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Players/MLB/Boston Red Sox/Ceddanne Rafaela
Ceddanne Rafaela

Ceddanne Rafaela

Boston Red Sox•2026
.287AVG16HR65RBI67R142H17SB123G
.287AVG16HR65RBI67R142H17SB123G
59% SO O 0.554.9% 1B O 0.543.4% R O 0.5
Season
Best Performer

Ceddanne Rafaela goes over 0.5 strikeouts 59% of the time (72-50-9)

Props — 2026131 games with closing lines

Hits

131g
avg 1.3
32.8%Over: 40-82-9
3vs O 1.5+183
vsGiants8/23
✓✗✓✗✗✓✗✗P✓
H: 31.7%(63)A: 29.7%(64)

Home Runs

131g
avg 0.2
12.3%Over: 15-107-9
0vs O 0.5+800
vsGiants8/23
✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗P✗
H: 9.2%(65)A: 14.1%(64)

RBIs

131g
avg 0.8
35.2%Over: 43-79-9
2vs O 0.5+189
vsGiants8/23
✓✗✗✗✗✓✗✗P✗
H: 35.4%(65)A: 31.3%(64)

Runs Scored

131g
avg 0.6
43.4%Over: 53-69-9
0vs O 0.5-106
vsGiants8/23
✗✗✗✓✓✓✗✗P✓
H: 40%(65)A: 40.6%(64)

Stolen Bases

131g
avg 0.1
13.1%Over: 16-106-9
1vs O 0.5+525
vsGiants8/23
✓✗✗✗✗✗✗✗P✗
H: 10.8%(65)A: 14.1%(64)

Total Bases

131g
avg 2.2
24.6%Over: 30-92-9
3vs O 2.5+250
vsGiants8/23
✓✗✗✗✗✓✗✗P✗
H: 19%(63)A: 26.6%(64)

Strikeouts

131g
avg 1
59%Over: 72-50-9
0vs O 0.5-155
vsGiants8/23
✗✓✓✓✗✗✓✓P✓
H: 53.8%(65)A: 56.3%(64)

Doubles

131g
avg 0.2
23.8%Over: 29-93-9
0vs O 0.5+339
vsGiants8/23
✗✗✗✗✗✓✗✓P✗
H: 20%(65)A: 23.4%(64)

Hits+Runs+RBIs

131g
avg 2.7
37.7%Over: 46-76-9
5vs O 2.5+142
vsGiants8/23
✓✗✗✗✗✓✗✗P✓
H: 36.9%(65)A: 34.4%(64)

Singles

131g
avg 0.8
54.9%Over: 67-55-9
3vs O 0.5-155
vsGiants8/23
✓✓✓✗✓✗✗✗P✓
H: 53.8%(65)A: 50%(64)

Walks

124g
avg 0.1
16.4%Over: 19-97-8
0vs O 0.5+216
vsGiants8/23
✗✓✗✗✗✗✗P✗✗
H: 16.7%(60)A: 14.5%(62)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
2★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(2%)
Total Matchups
132
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Rafaela's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

StarsHitsO 1.5Home RunsO 0.5RBIsO 0.5
★★★★★0%(0-2)50%(1-1)100%(2-0)
★★★★★14.3%(1-6)0%(0-7)14.3%(1-6)
★★★★★20%(3-12)0%(0-15)6.7%(1-14)
★★★★★30.7%(23-52)13%(10-67)35.1%(27-50)
★★★★★37.9%(11-18)13.8%(4-25)37.9%(11-18)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Matt Wilkinson
8/23

Rafaela has a wOBA of just .223 over his last 5 games in 20 PA's.

★★★★★vs Blade Tidwell
8/22

Right-handed batters who hit for high average like Rafaela have a Well-Hit Rate of just 5.9% against Tidwell over the last 2 seasons; League Avg: 20.1%.

★★★★★vs Logan Webb
8/21

Rafaela has a wOBA of just .245 over his last 5 games in 19 PA's.

