Boston Red Sox92.3% K O 2.572.7% ER O 1.561.5% BBA O 1.5
Season
All Payton Tolle propsProps — 202614 games with closing lines
Hits Allowed
14g46.2%Over: 6-7-1
7vs O 5.5-115
vs
Nationals7/1
Nationals7/1✓✗✓✗✓✓✓✗✗✓
H: 42.9%(7)A: 40%(5)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.2★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(14%)
Total Matchups
14Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Tolle's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 2.5 | Earned RunsO 1.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 16.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(5-0) | 66.7%(2-1) | 100%(3-0) | 80%(4-1) | 40%(2-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(3-0) | 66.7%(2-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 0%(0-3) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | — |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Noah Schultz
7/7Left-handed starters have allowed a batting average of .253 against the White Sox over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Brad Lord
7/1Left-handed starters have allowed a batting average of .240 against the Nationals over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Will Warren
6/26Left-handed starters have allowed a batting average of .257 against the Yankees over the last two years.
Game Log
Bet
$
6-10-1 Over14g · 17 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/1 | vsNationals | O 5.5 | 7 | W | -115 |
| 6/26 | vs Yankees | O 5.5 | 1 | L | +119 |
| 6/21 | @ Mariners | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -109 |
| 6/16 | vs Blue Jays | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +110 |
| 6/16 | vsBlue Jays | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -162 |
| 6/9 | @ Rays | O 4.5 | 9 | W | -135 |
| 6/3 | vs Orioles | O 4.5 | 7 | W | +100 |
| 5/28 | vs Braves | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -134 |
| 5/22 | vs Twins | O 4.5 | 4 | L | +107 |
| 5/16 | @Braves | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -120 |
| 5/10 | vsRays | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -127 |
| 5/9 | vsRays | O 4.5 | 0 | P | -115 |
| 5/4 | @ Tigers | O 3.5 | 1 | L | -175 |
| 5/4 | @Tigers | O 4.5 | 1 | L | +115 |
| 4/28 | @Blue Jays | O 4.5 | 3 | L | +113 |
| 4/23 | vsYankees | O 3.5 | 3 | L | -150 |
| 4/23 | vsYankees | O 4.5 | 3 | L | +131 |
Boston Red Sox Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Payton Tolle hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Payton Tolle hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 45.5% of the time in 2026, going 5-6-1 with an average actual of 4.4.
Is Payton Tolle over 4.5 hits allowed a good bet?
Based on 14 games in 2026, betting $100 on Payton Tolle over 4.5 hits allowed at best closing odds has returned -$194 (-13.86% ROI). The hit rate is 45.5% with an average actual of 4.4.
What is Payton Tolle's hits allowed average this season?
Payton Tolle averages 4.4 hits allowed per game in 2026 across 14 games. The primary line is set at 4.5.
Inside Edge