Ceddanne Rafaela

Ceddanne Rafaela

Boston Red SoxPosition Player2026
Reg0.279 / 7 HR / 35 RBI / 88 H / 12 SB / 82G
77.8% HRR O 0.574.1% H O 0.573.4% TB O 0.5
Season
Best Performer

Ceddanne Rafaela goes over 0.5 hits+runs+rbis 77.8% of the time (63-18-7)

Props — 202688 games with closing lines

Hits

88g
avg 1.1
74.1%Over: 60-21-7
1vs O 0.5-270
@Angels7/5
H: 70.5%(44)A: 65.9%(44)
avg 0.1
8.6%Over: 7-74-7
0vs O 0.5+640
@Angels7/5
H: 9.1%(44)A: 6.8%(44)

RBIs

88g
avg 0.4
29.6%Over: 24-57-7
0vs O 0.5+199
@Angels7/5
H: 29.5%(44)A: 25%(44)
avg 0.5
39.5%Over: 32-49-7
1vs O 0.5+105
@Angels7/5
H: 34.1%(44)A: 38.6%(44)
avg 0.2
13.6%Over: 11-70-7
1vs O 0.5+370
@Angels7/5
H: 9.1%(44)A: 15.9%(44)
avg 1.7
74.1%Over: 60-21-7
1vs O 0.5-275
@Angels7/5
H: 69.8%(43)A: 65.1%(43)
avg 0.8
59.3%Over: 48-33-7
2vs O 0.5-260
@Angels7/5
H: 54.5%(44)A: 54.5%(44)
avg 0.3
23.5%Over: 19-62-7
0vs O 0.5+385
@Angels7/5
H: 20.5%(44)A: 22.7%(44)
avg 2.1
77.8%Over: 63-18-7
2vs O 0.5-325
@Angels7/5
H: 72.7%(44)A: 70.5%(44)
avg 0.7
53.1%Over: 43-38-7
1vs O 0.5-130
@Angels7/5
H: 52.3%(44)A: 45.5%(44)
avg 0.1
20.3%Over: 16-63-6
0vs O 0.5+232
@Angels7/5
H: 19.5%(41)A: 18.2%(44)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
2
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
90
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Rafaela's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

StarsHitsO 0.5Home RunsO 0.5RBIsO 0.5
60%(3-2)0%(0-5)0%(0-5)
70%(7-3)0%(0-10)0%(0-10)
62.5%(30-18)8.3%(4-44)27.1%(13-35)
79.2%(19-5)12.5%(3-21)41.7%(10-14)

Recent Scouting Notes

vs Noah Schultz
7/7

Rafaela is batting just .205 (16-for-78) against left-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to Schultz over the last 2 seasons.

vs Ryan Johnson
7/5

Rafaela has a Well-Hit Rate of just 5.9% in 17 AB's over the last 5 days; League Avg: 19.5%.

vs Sam Aldegheri
7/4

Rafaela is batting just .200 (5-for-25) against left-handers who rely heavily on the splitter like Aldegheri over the last 2 seasons.

Game Log

Bet
$
617-2046-231 Over2894 props
DateOppMarketLineActualResultOdds
7/5@AngelsDoublesO 0.50L+385
7/5@AngelsHitsO 1.51L+200
7/5@AngelsHits+Runs+RBIsO 1.52W-135
7/5@AngelsHitsO 0.51W-270
7/5@AngelsHits+Runs+RBIsO 0.52W-325
7/5@AngelsHome RunsO 1.50L+10000
7/5@AngelsHome RunsO 0.50L+640
7/5@AngelsRBIsO 1.50L+620
7/5@AngelsRBIsO 0.50L+199
7/5@AngelsRuns ScoredO 0.51W+105
7/5@AngelsSinglesO 0.51W-130
7/5@AngelsRuns ScoredO 1.51L+600
7/5@AngelsTotal BasesO 3.51L+450
7/5@AngelsTotal BasesO 4.51L+850
7/5@AngelsTotal BasesO 2.51L+255
7/5@AngelsTotal BasesO 1.51L+117
7/5@AngelsHitsO 3.51L+5000
7/5@AngelsHitsO 2.51L+950
7/5@AngelsRBIsO 2.50L+1900
7/5@AngelsTotal BasesO 5.51L
7/5@AngelsTotal BasesO 0.51W-275
7/5@AngelsHits+Runs+RBIsO 6.52L
7/5@AngelsHits+Runs+RBIsO 5.52L
7/5@AngelsHits+Runs+RBIsO 3.52L+300
7/5@AngelsHits+Runs+RBIsO 2.52L+155
7/5@AngelsHits+Runs+RBIsO 4.52L+561
7/5@AngelsHome RunsO 2.50L
7/5@AngelsSinglesO 1.51L+373
7/5@AngelsStolen BasesO 1.51L+3000
7/5@AngelsStolen BasesO 0.51W+370
7/5@AngelsStrikeoutsO 1.52W+221
7/5@AngelsStrikeoutsO 0.52W-260
7/5@AngelsWalksO 0.50L+232
7/5@AngelsRBIsO 3.50L+6000
7/5@AngelsRBIsO 4.50L+5500
7/5@AngelsRuns ScoredO 2.51L+3500
7/5@AngelsStrikeoutsO 2.52L+1060
7/5@AngelsDoublesO 1.50L
7/5@AngelsRuns ScoredO 3.51L
7/4@AngelsHits+Runs+RBIsO 1.53W-137
7/4@AngelsHits+Runs+RBIsO 3.53L+284
7/4@AngelsHits+Runs+RBIsO 5.53L
7/4@AngelsHits+Runs+RBIsO 2.53W+149
7/4@AngelsHits+Runs+RBIsO 4.53L+521
7/4@AngelsHits+Runs+RBIsO 0.53W-335
7/4@AngelsHits+Runs+RBIsO 6.53L
7/4@AngelsWalksO 0.51W+219
7/4@AngelsDoublesO 0.51W+341
7/4@AngelsHitsO 3.51L+4500
7/4@AngelsHitsO 0.51W-250

Boston Red Sox Teammates

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Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Ceddanne Rafaela hit the over on hits 0.5?
Ceddanne Rafaela hits the over on hits 0.5 74.1% of the time in 2026, going 60-21-7 with an average actual of 1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$876.
How often does Ceddanne Rafaela hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Ceddanne Rafaela hits the over on home runs 0.5 8.6% of the time in 2026, going 7-74-7 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,400.
How often does Ceddanne Rafaela hit the over on rbis 0.5?
Ceddanne Rafaela hits the over on rbis 0.5 29.6% of the time in 2026, going 24-57-7 with an average actual of 0.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$689.
How often does Ceddanne Rafaela hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Ceddanne Rafaela hits the over on runs scored 0.5 39.5% of the time in 2026, going 32-49-7 with an average actual of 0.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$528.
How often does Ceddanne Rafaela hit the over on stolen bases 0.5?
Ceddanne Rafaela hits the over on stolen bases 0.5 13.6% of the time in 2026, going 11-70-7 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,686.
What are Ceddanne Rafaela's best prop bets in 2026?
Ceddanne Rafaela's highest-hitting props in 2026: Hits+Runs+RBIs O 0.5 at 77.8% (63-18); Hits O 0.5 at 74.1% (60-21); Total Bases O 0.5 at 73.4% (58-21).

Ceddanne Rafaela 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.88 games analyzed across 11 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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