Game Log

Bet
$
1033-3208-305 Over4546 props
Date ↓OppMarketLineActualResultOdds
8/23vsGiantsHitsO 0.53W-305
8/23vsGiantsDoublesO 0.50L+339
8/23vsGiantsHitsO 1.53W+183
8/23vsGiantsHits+Runs+RBIsO 1.55W-155
8/23vsGiantsHits+Runs+RBIsO 0.55W-420
8/23vsGiantsHome RunsO 1.50L+10000
8/23vsGiantsHome RunsO 0.50L+800
8/23vsGiantsRBIsO 1.52W+600
8/23vsGiantsRBIsO 0.52W+189
8/23vsGiantsRuns ScoredO 0.50L-106
8/23vsGiantsSinglesO 0.53W-155
8/23vsGiantsRuns ScoredO 1.50L+584
8/23vsGiantsTotal BasesO 2.53W+250
8/23vsGiantsTotal BasesO 4.53L+880
8/23vsGiantsTotal BasesO 1.53W+110
8/23vsGiantsTotal BasesO 3.53L+441
8/23vsGiantsHits+Runs+RBIsO 6.55L—
8/23vsGiantsHits+Runs+RBIsO 3.55W+280
8/23vsGiantsHitsO 2.53W+790
8/23vsGiantsSinglesO 1.53W+355
8/23vsGiantsRBIsO 2.52L+1700
8/23vsGiantsStolen BasesO 0.51W+525
8/23vsGiantsStrikeoutsO 1.50L+405
8/23vsGiantsTotal BasesO 0.53W-350
8/23vsGiantsWalksO 0.50L+216
8/23vsGiantsHitsO 3.53L+4000
8/23vsGiantsHits+Runs+RBIsO 2.55W+142
8/23vsGiantsHits+Runs+RBIsO 4.55W+548
8/23vsGiantsTotal BasesO 5.53L—
8/23vsGiantsHits+Runs+RBIsO 5.55L—
8/23vsGiantsTotal BasesO 6.53L—
8/23vsGiantsRBIsO 3.52L+4500
8/23vsGiantsStrikeoutsO 2.50L—
8/23vsGiantsStrikeoutsO 0.50L-155
8/23vsGiantsStolen BasesO 1.51L+3800
8/23vsGiantsRuns ScoredO 2.50L+3000
8/23vsGiantsHome RunsO 2.50L—
8/23vsGiantsRBIsO 4.52L+5000
8/23vsGiantsDoublesO 1.50L—
8/22vsGiantsHits+Runs+RBIsO 5.51L—
8/22vsGiantsHits+Runs+RBIsO 6.51L—
8/22vsGiantsHits+Runs+RBIsO 1.51L-145
8/22vsGiantsHits+Runs+RBIsO 4.51L+559
8/22vsGiantsHits+Runs+RBIsO 0.51W-360
8/22vsGiantsHits+Runs+RBIsO 2.51L+150
8/22vsGiantsHits+Runs+RBIsO 3.51L+300
8/22vsGiantsSinglesO 0.51W-155
8/22vsGiantsHitsO 1.51L+193
8/22vsGiantsHome RunsO 0.50L+930
8/22vsGiantsRBIsO 0.50L+185

Boston Red Sox Teammates

View all
Wilyer AbreuWillson ContrerasJarren DuranCaleb DurbinAdley RutschmanMasataka YoshidaAndruw MonasterioCurtis MeadConnor WongMarcelo MayerAnthony SeiglerEli WhiteJake RogersTrevor StoryMickey Gasper

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Ceddanne Rafaela hit the over on hits 1.5?
Ceddanne Rafaela hits the over on hits 1.5 32.5% of the time in 2026, going 39-81-9 with an average actual of 1.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$988.
How often does Ceddanne Rafaela hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Ceddanne Rafaela hits the over on home runs 0.5 12.3% of the time in 2026, going 15-107-9 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$1,210.
How often does Ceddanne Rafaela hit the over on rbis 0.5?
Ceddanne Rafaela hits the over on rbis 0.5 35.2% of the time in 2026, going 43-79-9 with an average actual of 0.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$984.
How often does Ceddanne Rafaela hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Ceddanne Rafaela hits the over on runs scored 0.5 43.4% of the time in 2026, going 53-69-9 with an average actual of 0.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$122.
How often does Ceddanne Rafaela hit the over on stolen bases 0.5?
Ceddanne Rafaela hits the over on stolen bases 0.5 13.1% of the time in 2026, going 16-106-9 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$3,016.
What are Ceddanne Rafaela's best prop bets in 2026?
Ceddanne Rafaela's highest-hitting props in 2026: Strikeouts O 0.5 at 59% (72-50); Singles O 0.5 at 54.9% (67-55); Runs Scored O 0.5 at 43.4% (53-69).

Ceddanne Rafaela 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.131 games analyzed across 11 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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