Arizona Diamondbacks57.1% SO O 0.550% HRR O 0.542.9% BB O 0.5
Season
All Pavin Smith propsProps — 20268 games with closing lines
Runs Scored
8g25%Over: 2-6
0vs O 0.5+172
@
Marlins6/9
Marlins6/9✗✗✓✗✗✗✗✓
H: 20%(5)A: 33.3%(3)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.6★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(10%)
Total Matchups
10Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Smith's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 0%(0-4) | 25%(1-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Max Meyer
6/9Matchup data is limited but favors Meyer.
★★★★★vs Cade Cavalli
6/7Smith has an OPS of .916 against right-handers with high groundball rates over the last two years but has a well hit rate of 10% in his last 10 AB's (League Avg: 20.1%) .
★★★★★vs Zack Littell
6/6Matchup data is limited but favors Smith.
Game Log
Bet
$
2-20 Over8g · 22 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/9 | @Marlins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +172 |
| 6/9 | @Marlins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1200 |
| 6/9 | @Marlins | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +4000 |
| 6/7 | vs Nationals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +149 |
| 6/7 | vsNationals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 6/7 | vsNationals | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 6/6 | vsNationals | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +850 |
| 6/6 | vsNationals | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +120 |
| 6/6 | vsNationals | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +6500 |
| 6/4 | vs Dodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +130 |
| 6/4 | vsDodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +950 |
| 6/3 | vsDodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1400 |
| 6/3 | vsDodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +210 |
| 6/3 | vsDodgers | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +5000 |
| 6/1 | vsDodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +158 |
| 6/1 | vsDodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 6/1 | vsDodgers | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 3/28 | @Dodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +210 |
| 3/28 | @Dodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1500 |
| 3/27 | @Dodgers | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +210 |
| 3/27 | @Dodgers | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +1300 |
| 3/27 | @Dodgers | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +8000 |
Arizona Diamondbacks Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Pavin Smith hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Pavin Smith hits the over on runs scored 0.5 25% of the time in 2026, going 2-6 with an average actual of 0.3.
Is Pavin Smith over 0.5 runs scored a good bet?
Based on 8 games in 2026, betting $100 on Pavin Smith over 0.5 runs scored at best closing odds has returned -$270 (-33.75% ROI). The hit rate is 25% with an average actual of 0.3.
What is Pavin Smith's runs scored average this season?
Pavin Smith averages 0.3 runs scored per game in 2026 across 8 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.
Inside Edge