Boston Red Sox92.3% K O 2.572.7% ER O 1.561.5% BBA O 1.5
Season
All Payton Tolle propsProps — 202614 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
14g69.2%Over: 9-4-1
6vs O 2.5-110
vs
Nationals7/1
Nationals7/1✓✗✓✓✓✗✓✓✓✓
H: 57.1%(7)A: 80%(5)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.2★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(14%)
Total Matchups
14Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Tolle's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 2.5 | Earned RunsO 1.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 16.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(5-0) | 66.7%(2-1) | 100%(3-0) | 80%(4-1) | 40%(2-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(3-0) | 66.7%(2-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 0%(0-3) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | — |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Noah Schultz
7/7Left-handed starters have allowed a batting average of .253 against the White Sox over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Brad Lord
7/1Left-handed starters have allowed a batting average of .240 against the Nationals over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Will Warren
6/26Left-handed starters have allowed a batting average of .257 against the Yankees over the last two years.
Game Log
Bet
$
13-6-2 Over14g · 21 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/1 | vsNationals | O 2.5 | 6 | W | -110 |
| 6/26 | vs Yankees | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +104 |
| 6/21 | @ Mariners | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -158 |
| 6/21 | @Mariners | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +130 |
| 6/16 | vs Blue Jays | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +125 |
| 6/16 | vsBlue Jays | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -185 |
| 6/9 | @ Rays | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -156 |
| 6/9 | @Rays | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +120 |
| 6/3 | vs Orioles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -175 |
| 5/28 | vs Braves | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -145 |
| 5/22 | vs Twins | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -130 |
| 5/16 | @Braves | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -168 |
| 5/10 | vsRays | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -158 |
| 5/9 | vsRays | O 1.5 | 0 | P | -142 |
| 5/9 | vsRays | O 2.5 | 0 | P | +130 |
| 5/4 | @ Tigers | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +115 |
| 5/4 | @Tigers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -154 |
| 4/28 | @Blue Jays | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -154 |
| 4/28 | @Blue Jays | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +127 |
| 4/23 | vsYankees | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +127 |
| 4/23 | vsYankees | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -175 |
Boston Red Sox Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Payton Tolle hit the over on earned runs 1.5?
Payton Tolle hits the over on earned runs 1.5 72.7% of the time in 2026, going 8-3-1 with an average actual of 2.
Is Payton Tolle over 1.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 14 games in 2026, betting $100 on Payton Tolle over 1.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned +$206 (+14.71% ROI). The hit rate is 72.7% with an average actual of 2.
What is Payton Tolle's earned runs average this season?
Payton Tolle averages 2 earned runs per game in 2026 across 14 games. The primary line is set at 1.5.
Inside Edge