Inside Edge
Boston Red Sox79.5% HRR O 0.572.7% H O 0.571.4% TB O 0.5
Season
Best Performer
Ceddanne Rafaela goes over 0.5 hits+runs+rbis 79.5% of the time (35-9-4)
Props — 202648 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
50Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Rafaela's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 0%(0-3) | 0%(0-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 75%(6-2) | 0%(0-8) | 0%(0-8) |
| ★★★★★ | 60%(15-10) | 12%(3-22) | 28%(7-18) |
| ★★★★★ | 72.7%(8-3) | 9.1%(1-10) | 45.5%(5-6) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Connor Prielipp
5/22Rafaela is batting just .181 (13-for-72) against left-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to Prielipp over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Michael Wacha
5/20Rafaela has an OPS of just .725 in 611 PA's when hitting on the road over the last year.
★★★★★vs Bailey Falter
5/19Rafaela is batting just .191 (21-for-110) against left-handers with avg flyball rates like Falter over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
317-1035-128 Over1480 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/20 | @ Royals | Doubles | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +360 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Hits | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -193 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Hits | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +1360 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Hits | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +290 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +227 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 3.5 | 2 | L | +454 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 4.5 | 2 | L | +860 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +105 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 0.5 | 2 | W | -245 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | RBIs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +690 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Home Runs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | RBIs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +218 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Home Runs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +22500 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Singles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +587 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Singles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -103 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Total Bases | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +153 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Total Bases | O 3.5 | 2 | L | +610 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Total Bases | O 4.5 | 2 | L | +1300 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Total Bases | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +356 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Hits | O 3.5 | 1 | L | +10000 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Runs Scored | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +1300 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Runs Scored | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +165 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Stolen Bases | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +630 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Stolen Bases | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6500 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Strikeouts | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -152 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Strikeouts | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +407 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Walks | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +266 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | RBIs | O 4.5 | 0 | L | +5500 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | RBIs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +2000 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | RBIs | O 3.5 | 0 | L | +6000 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Runs Scored | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +3500 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Total Bases | O 0.5 | 2 | W | -220 |
| 5/19 | @Royals | Doubles | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +297 |
| 5/19 | @Royals | Hits | O 0.5 | 2 | W | -235 |
| 5/19 | @Royals | Hits | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +210 |
| 5/19 | @Royals | Hits | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +875 |
| 5/19 | @Royals | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -125 |
| 5/19 | @Royals | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 0.5 | 4 | W | -325 |
| 5/19 | @Royals | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 4.5 | 4 | L | +596 |
| 5/19 | @Royals | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +165 |
| 5/19 | @Royals | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 3.5 | 4 | W | +317 |
| 5/19 | @Royals | Home Runs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +800 |
| 5/19 | @Royals | Home Runs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/19 | @Royals | RBIs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +191 |
| 5/19 | @Royals | RBIs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +650 |
| 5/19 | @Royals | Singles | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -125 |
| 5/19 | @Royals | Runs Scored | O 0.5 | 2 | W | +115 |
| 5/19 | @Royals | Singles | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +421 |
| 5/19 | @Royals | Total Bases | O 1.5 | 3 | W | +120 |
| 5/19 | @Royals | Total Bases | O 3.5 | 3 | L | +450 |
Boston Red Sox Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Ceddanne Rafaela hit the over on hits 0.5?
Ceddanne Rafaela hits the over on hits 0.5 72.7% of the time in 2026, going 32-12-4 with an average actual of 0.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$581.
How often does Ceddanne Rafaela hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Ceddanne Rafaela hits the over on home runs 0.5 9.1% of the time in 2026, going 4-40-4 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$420.
How often does Ceddanne Rafaela hit the over on rbis 0.5?
Ceddanne Rafaela hits the over on rbis 0.5 29.5% of the time in 2026, going 13-31-4 with an average actual of 0.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$254.
How often does Ceddanne Rafaela hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Ceddanne Rafaela hits the over on runs scored 0.5 38.6% of the time in 2026, going 17-27-4 with an average actual of 0.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$46.
How often does Ceddanne Rafaela hit the over on stolen bases 0.5?
Ceddanne Rafaela hits the over on stolen bases 0.5 6.8% of the time in 2026, going 3-41-4 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$2,530.
What are Ceddanne Rafaela's best prop bets in 2026?
Ceddanne Rafaela's highest-hitting props in 2026: Hits+Runs+RBIs O 0.5 at 79.5% (35-9); Hits O 0.5 at 72.7% (32-12); Total Bases O 0.5 at 71.4% (30-12).