Inside Edge
Boston Red Sox100% K O 2.560% ER O 1.550% OUT O 15.5
Season
All Payton Tolle propsProps — 20266 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
6g60%Over: 3-2-1
2vs O 1.5-168
@
Braves5/16
Braves5/16✓✓P✗✓✗
H: 33.3%(3)A: 66.7%(3)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.5★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
6Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Tolle's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 2.5 | Earned RunsO 1.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Connor Prielipp
5/22Left-handed starters have allowed a batting average of .251 against the Twins over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Bryce Elder
5/16Left-handed starters have allowed a batting average of .257 against the Braves over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Nick Martinez
5/10Left-handed starters have allowed a batting average of .249 against the Rays over the last two years.
Game Log
Bet
$
4-4-2 Over6g · 10 props
Boston Red Sox Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Payton Tolle hit the over on earned runs 1.5?
Payton Tolle hits the over on earned runs 1.5 60% of the time in 2026, going 3-2-1 with an average actual of 1.5.
Is Payton Tolle over 1.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 6 games in 2026, betting $100 on Payton Tolle over 1.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$12 (-2% ROI). The hit rate is 60% with an average actual of 1.5.
What is Payton Tolle's earned runs average this season?
Payton Tolle averages 1.5 earned runs per game in 2026 across 6 games. The primary line is set at 1.5.