Ceddanne Rafaela

Boston Red SoxPosition Player•2026

Reg0.281 / 8 HR / 37 RBI / 90 H / 12 SB / 83G

78% HRR O 0.574.4% H O 0.573.8% TB O 0.5

Season

All Ceddanne Rafaela props

Props — 202689 games with closing lines

Runs Scored

89g

avg 0.5

40.2%Over: 33-49-7

1vs O 0.5+114

White Sox7/7

✓✓✓✗✓✗✓✗✓✗

H: 34.1%(44)A: 40%(45)

SeasonalityAll lines

50%

36%

29%

37%

80%

Mar
2-2

Apr
9-16

May
8-20

Jun
10-17

Jul
4-1

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

2★★★★★

5-Star Games

0(0%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Rafaela's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

Stars	HitsO 0.5	Home RunsO 0.5	RBIsO 0.5
★★★★★	60%(3-2)	0%(0-5)	0%(0-5)
★★★★★	70%(7-3)	0%(0-10)	0%(0-10)
★★★★★	63.3%(31-18)	10.2%(5-44)	28.6%(14-35)
★★★★★	79.2%(19-5)	12.5%(3-21)	41.7%(10-14)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Noah Schultz

7/7

Rafaela is batting just .205 (16-for-78) against left-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to Schultz over the last 2 seasons.

★★★★★vs Ryan Johnson

7/5

Rafaela has a Well-Hit Rate of just 5.9% in 17 AB's over the last 5 days; League Avg: 19.5%.

★★★★★vs Sam Aldegheri

7/4

Rafaela is batting just .200 (5-for-25) against left-handers who rely heavily on the splitter like Aldegheri over the last 2 seasons.

Game Log

Bet

39-210-20 Over89g · 269 props

Date ↓	Opp	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
7/7	@White Sox	O 0.5	1	W	+114
7/7	@White Sox	O 1.5	1	L	+700
7/7	@White Sox	O 3.5	1	L	—
7/7	@White Sox	O 2.5	1	L	+4500
7/5	@Angels	O 0.5	1	W	+105
7/5	@Angels	O 1.5	1	L	+600
7/5	@Angels	O 2.5	1	L	+3500
7/5	@Angels	O 3.5	1	L	—
7/4	@Angels	O 1.5	1	L	+600
7/4	@Angels	O 0.5	1	W	+101
7/4	@Angels	O 2.5	1	L	+3500
7/4	@Angels	O 3.5	1	L	—
7/3	@Angels	O 1.5	0	L	+800
7/3	@Angels	O 0.5	0	L	+141
7/3	@Angels	O 2.5	0	L	+4500
7/3	@Angels	O 3.5	0	L	—
7/1	vsNationals	O 0.5	1	W	-104
7/1	vsNationals	O 1.5	1	L	+550
7/1	vsNationals	O 2.5	1	L	+3000
7/1	vsNationals	O 3.5	1	L	—
6/30	vsNationals	O 1.5	0	L	+550
6/30	vsNationals	O 0.5	0	L	-102
6/30	vsNationals	O 3.5	0	L	—
6/30	vsNationals	O 2.5	0	L	+3000
6/29	vsNationals	O 0.5	1	W	-105
6/29	vsNationals	O 1.5	1	L	+600
6/29	vsNationals	O 2.5	1	L	+4500
6/29	vsNationals	O 3.5	1	L	—
6/28	vsYankees	O 1.5	0	L	+800
6/28	vsYankees	O 0.5	0	L	+126
6/28	vsYankees	O 2.5	0	L	+5500
6/28	vsYankees	O 3.5	0	L	—
6/27	vsYankees	O 0.5	1	W	+124
6/27	vsYankees	O 1.5	1	L	+850
6/27	vsYankees	O 2.5	1	L	+5500
6/27	vsYankees	O 3.5	1	L	—
6/26	vsYankees	O 0.5	0	L	+112
6/26	vsYankees	O 1.5	0	L	+800
6/26	vsYankees	O 2.5	0	L	+5000
6/26	vsYankees	O 3.5	0	L	—
6/25	vsYankees	O 0.5	1	W	+141
6/25	vsYankees	O 1.5	1	L	+1000
6/25	vsYankees	O 2.5	1	L	+6000
6/25	vsYankees	O 3.5	1	L	—
6/24	@Rockies	O 1.5	1	L	+340
6/24	@Rockies	O 0.5	1	W	-151
6/24	@Rockies	O 2.5	1	L	+1700
6/24	@Rockies	O 3.5	1	L	—
6/23	@Rockies	O 1.5	0	L	+350
6/23	@Rockies	O 0.5	0	L	-141

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Ceddanne Rafaela hit the over on runs scored 0.5?

Ceddanne Rafaela hits the over on runs scored 0.5 40.2% of the time in 2026, going 33-49-7 with an average actual of 0.4.

Is Ceddanne Rafaela over 0.5 runs scored a good bet?

Based on 89 games in 2026, betting $100 on Ceddanne Rafaela over 0.5 runs scored at best closing odds has returned -$414 (-4.65% ROI). The hit rate is 40.2% with an average actual of 0.4.

What is Ceddanne Rafaela's runs scored average this season?

Ceddanne Rafaela averages 0.4 runs scored per game in 2026 across 89 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.