
66.7% SO O 0.559.1% HRR O 0.545.5% H O 0.5
Props — 202626 games with closing lines
Home Runs
26g18.2%Over: 4-18-4
1vs O 0.5+730
vs
Yankees7/7
✓P✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 13.3%(15)A: 18.2%(11)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
39Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Jr.'s prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(3-6) | 0%(0-9) | 0%(0-9) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(5-5) | 30%(3-7) | 40%(4-6) |
| ★★★★★ | 40%(2-3) | 20%(1-4) | 40%(2-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Will Warren
7/7Matchup data is limited but favors Mesa Jr..
★★★★★vs Cam Schlittler
7/6Mesa Jr. is batting just .185 (5-for-27) against right-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to Schlittler over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Peter Lambert
7/5Mesa Jr. is batting just .214 (3-for-14) against pitchers with a similar repertoire to Lambert over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
4-51-10 Over26g · 65 props
Tampa Bay Rays Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Victor Mesa Jr. hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Victor Mesa Jr. hits the over on home runs 0.5 18.2% of the time in 2026, going 4-18-4 with an average actual of 0.2.
Is Victor Mesa Jr. over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 26 games in 2026, betting $100 on Victor Mesa Jr. over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned +$830 (+31.92% ROI). The hit rate is 18.2% with an average actual of 0.2.
What is Victor Mesa Jr.'s home runs average this season?
Victor Mesa Jr. averages 0.2 home runs per game in 2026 across 26 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.

Inside Edge