Inside Edge
Boston Red Sox100% K O 2.560% ER O 1.550% OUT O 15.5
Season
Best Performer
Payton Tolle goes over 2.5 pitcher ks 100% of the time (5-0-1)
Props — 20266 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.5★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
6Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Tolle's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 2.5 | Earned RunsO 1.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Connor Prielipp
5/22Left-handed starters have allowed a batting average of .251 against the Twins over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Bryce Elder
5/16Left-handed starters have allowed a batting average of .257 against the Braves over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Nick Martinez
5/10Left-handed starters have allowed a batting average of .249 against the Rays over the last two years.
Game Log
Bet
$
30-39-12 Over81 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/16 | @ Braves | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 24 | W | +102 |
| 5/16 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 3 | L | -350 |
| 5/16 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 3 | L | +580 |
| 5/16 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -900 |
| 5/16 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -152 |
| 5/16 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 3 | L | +280 |
| 5/16 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +140 |
| 5/16 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 3 | L | +770 |
| 5/16 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 3 | L | +1400 |
| 5/16 | @Braves | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +127 |
| 5/16 | @Braves | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -168 |
| 5/16 | @Braves | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -120 |
| 5/10 | vs Rays | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +110 |
| 5/10 | vsRays | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -1560 |
| 5/10 | vsRays | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 4 | W | -482 |
| 5/10 | vsRays | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 4 | L | +421 |
| 5/10 | vsRays | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 4 | L | +210 |
| 5/10 | vsRays | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 4 | L | +840 |
| 5/10 | vsRays | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -205 |
| 5/10 | vsRays | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 4 | L | +1640 |
| 5/10 | vsRays | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 15 | L | -103 |
| 5/10 | vsRays | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -158 |
| 5/10 | vsRays | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 15 | L | -128 |
| 5/10 | vsRays | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +107 |
| 5/10 | vsRays | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -127 |
| 5/9 | vsRays | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 0 | P | +129 |
| 5/9 | vsRays | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 0 | P | -1100 |
| 5/9 | vsRays | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 0 | P | +571 |
| 5/9 | vsRays | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 0 | P | +274 |
| 5/9 | vsRays | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 0 | P | -165 |
| 5/9 | vsRays | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 0 | P | -375 |
| 5/9 | vsRays | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 0 | P | +1160 |
| 5/9 | vsRays | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 0 | P | +1780 |
| 5/9 | vsRays | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 0 | P | -142 |
| 5/9 | vsRays | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 0 | P | +130 |
| 5/9 | vsRays | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 0 | P | -115 |
| 5/9 | vsRays | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +112 |
| 5/4 | @ Tigers | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 8 | W | +135 |
| 5/4 | @Tigers | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 8 | W | -1100 |
| 5/4 | @Tigers | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 8 | W | -375 |
| 5/4 | @Tigers | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 8 | W | -160 |
| 5/4 | @Tigers | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 8 | W | +275 |
| 5/4 | @Tigers | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 8 | W | +470 |
| 5/4 | @Tigers | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 8 | L | +630 |
| 5/4 | @Tigers | Outs Recorded | O 14.5 | 21 | W | -172 |
| 5/4 | @Tigers | Hits Allowed | O 3.5 | 1 | L | -175 |
| 5/4 | @Tigers | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +115 |
| 5/4 | @Tigers | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -154 |
| 5/4 | @Tigers | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 1 | L | +115 |
| 5/4 | @Tigers | Walks Allowed | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +145 |
Boston Red Sox Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Payton Tolle hit the over on pitcher ks 2.5?
Payton Tolle hits the over on pitcher ks 2.5 100% of the time in 2026, going 5-0-1 with an average actual of 5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$47.
How often does Payton Tolle hit the over on earned runs 1.5?
Payton Tolle hits the over on earned runs 1.5 60% of the time in 2026, going 3-2-1 with an average actual of 1.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$12.
How often does Payton Tolle hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Payton Tolle hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 20% of the time in 2026, going 1-4-1 with an average actual of 3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$321.
How often does Payton Tolle hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Payton Tolle hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 20% of the time in 2026, going 1-4-1 with an average actual of 1.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$331.
How often does Payton Tolle hit the over on outs recorded 15.5?
Payton Tolle hits the over on outs recorded 15.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 2-2 with an average actual of 18.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$34.
What are Payton Tolle's best prop bets in 2026?
Payton Tolle's highest-hitting props in 2026: Pitcher Ks O 2.5 at 100% (5-0); Earned Runs O 1.5 at 60% (3-2); Outs Recorded O 15.5 at 50% (2-2).