Inside Edge
Boston Red Sox72.3% HRR O 0.568.1% H O 0.548.9% 1B O 0.5
Season
All Willson Contreras propsProps — 202650 games with closing lines
Home Runs
50g23.4%Over: 11-36-3
0vs O 0.5+550
@
Royals5/20
Royals5/20✗✗✓✗✓✗✗✗P✗
H: 13%(23)A: 29.6%(27)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
4.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
29(58%)
Total Matchups
50Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Contreras's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 53.6%(15-13) | 14.3%(4-24) | 25%(7-21) |
| ★★★★★ | 80%(12-3) | 33.3%(5-10) | 46.7%(7-8) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(5-0) | 40%(2-3) | 40%(2-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Connor Prielipp
5/22Contreras is slugging .582 in his last 64 PA's against left-handers with high strikeout rates like Prielipp over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Michael Wacha
5/20Contreras is batting just .190 (4-21) against Wacha.
★★★★★vs Bailey Falter
5/19Contreras has a wOBA of .405 in his last 55 PA's against left-handers with low strikeout rates like Falter over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
11-91-7 Over50g · 109 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/20 | @Royals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +550 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +4500 |
| 5/19 | @Royals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5500 |
| 5/19 | @Royals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +550 |
| 5/18 | @Royals | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +3900 |
| 5/18 | @Royals | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +374 |
| 5/17 | @ Braves | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 5/17 | @Braves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +630 |
| 5/16 | @Braves | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +6100 |
| 5/16 | @Braves | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +543 |
| 5/16 | @Braves | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +40000 |
| 5/15 | @Braves | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6200 |
| 5/15 | @Braves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +531 |
| 5/14 | vs Phillies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6000 |
| 5/14 | vsPhillies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +550 |
| 5/13 | vsPhillies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5500 |
| 5/13 | vsPhillies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +490 |
| 5/12 | vsPhillies | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +4000 |
| 5/12 | vsPhillies | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +525 |
| 5/10 | vs Rays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +413 |
| 5/10 | vsRays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +4400 |
| 5/9 | vsRays | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +6000 |
| 5/9 | vsRays | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +490 |
| 5/8 | vsRays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5000 |
| 5/8 | vsRays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +435 |
| 5/7 | vsRays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +454 |
| 5/7 | vsRays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5500 |
| 5/6 | @ Tigers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +440 |
| 5/6 | @Tigers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5500 |
| 5/5 | @Tigers | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +500 |
| 5/5 | @Tigers | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +6000 |
| 5/4 | @Tigers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +450 |
| 5/4 | @Tigers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +4000 |
| 5/3 | vs Astros | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +450 |
| 5/3 | vsAstros | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5000 |
| 5/3 | vsAstros | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/2 | vsAstros | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +4500 |
| 5/2 | vsAstros | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +425 |
| 5/1 | vsAstros | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +455 |
| 5/1 | vsAstros | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5000 |
| 4/29 | @ Blue Jays | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +360 |
| 4/29 | @Blue Jays | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +3500 |
| 4/28 | @Blue Jays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +425 |
| 4/28 | @Blue Jays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +4400 |
| 4/27 | @Blue Jays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +492 |
| 4/27 | @Blue Jays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6000 |
| 4/26 | @ Orioles | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +680 |
| 4/26 | @Orioles | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +8000 |
| 4/25 | @Orioles | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +450 |
| 4/25 | @Orioles | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +4500 |
Boston Red Sox Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Willson Contreras hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Willson Contreras hits the over on home runs 0.5 23.4% of the time in 2026, going 11-36-3 with an average actual of 0.2.
Is Willson Contreras over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 50 games in 2026, betting $100 on Willson Contreras over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned +$2,180 (+43.6% ROI). The hit rate is 23.4% with an average actual of 0.2.
What is Willson Contreras's home runs average this season?
Willson Contreras averages 0.2 home runs per game in 2026 across 50 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.