Boston Red Sox76.7% HRR O 0.569.8% H O 0.550% R O 0.5
Season
All Willson Contreras propsProps — 202691 games with closing lines
Home Runs
91g23.3%Over: 20-66-5
0vs O 0.5+342
@
White Sox7/7
White Sox7/7✗✓✓✗✗✗✓✗✗✓
H: 20%(45)A: 23.9%(46)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
4.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
44(49%)
Total Matchups
90Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Contreras's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 59.1%(26-18) | 18.2%(8-36) | 31.8%(14-30) |
| ★★★★★ | 75%(21-7) | 25%(7-21) | 42.9%(12-16) |
| ★★★★★ | 83.3%(5-1) | 33.3%(2-4) | 33.3%(2-4) |
| ★★★★★ | 77.8%(7-2) | 33.3%(3-6) | 44.4%(4-5) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(1-2) | 0%(0-3) | 0%(0-3) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Noah Schultz
7/7Contreras is slugging .805 in his last 46 PA's against hard-throwing left-handed pitchers like Schultz over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Ryan Johnson
7/5Contreras is slugging .661 in his last 63 PA's against right-handers who rely heavily on the splitter like Johnson over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Sam Aldegheri
7/4Contreras is slugging .638 in his last 70 PA's against left-handers with low strikeout rates like Aldegheri over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
21-180-11 Over91g · 212 props
Boston Red Sox Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Willson Contreras hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Willson Contreras hits the over on home runs 0.5 23.3% of the time in 2026, going 20-66-5 with an average actual of 0.2.
Is Willson Contreras over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 91 games in 2026, betting $100 on Willson Contreras over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned +$2,809 (+30.87% ROI). The hit rate is 23.3% with an average actual of 0.2.
What is Willson Contreras's home runs average this season?
Willson Contreras averages 0.2 home runs per game in 2026 across 91 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.
Inside Edge