Willson Contreras

Boston Red Sox•2026

.285AVG26HR78RBI65R117H3SB118G

73.5% SO O 0.566.9% H O 0.551.7% HRR O 1.5

Season

Best Performer

Willson Contreras goes over 0.5 strikeouts 73.5% of the time (83-30-11)

Props — 2026130 games with closing lines

Hits

130g

avg 0.7

66.9%Over: 79-39-12

0vs O 0.5-249

Giants8/23

✗✓✓✓✓✓P✗✓✓

H: 66.7%(66)A: 53.2%(62)

Home Runs

130g

avg 0.1

22%Over: 26-92-12

0vs O 0.5+390

Giants8/23

✗✗✓✗✗✓P✗✗✗

H: 18.2%(66)A: 21%(62)

RBIs

130g

avg 0.4

37.3%Over: 44-74-12

0vs O 0.5+134

Giants8/23

✗✗✓✓✓✓P✗✗✓

H: 33.3%(66)A: 33.9%(62)

Runs Scored

130g

avg 0.5

49.2%Over: 58-60-12

0vs O 0.5-110

Giants8/23

✗✗✓✓✓✓P✗✗✗

H: 48.5%(66)A: 38.7%(62)

Total Bases

130g

avg 1.2

45.8%Over: 54-64-12

0vs O 1.5+112

Giants8/23

✗✗✓✓✓✓P✗✗✓

H: 41.5%(65)A: 38.7%(62)

Strikeouts

130g

avg 1

70.3%Over: 83-35-12

1vs O 0.5-192

Giants8/23

✓✓✗✓✓✗P✓✓✓

H: 65.1%(63)A: 69.5%(59)

Doubles

130g

avg 0.1

16.9%Over: 20-98-12

0vs O 0.5+364

Giants8/23

✗✗✗✗✓✓P✗✗✓

H: 16.7%(66)A: 12.9%(62)

Hits+Runs+RBIs

130g

avg 1.5

51.7%Over: 61-57-12

0vs O 1.5-146

Giants8/23

✗✗✓✓✓✓P✗✗✓

H: 48.5%(66)A: 43.5%(62)

Singles

130g

avg 0.4

46.6%Over: 55-63-12

0vs O 0.5-110

Giants8/23

✗✓✗✓✓✗P✗✓✗

H: 51.5%(66)A: 33.9%(62)

Stolen Bases

128g

avg 0

2.5%Over: 3-115-10

0vs O 0.5+1400

Giants8/23

✗✗✗✗✗✗P✗✗✗

H: 4.6%(65)A: 0%(61)

Walks

127g

avg 0.6

41%Over: 48-69-10

0vs O 0.5+127

Giants8/23

✗✗✓✗✓✓P✓✓✗

H: 39.1%(64)A: 37.7%(61)

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

4.2★★★★★

5-Star Games

63(50%)

Total Matchups

127

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Contreras's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

Stars	HitsO 0.5	Home RunsO 0.5	RBIsO 0.5
★★★★★	55.6%(35-28)	15.9%(10-53)	28.6%(18-45)
★★★★★	67.6%(25-12)	24.3%(9-28)	37.8%(14-23)
★★★★★	71.4%(10-4)	21.4%(3-11)	50%(7-7)
★★★★★	70%(7-3)	30%(3-7)	40%(4-6)
★★★★★	33.3%(1-2)	0%(0-3)	0%(0-3)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Matt Wilkinson

8/23

Matchup data is limited but favors Contreras.

★★★★★vs Blade Tidwell

8/22

Contreras is slugging .676 in his last 80 PA's against right-handers who rely heavily on the cutter like Tidwell over the last 2 seasons.

★★★★★vs Logan Webb

8/21

Matchup data is limited but favors Contreras.

