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Players/MLB/Boston Red Sox/Payton Tolle/Outs Recorded
Payton Tolle

Payton Tolle

Boston Red Sox•Pitcher•2026
3.28ERA134K117.9IP10.2K/921G
3.28ERA134K117.9IP10.2K/921G
60% ER O 1.558.3% OUT O 17.552.4% BBA O 1.5
Season
All Payton Tolle props

Props — 202622 games with closing lines

Outs Recorded

21g
avg 17.1
61.9%Over: 13-8
15vs O 17.5-108
vsDiamondbacks8/19
✗✓✓✓✗✓✗✓✗✓
H: 40%(5)A: 71.4%(7)
SeasonalityAll lines
75%
25%
75%
Jun
3-1
Jul
1-3
Aug
3-1
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
3.2★★★★★
5-Star Games
3(14%)
Total Matchups
21
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Tolle's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsPitcher KsO 6.5Earned RunsO 1.5Hits AllowedO 4.5Walks AllowedO 1.5Outs RecordedO 17.5
★★★★★33.3%(1-2)100%(2-0)66.7%(2-1)66.7%(2-1)50%(1-1)
★★★★★50%(4-4)60%(3-2)83.3%(5-1)75%(6-2)60%(3-2)
★★★★★33.3%(1-2)33.3%(1-2)0%(0-3)66.7%(2-1)100%(1-0)
★★★★★25%(1-3)66.7%(2-1)25%(1-3)0%(0-4)100%(2-0)
★★★★★66.7%(2-1)50%(1-1)0%(0-2)33.3%(1-2)0%(0-2)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Brandon Pfaadt
8/19

Diamondbacks hitters have a 2.5 star average matchup against Tolle.

★★★★★vs Max Scherzer
8/13

Left-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Tolle have an ERA of 4.45 against the Blue Jays since last year.

★★★★★vs Jack Perkins
8/7

Current Athletics hitters have an OPS of .654 against hard-throwing left-handed pitchers like Tolle over the last two years.

Game Log

Bet
$
31-24 Over21g · 55 props
Date ↓OppLineActualResultOdds
8/19vsDiamondbacksO 17.515L-108
8/19vsDiamondbacksO 16.515L—
8/19vsDiamondbacksO 20.515L—
8/19vsDiamondbacksO 14.515W—
8/19vsDiamondbacksO 1715L—
8/13@Blue JaysO 17.524W+104
8/13@Blue JaysO 14.524W—
8/13@Blue JaysO 20.524W—
8/13@Blue JaysO 16.524W—
8/7vsAthleticsO 17.518W-172
8/7vsAthleticsO 14.518W—
8/7vsAthleticsO 20.518L—
8/7vsAthleticsO 23.518L—
8/1@DodgersO 16.518W-125
8/1@DodgersO 17.518W—
8/1@DodgersO 1718W—
8/1@DodgersO 20.518L—
8/1@DodgersO 14.518W—
7/27@AthleticsO 17.516L—
7/27@AthleticsO 20.516L—
7/27@AthleticsO 14.516W—
7/27@AthleticsO 16.516L-118
7/20vsOriolesO 15.517W-110
7/12@MetsO 17.511L-115
7/12@MetsO 16.511L—
7/12@MetsO 18.511L—
7/12@MetsO 15.511L—
7/7@White SoxO 16.518W-129
7/7@White SoxO 17.518W-105
7/1vsNationalsO 17.59L-108
7/1vsNationalsO 16.59L—
6/26vsYankeesO 16.521W-104
6/26vsYankeesO 17.521W-105
6/26vsYankeesO 15.521W—
6/21@MarinersO 17.518W-115
6/21@MarinersO 16.518W-122
6/16vsBlue JaysO 17.515L-106
6/16vsBlue JaysO 16.515L-137
6/9@RaysO 17.518W+102
6/9@RaysO 16.518W-135
6/3vsOriolesO 15.518W-135
6/3vsOriolesO 16.518W-102
5/28vsBravesO 16.514L-110
5/28vsBravesO 15.514L-122
5/28vsBravesO 14.514L-172
5/22vsTwinsO 15.518W-155
5/22vsTwinsO 16.518W-130
5/16@BravesO 15.524W+102
5/10vsRaysO 16.515L-103
5/10vsRaysO 15.515L-128

Boston Red Sox Teammates

View all
Wilyer AbreuWillson ContrerasCeddanne RafaelaJarren DuranCaleb DurbinAdley RutschmanMasataka YoshidaAndruw MonasterioCurtis MeadConnor WongMarcelo MayerAnthony SeiglerEli WhiteJake RogersTrevor Story

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Payton Tolle hit the over on outs recorded 17.5?
Payton Tolle hits the over on outs recorded 17.5 58.3% of the time in 2026, going 7-5 with an average actual of 16.8.
Is Payton Tolle over 17.5 outs recorded a good bet?
Based on 21 games in 2026, betting $100 on Payton Tolle over 17.5 outs recorded at best closing odds has returned +$437 (+20.81% ROI). The hit rate is 58.3% with an average actual of 16.8.
What is Payton Tolle's outs recorded average this season?
Payton Tolle averages 16.8 outs recorded per game in 2026 across 21 games. The primary line is set at 17.5.

Payton Tolle 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.22 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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