Inside Edge
Boston Red Sox79.5% HRR O 0.572.7% H O 0.571.4% TB O 0.5
Season
All Ceddanne Rafaela propsProps — 202648 games with closing lines
Strikeouts
48g63.6%Over: 28-16-4
1vs O 0.5-152
@
Royals5/20
Royals5/20✓✓P✗✓✗✓✗✓✓
H: 59.1%(22)A: 57.7%(26)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
50Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Rafaela's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 0%(0-3) | 0%(0-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 75%(6-2) | 0%(0-8) | 0%(0-8) |
| ★★★★★ | 60%(15-10) | 12%(3-22) | 28%(7-18) |
| ★★★★★ | 72.7%(8-3) | 9.1%(1-10) | 45.5%(5-6) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Connor Prielipp
5/22Rafaela is batting just .181 (13-for-72) against left-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to Prielipp over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Michael Wacha
5/20Rafaela has an OPS of just .725 in 611 PA's when hitting on the road over the last year.
★★★★★vs Bailey Falter
5/19Rafaela is batting just .191 (21-for-110) against left-handers with avg flyball rates like Falter over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
37-59-9 Over48g · 105 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/20 | @Royals | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -152 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +407 |
| 5/19 | @Royals | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +302 |
| 5/19 | @Royals | O 0.5 | 2 | W | -189 |
| 5/18 | @Royals | O 0.5 | 0 | P | -143 |
| 5/18 | @Royals | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +428 |
| 5/17 | @ Braves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -208 |
| 5/17 | @Braves | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +1140 |
| 5/17 | @Braves | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +298 |
| 5/16 | @Braves | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -163 |
| 5/16 | @Braves | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +391 |
| 5/15 | @Braves | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +200 |
| 5/15 | @Braves | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +1020 |
| 5/15 | @Braves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -299 |
| 5/14 | vs Phillies | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -319 |
| 5/14 | vsPhillies | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +950 |
| 5/14 | vsPhillies | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +200 |
| 5/13 | vsPhillies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +393 |
| 5/13 | vsPhillies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -150 |
| 5/12 | vsPhillies | O 0.5 | 2 | W | -225 |
| 5/12 | vsPhillies | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +246 |
| 5/12 | vsPhillies | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +1160 |
| 5/10 | vs Rays | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +530 |
| 5/10 | vsRays | O 0.5 | 2 | W | -110 |
| 5/9 | vsRays | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +586 |
| 5/9 | vsRays | O 0.5 | 0 | P | -110 |
| 5/8 | vsRays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +434 |
| 5/8 | vsRays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -120 |
| 5/7 | vsRays | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +300 |
| 5/7 | vsRays | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -185 |
| 5/6 | @ Tigers | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -204 |
| 5/6 | @Tigers | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +299 |
| 5/5 | @Tigers | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -190 |
| 5/5 | @Tigers | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +270 |
| 5/4 | @Tigers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -135 |
| 5/4 | @Tigers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +402 |
| 5/4 | @Tigers | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +750 |
| 5/3 | vs Astros | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -165 |
| 5/3 | vsAstros | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +336 |
| 5/2 | vsAstros | O 0.5 | 2 | W | -150 |
| 5/2 | vsAstros | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +414 |
| 5/1 | vsAstros | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -185 |
| 5/1 | vsAstros | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +326 |
| 4/29 | @ Blue Jays | O 0.5 | 2 | W | -199 |
| 4/29 | @Blue Jays | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +296 |
| 4/29 | @Blue Jays | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +1180 |
| 4/28 | @Blue Jays | O 0.5 | 0 | P | -250 |
| 4/28 | @Blue Jays | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +232 |
| 4/28 | @Blue Jays | O 2.5 | 0 | P | +1240 |
| 4/27 | @Blue Jays | O 0.5 | 2 | W | -361 |
Boston Red Sox Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Ceddanne Rafaela hit the over on strikeouts 0.5?
Ceddanne Rafaela hits the over on strikeouts 0.5 63.6% of the time in 2026, going 28-16-4 with an average actual of 0.8.
Is Ceddanne Rafaela over 0.5 strikeouts a good bet?
Based on 48 games in 2026, betting $100 on Ceddanne Rafaela over 0.5 strikeouts at best closing odds has returned -$34 (-0.71% ROI). The hit rate is 63.6% with an average actual of 0.8.
What is Ceddanne Rafaela's strikeouts average this season?
Ceddanne Rafaela averages 0.8 strikeouts per game in 2026 across 48 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.