Boston Red Sox78% HRR O 0.574.4% H O 0.573.8% TB O 0.5
Season
All Ceddanne Rafaela propsProps — 202689 games with closing lines
Home Runs
89g9.8%Over: 8-74-7
1vs O 0.5+600
@
White Sox7/7
White Sox7/7✓✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 9.1%(44)A: 8.9%(45)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
90Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Rafaela's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 60%(3-2) | 0%(0-5) | 0%(0-5) |
| ★★★★★ | 70%(7-3) | 0%(0-10) | 0%(0-10) |
| ★★★★★ | 63.3%(31-18) | 10.2%(5-44) | 28.6%(14-35) |
| ★★★★★ | 79.2%(19-5) | 12.5%(3-21) | 41.7%(10-14) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Noah Schultz
7/7Rafaela is batting just .205 (16-for-78) against left-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to Schultz over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Ryan Johnson
7/5Rafaela has a Well-Hit Rate of just 5.9% in 17 AB's over the last 5 days; League Avg: 19.5%.
★★★★★vs Sam Aldegheri
7/4Rafaela is batting just .200 (5-for-25) against left-handers who rely heavily on the splitter like Aldegheri over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
8-181-16 Over89g · 205 props
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Ceddanne Rafaela hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Ceddanne Rafaela hits the over on home runs 0.5 9.8% of the time in 2026, going 8-74-7 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is Ceddanne Rafaela over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 89 games in 2026, betting $100 on Ceddanne Rafaela over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned -$800 (-8.99% ROI). The hit rate is 9.8% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is Ceddanne Rafaela's home runs average this season?
Ceddanne Rafaela averages 0.1 home runs per game in 2026 across 89 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.
Inside Edge