Inside Edge
Boston Red Sox72.3% HRR O 0.568.1% H O 0.548.9% 1B O 0.5
Season
Best Performer
Willson Contreras goes over 0.5 strikeouts 76.2% of the time (32-10-2)
Props — 202650 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
4.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
29(58%)
Total Matchups
50Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Contreras's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 53.6%(15-13) | 14.3%(4-24) | 25%(7-21) |
| ★★★★★ | 80%(12-3) | 33.3%(5-10) | 46.7%(7-8) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(5-0) | 40%(2-3) | 40%(2-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Connor Prielipp
5/22Contreras is slugging .582 in his last 64 PA's against left-handers with high strikeout rates like Prielipp over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Michael Wacha
5/20Contreras is batting just .190 (4-21) against Wacha.
★★★★★vs Bailey Falter
5/19Contreras has a wOBA of .405 in his last 55 PA's against left-handers with low strikeout rates like Falter over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
371-1144-94 Over1609 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/20 | @ Royals | Doubles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +350 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Hits | O 0.5 | 3 | W | -200 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +175 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 3.5 | 4 | W | +310 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 4.5 | 4 | L | +550 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 0.5 | 4 | W | -285 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Hits | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +1300 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -115 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Hits | O 1.5 | 3 | W | +260 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Home Runs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +550 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Home Runs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +4500 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | RBIs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +165 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | RBIs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +500 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Singles | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +700 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Total Bases | O 3.5 | 5 | W | +400 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Total Bases | O 4.5 | 5 | W | +800 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Singles | O 0.5 | 2 | W | +110 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Total Bases | O 2.5 | 5 | W | +270 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Total Bases | O 1.5 | 5 | W | +130 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Hits | O 3.5 | 3 | L | +8000 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Runs Scored | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +750 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Runs Scored | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +125 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Stolen Bases | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1300 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Total Bases | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +1220 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Strikeouts | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -227 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Strikeouts | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +259 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Walks | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +770 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Walks | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +124 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | RBIs | O 4.5 | 0 | L | +5000 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | RBIs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +1300 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | RBIs | O 3.5 | 0 | L | +3500 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Total Bases | O 0.5 | 5 | W | -200 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Runs Scored | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +4500 |
| 5/19 | @Royals | Doubles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +346 |
| 5/19 | @Royals | Hits | O 0.5 | 2 | W | -195 |
| 5/19 | @Royals | Hits | O 3.5 | 2 | L | +10000 |
| 5/19 | @Royals | Hits | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +1800 |
| 5/19 | @Royals | Hits | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +290 |
| 5/19 | @Royals | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 1.5 | 5 | W | -115 |
| 5/19 | @Royals | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 4.5 | 5 | W | +550 |
| 5/19 | @Royals | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 3.5 | 5 | W | +320 |
| 5/19 | @Royals | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 0.5 | 5 | W | -275 |
| 5/19 | @Royals | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 2.5 | 5 | W | +175 |
| 5/19 | @Royals | Home Runs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5500 |
| 5/19 | @Royals | Home Runs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +550 |
| 5/19 | @Royals | RBIs | O 0.5 | 3 | W | +155 |
| 5/19 | @Royals | Runs Scored | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +120 |
| 5/19 | @Royals | RBIs | O 1.5 | 3 | W | +500 |
| 5/19 | @Royals | RBIs | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +1500 |
| 5/19 | @Royals | Singles | O 0.5 | 2 | W | +120 |
Boston Red Sox Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Willson Contreras hit the over on hits 0.5?
Willson Contreras hits the over on hits 0.5 68.1% of the time in 2026, going 32-15-3 with an average actual of 0.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$293.
How often does Willson Contreras hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Willson Contreras hits the over on home runs 0.5 23.4% of the time in 2026, going 11-36-3 with an average actual of 0.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$2,180.
How often does Willson Contreras hit the over on rbis 0.5?
Willson Contreras hits the over on rbis 0.5 34% of the time in 2026, going 16-31-3 with an average actual of 0.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$342.
How often does Willson Contreras hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Willson Contreras hits the over on runs scored 0.5 44.7% of the time in 2026, going 21-26-3 with an average actual of 0.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$88.
How often does Willson Contreras hit the over on total bases 1.5?
Willson Contreras hits the over on total bases 1.5 39.1% of the time in 2026, going 18-28-3 with an average actual of 1.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$254.
What are Willson Contreras's best prop bets in 2026?
Willson Contreras's highest-hitting props in 2026: Hits+Runs+RBIs O 0.5 at 72.3% (34-13); Hits O 0.5 at 68.1% (32-15); Singles O 0.5 at 48.9% (23-24).