Pavin Smith

Pavin Smith

.141AVG1HR6RBI5R11H1SB28G
52.2% SO O 0.537.5% HRR O 0.534.8% TB O 0.5
Season
Best Performer

Pavin Smith goes over 0.5 strikeouts 52.2% of the time (12-11-7)

Props — 202632 games with closing lines

Hits

32g
avg 0.3
33.3%Over: 8-16-8
0vs O 0.5
@Cardinals7/23
PPPP
H: 46.2%(13)A: 10.5%(19)
avg 0
4.2%Over: 1-23-8
0vs O 0.5
@Cardinals7/23
PPPP
H: 7.7%(13)A: 0%(19)

RBIs

32g
avg 0.1
20.8%Over: 5-19-8
0vs O 0.5
@Cardinals7/23
PPPP
H: 30.8%(13)A: 5.3%(19)
avg 0.1
16.7%Over: 4-20-8
0vs O 0.5
@Cardinals7/23
PPPP
H: 23.1%(13)A: 5.3%(19)
avg 0.4
33.3%Over: 8-16-8
0vs O 0.5
@Cardinals7/23
PPPP
H: 50%(12)A: 11.1%(18)
avg 0
4.2%Over: 1-23-8
0vs O 0.5
@Cardinals7/23
PPPP
H: 0%(13)A: 5.3%(19)
avg 0.5
37.5%Over: 9-15-8
0vs O 1.5
@Cardinals7/23
PPPP
H: 46.2%(13)A: 16.7%(18)
avg 0.2
29.2%Over: 7-17-8
0vs O 0.5
@Cardinals7/23
PPPP
H: 46.2%(13)A: 5.3%(19)
avg 0
4.2%Over: 1-23-7
0vs O 0.5
@Cardinals7/23
PPP
H: 7.7%(13)A: 0%(18)
avg 0.2
26.1%Over: 6-17-8
0vs O 0.5
@Cardinals7/23
PPPP
H: 16.7%(12)A: 21.1%(19)
avg 0.6
52.2%Over: 12-11-7
0vs O 0.5
@Cardinals7/23
PPP
H: 50%(12)A: 33.3%(18)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
2.4
5-Star Games
2(5%)
Total Matchups
39
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Smith's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

StarsHitsO 0.5Home RunsO 0.5RBIsO 0.5
0%(0-1)0%(0-1)0%(0-1)
33.3%(1-2)0%(0-3)33.3%(1-2)
33.3%(3-6)0%(0-9)11.1%(1-8)
25%(2-6)0%(0-8)12.5%(1-7)
22.2%(2-7)11.1%(1-8)22.2%(2-7)

Recent Scouting Notes

vs Kyle Hurt
7/10

Smith is batting just .153 (13-for-85) against right-handers with high strikeout rates over the last 2 seasons.

vs Griffin Canning
7/9

Smith is batting just .083 over the last 5 days.

vs Michael King
7/8

Smith is slugging .597 against right-handers who rely heavily on the slider like King over the last two years but King has allowed a batting avg of just of .198 (54-for-273) against bottom-tier hitters like Smith over the last two years.

Game Log

Bet
$
88-751-263 Over1102 props
DateOppMarketLineActualResultOdds
7/23@CardinalsHitsO 0.50P
7/23@CardinalsHitsO 1.50P
7/23@CardinalsHitsO 2.50P
7/23@CardinalsRBIsO 2.50P
7/23@CardinalsRBIsO 1.50P
7/23@CardinalsRBIsO 0.50P
7/23@CardinalsTotal BasesO 0.50P
7/23@CardinalsHome RunsO 0.50P
7/23@CardinalsTotal BasesO 1.50P
7/23@CardinalsTotal BasesO 2.50P
7/23@CardinalsDoublesO 0.50P
7/23@CardinalsDoublesO 1.50P
7/23@CardinalsHits+Runs+RBIsO 1.50P
7/23@CardinalsHome RunsO 1.50P
7/23@CardinalsStolen BasesO 0.50P
7/23@CardinalsSinglesO 1.50P
7/23@CardinalsRuns ScoredO 1.50P
7/23@CardinalsRuns ScoredO 0.50P
7/23@CardinalsSinglesO 0.50P
7/23@CardinalsStrikeoutsO 1.50P
7/23@CardinalsStrikeoutsO 0.50P
7/23@CardinalsWalksO 0.50P
7/10@DodgersDoublesO 0.50P
7/10@DodgersHitsO 1.50P+586
7/10@DodgersHitsO 0.50P
7/10@DodgersHits+Runs+RBIsO 1.50P+201
7/10@DodgersHits+Runs+RBIsO 0.50P
7/10@DodgersHome RunsO 0.50P
7/10@DodgersRBIsO 0.50P
7/10@DodgersHome RunsO 1.50P+10000
7/10@DodgersRuns ScoredO 1.50P
7/10@DodgersRBIsO 1.50P+1100
7/10@DodgersRuns ScoredO 0.50P
7/10@DodgersTotal BasesO 4.50P
7/10@DodgersSinglesO 0.50P
7/10@DodgersTotal BasesO 3.50P+770
7/10@DodgersTotal BasesO 1.50P+264
7/10@DodgersTotal BasesO 2.50P+560
7/10@DodgersHitsO 2.50P+3400
7/10@DodgersRBIsO 2.50P
7/10@DodgersTotal BasesO 0.50P
7/10@DodgersTotal BasesO 5.50P
7/10@DodgersHits+Runs+RBIsO 4.50P
7/10@DodgersHits+Runs+RBIsO 3.50P+830
7/10@DodgersHits+Runs+RBIsO 2.50P+403
7/10@DodgersWalksO 0.50P
7/10@DodgersHome RunsO 2.50P
7/10@DodgersSinglesO 1.50P+1100
7/10@DodgersRBIsO 3.50P
7/10@DodgersRuns ScoredO 3.50P

Arizona Diamondbacks Teammates

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Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Pavin Smith hit the over on hits 0.5?
Pavin Smith hits the over on hits 0.5 33.3% of the time in 2026, going 8-16-8 with an average actual of 0.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$969.
How often does Pavin Smith hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Pavin Smith hits the over on home runs 0.5 4.2% of the time in 2026, going 1-23-8 with an average actual of 0. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,320.
How often does Pavin Smith hit the over on rbis 0.5?
Pavin Smith hits the over on rbis 0.5 20.8% of the time in 2026, going 5-19-8 with an average actual of 0.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$744.
How often does Pavin Smith hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Pavin Smith hits the over on runs scored 0.5 16.7% of the time in 2026, going 4-20-8 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,365.
How often does Pavin Smith hit the over on total bases 0.5?
Pavin Smith hits the over on total bases 0.5 34.8% of the time in 2026, going 8-15-7 with an average actual of 0.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$889.
What are Pavin Smith's best prop bets in 2026?
Pavin Smith's highest-hitting props in 2026: Strikeouts O 0.5 at 52.2% (12-11); Hits+Runs+RBIs O 0.5 at 37.5% (9-15); Total Bases O 0.5 at 34.8% (8-15).

Pavin Smith 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.32 games analyzed across 11 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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