Inside Edge
Boston Red Sox72.3% HRR O 0.568.1% H O 0.548.9% 1B O 0.5
Season
All Willson Contreras propsProps — 202650 games with closing lines
Strikeouts
50g25.5%Over: 12-35-3
0vs O 1.5+259
@
Royals5/20
Royals5/20✗✗✗✗✗✓✗✗P✗
H: 13%(23)A: 33.3%(27)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
4.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
29(58%)
Total Matchups
50Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Contreras's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 53.6%(15-13) | 14.3%(4-24) | 25%(7-21) |
| ★★★★★ | 80%(12-3) | 33.3%(5-10) | 46.7%(7-8) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(5-0) | 40%(2-3) | 40%(2-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Connor Prielipp
5/22Contreras is slugging .582 in his last 64 PA's against left-handers with high strikeout rates like Prielipp over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Michael Wacha
5/20Contreras is batting just .190 (4-21) against Wacha.
★★★★★vs Bailey Falter
5/19Contreras has a wOBA of .405 in his last 55 PA's against left-handers with low strikeout rates like Falter over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
47-84-7 Over50g · 138 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/20 | @Royals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -227 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +259 |
| 5/19 | @Royals | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +1100 |
| 5/19 | @Royals | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +224 |
| 5/19 | @Royals | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -256 |
| 5/18 | @Royals | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +1060 |
| 5/18 | @Royals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +210 |
| 5/18 | @Royals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -272 |
| 5/17 | @ Braves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -430 |
| 5/17 | @Braves | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +670 |
| 5/17 | @Braves | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +141 |
| 5/16 | @Braves | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +156 |
| 5/16 | @Braves | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -382 |
| 5/16 | @Braves | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +750 |
| 5/15 | @Braves | O 0.5 | 2 | W | -485 |
| 5/15 | @Braves | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +576 |
| 5/15 | @Braves | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +123 |
| 5/14 | vs Phillies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -431 |
| 5/14 | vsPhillies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +142 |
| 5/14 | vsPhillies | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +700 |
| 5/13 | vsPhillies | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +212 |
| 5/13 | vsPhillies | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -235 |
| 5/13 | vsPhillies | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +1080 |
| 5/12 | vsPhillies | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +115 |
| 5/10 | vs Rays | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +1240 |
| 5/10 | vsRays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +251 |
| 5/10 | vsRays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -225 |
| 5/9 | vsRays | O 2.5 | 0 | P | +1200 |
| 5/9 | vsRays | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +263 |
| 5/9 | vsRays | O 0.5 | 0 | P | -225 |
| 5/8 | vsRays | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +940 |
| 5/8 | vsRays | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +246 |
| 5/8 | vsRays | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -225 |
| 5/7 | vsRays | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +155 |
| 5/7 | vsRays | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +670 |
| 5/7 | vsRays | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -443 |
| 5/6 | @ Tigers | O 0.5 | 3 | W | -368 |
| 5/6 | @Tigers | O 1.5 | 3 | W | +155 |
| 5/6 | @Tigers | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +750 |
| 5/5 | @Tigers | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -286 |
| 5/5 | @Tigers | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +201 |
| 5/5 | @Tigers | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +970 |
| 5/4 | @Tigers | O 0.5 | 2 | W | -190 |
| 5/4 | @Tigers | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +250 |
| 5/4 | @Tigers | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +1220 |
| 5/3 | vs Astros | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -492 |
| 5/3 | vsAstros | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +155 |
| 5/3 | vsAstros | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +579 |
| 5/2 | vsAstros | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -355 |
| 5/2 | vsAstros | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +166 |
Boston Red Sox Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Willson Contreras hit the over on strikeouts 1.5?
Willson Contreras hits the over on strikeouts 1.5 25.5% of the time in 2026, going 12-35-3 with an average actual of 1.
Is Willson Contreras over 1.5 strikeouts a good bet?
Based on 50 games in 2026, betting $100 on Willson Contreras over 1.5 strikeouts at best closing odds has returned -$1,131 (-22.62% ROI). The hit rate is 25.5% with an average actual of 1.
What is Willson Contreras's strikeouts average this season?
Willson Contreras averages 1 strikeouts per game in 2026 across 50 games. The primary line is set at 1.5.