✗✗✗✗✗

H: 14.3%(14)A: 54.5%(11)

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

3★★★★★

5-Star Games

0(0%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Jr.'s prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

Stars	HitsO 0.5	Home RunsO 0.5	RBIsO 0.5
★★★★★	33.3%(3-6)	0%(0-9)	0%(0-9)
★★★★★	50%(5-5)	30%(3-7)	40%(4-6)
★★★★★	40%(2-3)	20%(1-4)	40%(2-3)
★★★★★	0%(0-2)	0%(0-2)	0%(0-2)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Will Warren

7/7

Matchup data is limited but favors Mesa Jr..

★★★★★vs Cam Schlittler

7/6

Mesa Jr. is batting just .185 (5-for-27) against right-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to Schlittler over the last 2 seasons.

★★★★★vs Peter Lambert

7/5

Mesa Jr. is batting just .214 (3-for-14) against pitchers with a similar repertoire to Lambert over the last 2 seasons.

Game Log

Bet

133-636-142 Over911 props

Date ↓	Opp	Market	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
7/7	vsYankees	Doubles	O 0.5	0	L	+470
7/7	vsYankees	Hits	O 1.5	2	W	+412
7/7	vsYankees	Hits	O 0.5	2	W	-142
7/7	vsYankees	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 0.5	4	W	-185
7/7	vsYankees	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 1.5	4	W	+129
7/7	vsYankees	Home Runs	O 0.5	1	W	+730
7/7	vsYankees	Home Runs	O 1.5	1	L	+10000
7/7	vsYankees	RBIs	O 1.5	1	L	+680
7/7	vsYankees	RBIs	O 0.5	1	W	+229
7/7	vsYankees	Runs Scored	O 1.5	1	L	+1300
7/7	vsYankees	Runs Scored	O 0.5	1	W	+176
7/7	vsYankees	Singles	O 0.5	1	W	+130
7/7	vsYankees	Total Bases	O 1.5	5	W	+194
7/7	vsYankees	Total Bases	O 3.5	5	W	+564
7/7	vsYankees	Total Bases	O 2.5	5	W	+394
7/7	vsYankees	Total Bases	O 4.5	5	W	+1280
7/7	vsYankees	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 5.5	4	L	—
7/7	vsYankees	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 3.5	4	W	+506
7/7	vsYankees	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 4.5	4	L	+950
7/7	vsYankees	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 2.5	4	W	+259
7/7	vsYankees	Walks	O 0.5	0	L	+223
7/7	vsYankees	Hits	O 2.5	2	L	+2100
7/7	vsYankees	RBIs	O 2.5	1	L	+1900
7/7	vsYankees	Total Bases	O 5.5	5	L	—
7/7	vsYankees	Total Bases	O 0.5	5	W	-155
7/7	vsYankees	Singles	O 1.5	1	L	+870
7/7	vsYankees	Home Runs	O 2.5	1	L	—
7/7	vsYankees	Stolen Bases	O 0.5	0	L	+940
7/7	vsYankees	Stolen Bases	O 1.5	0	L	+10000
7/7	vsYankees	RBIs	O 3.5	1	L	+5000
7/7	vsYankees	Runs Scored	O 3.5	1	L	—
7/7	vsYankees	Runs Scored	O 2.5	1	L	+4000
7/7	vsYankees	Strikeouts	O 0.5	0	L	-198
7/7	vsYankees	Strikeouts	O 1.5	0	L	+307
7/7	vsYankees	Hits	O 3.5	2	L	+17500
7/7	vsYankees	RBIs	O 4.5	1	L	+5500
7/7	vsYankees	Doubles	O 1.5	0	L	—
7/6	vsYankees	Doubles	O 0.5	0	P	—
7/6	vsYankees	Hits	O 0.5	0	P	—
7/6	vsYankees	Hits	O 1.5	0	P	—
7/6	vsYankees	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 0.5	0	P	—
7/6	vsYankees	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 1.5	0	P	+146
7/6	vsYankees	Home Runs	O 0.5	0	P	—
7/6	vsYankees	Home Runs	O 1.5	0	P	—
7/6	vsYankees	RBIs	O 0.5	0	P	—
7/6	vsYankees	Runs Scored	O 1.5	0	P	+1700
7/6	vsYankees	RBIs	O 1.5	0	P	+750
7/6	vsYankees	Runs Scored	O 0.5	0	P	—
7/6	vsYankees	Stolen Bases	O 0.5	0	P	—
7/6	vsYankees	Singles	O 0.5	0	P	—

Tampa Bay Rays Teammates

View all

Junior Caminero Jonathan Aranda Chandler Simpson Cedric Mullins Taylor Walls Nick Fortes Richie Palacios Ben Williamson Hunter Feduccia Ryan Vilade Jake Fraley Austin Slater Carson Williams Drew Rasmussen Nick Martinez

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Victor Mesa Jr. hit the over on doubles 0.5?

Victor Mesa Jr. hits the over on doubles 0.5 4.5% of the time in 2026, going 1-21-4 with an average actual of 0. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,652.

How often does Victor Mesa Jr. hit the over on hits 0.5?

Victor Mesa Jr. hits the over on hits 0.5 45.5% of the time in 2026, going 10-12-4 with an average actual of 0.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$583.

How often does Victor Mesa Jr. hit the over on hits+runs+rbis 0.5?

Victor Mesa Jr. hits the over on hits+runs+rbis 0.5 59.1% of the time in 2026, going 13-9-4 with an average actual of 1.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$260.

How often does Victor Mesa Jr. hit the over on home runs 0.5?

Victor Mesa Jr. hits the over on home runs 0.5 18.2% of the time in 2026, going 4-18-4 with an average actual of 0.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$830.

How often does Victor Mesa Jr. hit the over on rbis 0.5?

Victor Mesa Jr. hits the over on rbis 0.5 27.3% of the time in 2026, going 6-16-4 with an average actual of 0.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$264.

What are Victor Mesa Jr.'s best prop bets in 2026?

Victor Mesa Jr.'s highest-hitting props in 2026: Strikeouts O 0.5 at 66.7% (14-7); Hits+Runs+RBIs O 0.5 at 59.1% (13-9); Hits O 0.5 at 45.5% (10-12).