Payton Tolle

Boston Red SoxPitcher•2026

Reg3.68 ERA / 74 K / 73.4 IP / 9.1 K/9 / 13G

92.3% K O 2.572.7% ER O 1.561.5% BBA O 1.5

Season

Best Performer

Payton Tolle goes over 2.5 pitcher ks 92.3% of the time (12-1-1)

Props — 202614 games with closing lines

Pitcher Ks

14g

avg 5.3

92.3%Over: 12-1-1

5vs O 2.5-2500

Nationals7/1

✓✓✗✓✓✓✓✓✓✓

H: 88.9%(9)A: 80%(5)

Earned Runs

14g

avg 2.1

69.2%Over: 9-4-1

6vs O 2.5-110

Nationals7/1

✓✗✓✓✓✗✓✓✓✓

H: 57.1%(7)A: 80%(5)

Hits Allowed

14g

avg 4.4

46.2%Over: 6-7-1

7vs O 5.5-115

Nationals7/1

✓✗✓✗✓✓✓✗✗✓

H: 42.9%(7)A: 40%(5)

Walks Allowed

14g

avg 1.6

61.5%Over: 8-5-1

3vs O 1.5+142

Nationals7/1

✓✓✓✓✗✓✓✓✗✗

H: 66.7%(9)A: 40%(5)

Outs Recorded

13g

avg 17.2

61.5%Over: 8-5

9vs O 16.5

Nationals7/1

✗✓✓✗✓✓✗✓✓✗

H: 42.9%(7)A: 100%(2)

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

3.2★★★★★

5-Star Games

2(14%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Tolle's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

Stars	Pitcher KsO 2.5	Earned RunsO 1.5	Hits AllowedO 4.5	Walks AllowedO 1.5	Outs RecordedO 16.5
★★★★★	50%(1-1)	100%(2-0)	50%(1-1)	100%(2-0)	50%(1-1)
★★★★★	100%(5-0)	66.7%(2-1)	100%(3-0)	80%(4-1)	40%(2-3)
★★★★★	50%(1-1)	50%(1-1)	0%(0-2)	50%(1-1)	100%(1-0)
★★★★★	100%(3-0)	66.7%(2-1)	33.3%(1-2)	0%(0-3)	100%(1-0)
★★★★★	100%(1-0)	100%(1-0)	0%(0-1)	100%(1-0)	—

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Noah Schultz

7/7

Left-handed starters have allowed a batting average of .253 against the White Sox over the last two years.

★★★★★vs Brad Lord

7/1

Left-handed starters have allowed a batting average of .240 against the Nationals over the last two years.

★★★★★vs Will Warren

6/26

Left-handed starters have allowed a batting average of .257 against the Yankees over the last two years.