Game Log

Bet

1003-3181-428 Over4612 props

Date ↓	Opp	Market	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
8/23	vsGiants	Doubles	O 0.5	0	L	+364
8/23	vsGiants	Hits	O 0.5	0	L	-249
8/23	vsGiants	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 1.5	0	L	-146
8/23	vsGiants	Hits	O 1.5	0	L	+223
8/23	vsGiants	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 0.5	0	L	-361
8/23	vsGiants	Home Runs	O 1.5	0	L	+5000
8/23	vsGiants	Home Runs	O 0.5	0	L	+390
8/23	vsGiants	RBIs	O 0.5	0	L	+134
8/23	vsGiants	RBIs	O 1.5	0	L	+380
8/23	vsGiants	Runs Scored	O 0.5	0	L	-110
8/23	vsGiants	Runs Scored	O 1.5	0	L	+564
8/23	vsGiants	Singles	O 0.5	0	L	-110
8/23	vsGiants	Total Bases	O 4.5	0	L	+610
8/23	vsGiants	Total Bases	O 2.5	0	L	+211
8/23	vsGiants	Total Bases	O 1.5	0	L	+112
8/23	vsGiants	Total Bases	O 3.5	0	L	+296
8/23	vsGiants	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 6.5	0	L	—
8/23	vsGiants	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 3.5	0	L	+248
8/23	vsGiants	Hits	O 2.5	0	L	+1080
8/23	vsGiants	RBIs	O 2.5	0	L	+1000
8/23	vsGiants	Strikeouts	O 2.5	1	L	—
8/23	vsGiants	Strikeouts	O 1.5	1	L	+306
8/23	vsGiants	Stolen Bases	O 0.5	0	L	+1400
8/23	vsGiants	Total Bases	O 0.5	0	L	-275
8/23	vsGiants	Walks	O 0.5	0	L	+127
8/23	vsGiants	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 2.5	0	L	+135
8/23	vsGiants	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 4.5	0	L	+445
8/23	vsGiants	Hits	O 3.5	0	L	+6000
8/23	vsGiants	Singles	O 1.5	0	L	+545
8/23	vsGiants	Total Bases	O 5.5	0	L	+1160
8/23	vsGiants	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 5.5	0	L	—
8/23	vsGiants	RBIs	O 3.5	0	L	+2500
8/23	vsGiants	Total Bases	O 6.5	0	L	—
8/23	vsGiants	Strikeouts	O 0.5	1	W	-192
8/23	vsGiants	Runs Scored	O 2.5	0	L	+3000
8/23	vsGiants	Walks	O 1.5	0	L	+830
8/23	vsGiants	Home Runs	O 2.5	0	L	—
8/23	vsGiants	RBIs	O 4.5	0	L	+4000
8/23	vsGiants	Stolen Bases	O 1.5	0	L	+12500
8/23	vsGiants	Doubles	O 1.5	0	L	—
8/22	vsGiants	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 6.5	1	L	—
8/22	vsGiants	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 2.5	1	L	+155
8/22	vsGiants	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 5.5	1	L	—
8/22	vsGiants	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 0.5	1	W	-310
8/22	vsGiants	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 4.5	1	L	+512
8/22	vsGiants	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 1.5	1	L	-129
8/22	vsGiants	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 3.5	1	L	+286
8/22	vsGiants	Singles	O 0.5	1	W	+105
8/22	vsGiants	Walks	O 0.5	0	L	+134
8/22	vsGiants	Hits	O 0.5	1	W	-195

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Willson Contreras hit the over on hits 0.5?

Willson Contreras hits the over on hits 0.5 66.9% of the time in 2026, going 79-39-12 with an average actual of 0.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$99.

How often does Willson Contreras hit the over on home runs 0.5?

Willson Contreras hits the over on home runs 0.5 22% of the time in 2026, going 26-92-12 with an average actual of 0.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$2,640.

How often does Willson Contreras hit the over on rbis 0.5?

Willson Contreras hits the over on rbis 0.5 37.3% of the time in 2026, going 44-74-12 with an average actual of 0.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$627.

How often does Willson Contreras hit the over on runs scored 0.5?

Willson Contreras hits the over on runs scored 0.5 49.2% of the time in 2026, going 58-60-12 with an average actual of 0.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$467.

How often does Willson Contreras hit the over on total bases 1.5?

Willson Contreras hits the over on total bases 1.5 45.3% of the time in 2026, going 53-64-12 with an average actual of 1.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$337.

What are Willson Contreras's best prop bets in 2026?

Willson Contreras's highest-hitting props in 2026: Strikeouts O 0.5 at 73.5% (83-30); Hits O 0.5 at 66.9% (79-39); Hits+Runs+RBIs O 1.5 at 51.7% (61-57).

Stars

HitsO 0.5

Home RunsO 0.5

RBIsO 0.5

★★★★★

55.6%(35-28)

15.9%(10-53)

28.6%(18-45)

★★★★★

67.6%(25-12)

24.3%(9-28)

37.8%(14-23)

★★★★★

71.4%(10-4)

21.4%(3-11)

50%(7-7)

★★★★★

70%(7-3)

30%(3-7)

40%(4-6)

★★★★★

33.3%(1-2)

0%(0-3)

Date ↓

Opp

Market

Line

Actual

Result

Odds