Tampa Bay Rays66.7% SO O 0.559.1% HRR O 0.545.5% H O 0.5
Props — 202626 games with closing lines
Walks
25g38.1%Over: 8-13-4
0vs O 0.5+223
vs
Yankees7/7
Yankees7/7✗P✓✓✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 14.3%(14)A: 54.5%(11)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
39Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Jr.'s prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(3-6) | 0%(0-9) | 0%(0-9) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(5-5) | 30%(3-7) | 40%(4-6) |
| ★★★★★ | 40%(2-3) | 20%(1-4) | 40%(2-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Will Warren
7/7Matchup data is limited but favors Mesa Jr..
★★★★★vs Cam Schlittler
7/6Mesa Jr. is batting just .185 (5-for-27) against right-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to Schlittler over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Peter Lambert
7/5Mesa Jr. is batting just .214 (3-for-14) against pitchers with a similar repertoire to Lambert over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
8-19-5 Over25g · 32 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/7 | vsYankees | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +223 |
| 7/6 | vsYankees | O 0.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 7/5 | @ Astros | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +239 |
| 7/4 | @Astros | O 0.5 | 2 | W | +233 |
| 7/3 | @Astros | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +165 |
| 7/3 | @Astros | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1220 |
| 7/2 | @ Royals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +198 |
| 7/1 | @Royals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +194 |
| 6/28 | vs Diamondbacks | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +215 |
| 6/27 | vsDiamondbacks | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +194 |
| 6/26 | vsDiamondbacks | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +212 |
| 6/25 | vsRoyals | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +248 |
| 6/22 | vsRoyals | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +244 |
| 6/20 | vs Nationals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +208 |
| 6/19 | vsNationals | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +199 |
| 6/17 | @ Dodgers | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +246 |
| 6/14 | @ Angels | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +177 |
| 6/14 | @Angels | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +1240 |
| 6/13 | @Angels | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +178 |
| 6/13 | @Angels | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +1240 |
| 6/3 | vs Tigers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +295 |
| 6/2 | vsTigers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +193 |
| 6/2 | vsTigers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1220 |
| 6/1 | vsTigers | O 0.5 | 2 | W | +263 |
| 5/31 | vsAngels | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +960 |
| 5/31 | vsAngels | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +246 |
| 5/29 | vsAngels | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +1160 |
| 5/29 | vsAngels | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +196 |
| 5/27 | @ Orioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +205 |
| 5/27 | @Orioles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1220 |
| 5/26 | @Orioles | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +213 |
| 5/25 | @Orioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +255 |
Tampa Bay Rays Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Victor Mesa Jr. hit the over on walks 0.5?
Victor Mesa Jr. hits the over on walks 0.5 38.1% of the time in 2026, going 8-13-4 with an average actual of 0.4.
Is Victor Mesa Jr. over 0.5 walks a good bet?
Based on 25 games in 2026, betting $100 on Victor Mesa Jr. over 0.5 walks at best closing odds has returned +$497 (+19.88% ROI). The hit rate is 38.1% with an average actual of 0.4.
What is Victor Mesa Jr.'s walks average this season?
Victor Mesa Jr. averages 0.4 walks per game in 2026 across 25 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.
Inside Edge