Game Log

Bet

93-93-12 Over198 props

Date ↓	Opp	Market	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
7/1	vsNationals	Pitcher Ks	O 6.5	5	L	+175
7/1	vsNationals	Pitcher Ks	O 2.5	5	W	-2500
7/1	vsNationals	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	5	W	-235
7/1	vsNationals	Pitcher Ks	O 7.5	5	L	+329
7/1	vsNationals	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	5	W	-600
7/1	vsNationals	Pitcher Ks	O 5.5	5	L	-115
7/1	vsNationals	Pitcher Ks	O 8.5	5	L	+650
7/1	vsNationals	Pitcher Ks	O 1.5	5	W	—
7/1	vsNationals	Pitcher Ks	O 9.5	5	L	+1260
7/1	vsNationals	Hits Allowed	O 5.5	7	W	-115
7/1	vsNationals	Earned Runs	O 2.5	6	W	-110
7/1	vsNationals	Outs Recorded	O 17.5	9	L	-108
7/1	vsNationals	Outs Recorded	O 16.5	9	L	—
7/1	vsNationals	Pitcher Ks	O 10.5	5	L	—
7/1	vsNationals	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	3	W	+142
6/26	vsYankees	Outs Recorded	O 16.5	21	W	-104
6/26	vsYankees	Hits Allowed	O 5.5	1	L	+119
6/26	vsYankees	Earned Runs	O 2.5	0	L	+104
6/26	vsYankees	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	7	W	-525
6/26	vsYankees	Pitcher Ks	O 2.5	7	W	-2100
6/26	vsYankees	Pitcher Ks	O 6.5	7	W	+175
6/26	vsYankees	Pitcher Ks	O 5.5	7	W	-110
6/26	vsYankees	Pitcher Ks	O 7.5	7	L	+333
6/26	vsYankees	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	7	W	-225
6/26	vsYankees	Outs Recorded	O 17.5	21	W	-105
6/26	vsYankees	Pitcher Ks	O 8.5	7	L	+680
6/26	vsYankees	Pitcher Ks	O 9.5	7	L	+1000
6/26	vsYankees	Pitcher Ks	O 1.5	7	W	—
6/26	vsYankees	Outs Recorded	O 15.5	21	W	—
6/26	vsYankees	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	2	W	+111
6/26	vsYankees	Pitcher Ks	O 10.5	7	L	—
6/21	@Mariners	Pitcher Ks	O 5.5	2	L	-140
6/21	@Mariners	Pitcher Ks	O 6.5	2	L	+140
6/21	@Mariners	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	2	L	-700
6/21	@Mariners	Pitcher Ks	O 7.5	2	L	+263
6/21	@Mariners	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	2	L	-295
6/21	@Mariners	Pitcher Ks	O 8.5	2	L	+535
6/21	@Mariners	Pitcher Ks	O 9.5	2	L	+1120
6/21	@Mariners	Pitcher Ks	O 1.5	2	W	—
6/21	@Mariners	Pitcher Ks	O 2.5	2	L	-3600
6/21	@Mariners	Outs Recorded	O 17.5	18	W	-115
6/21	@Mariners	Hits Allowed	O 4.5	6	W	-109
6/21	@Mariners	Earned Runs	O 1.5	3	W	-158
6/21	@Mariners	Outs Recorded	O 16.5	18	W	-122
6/21	@Mariners	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	2	W	+105
6/21	@Mariners	Earned Runs	O 2.5	3	W	+130
6/21	@Mariners	Pitcher Ks	O 10.5	2	L	—
6/16	vsBlue Jays	Pitcher Ks	O 6.5	6	L	+257
6/16	vsBlue Jays	Pitcher Ks	O 7.5	6	L	+520
6/16	vsBlue Jays	Pitcher Ks	O 5.5	6	W	+130

Boston Red Sox Teammates

View all

Wilyer Abreu Willson Contreras Jarren Duran Ceddanne Rafaela Caleb Durbin Marcelo Mayer Masataka Yoshida Trevor Story Andruw Monasterio Mickey Gasper Connor Wong Isiah Kiner-Falefa Roman Anthony Anthony Seigler Nick Sogard

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Payton Tolle hit the over on pitcher ks 2.5?

Payton Tolle hits the over on pitcher ks 2.5 92.3% of the time in 2026, going 12-1-1 with an average actual of 5.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$14.

How often does Payton Tolle hit the over on earned runs 1.5?

Payton Tolle hits the over on earned runs 1.5 72.7% of the time in 2026, going 8-3-1 with an average actual of 2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$215.

How often does Payton Tolle hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?

Payton Tolle hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 45.5% of the time in 2026, going 5-6-1 with an average actual of 4.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$181.

How often does Payton Tolle hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?

Payton Tolle hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 61.5% of the time in 2026, going 8-5-1 with an average actual of 1.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$363.

How often does Payton Tolle hit the over on outs recorded 16.5?

Payton Tolle hits the over on outs recorded 16.5 55.6% of the time in 2026, going 5-4 with an average actual of 16.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$127.

What are Payton Tolle's best prop bets in 2026?

Payton Tolle's highest-hitting props in 2026: Pitcher Ks O 2.5 at 92.3% (12-1); Earned Runs O 1.5 at 72.7% (8-3); Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 61.5% (8-5).