Season
All Pavin Smith propsProps — 202632 games with closing lines
Strikeouts
30g52.2%Over: 12-11-7
0vs O 0.5
@
Cardinals7/23
Cardinals7/23PP✓✓✓✓P✗✓✗
H: 50%(12)A: 33.3%(18)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.4★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(5%)
Total Matchups
39Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Smith's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(1-2) | 0%(0-3) | 33.3%(1-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(3-6) | 0%(0-9) | 11.1%(1-8) |
| ★★★★★ | 25%(2-6) | 0%(0-8) | 12.5%(1-7) |
| ★★★★★ | 22.2%(2-7) | 11.1%(1-8) | 22.2%(2-7) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Kyle Hurt
7/10Smith is batting just .153 (13-for-85) against right-handers with high strikeout rates over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Griffin Canning
7/9Smith is batting just .083 over the last 5 days.
★★★★★vs Michael King
7/8Smith is slugging .597 against right-handers who rely heavily on the slider like King over the last two years but King has allowed a batting avg of just of .198 (54-for-273) against bottom-tier hitters like Smith over the last two years.
Game Log
Bet
$
18-42-19 Over30g · 79 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/23 | @Cardinals | O 1.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 7/23 | @Cardinals | O 0.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 7/9 | @ Padres | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +236 |
| 7/9 | @Padres | O 0.5 | 0 | P | -257 |
| 7/9 | @Padres | O 2.5 | 0 | P | +1220 |
| 7/8 | @Padres | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -306 |
| 7/8 | @Padres | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +1040 |
| 7/8 | @Padres | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +202 |
| 7/7 | @Padres | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -259 |
| 7/7 | @Padres | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +233 |
| 7/7 | @Padres | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +1240 |
| 7/6 | @Padres | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +196 |
| 7/6 | @Padres | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -308 |
| 7/6 | @Padres | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +990 |
| 7/5 | vs Brewers | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +211 |
| 7/5 | vsBrewers | O 0.5 | 2 | W | -296 |
| 7/5 | vsBrewers | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +1140 |
| 7/4 | vsBrewers | O 1.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 7/4 | vsBrewers | O 0.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 7/4 | vsBrewers | O 2.5 | 0 | P | +1220 |
| 7/1 | vs Giants | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +374 |
| 7/1 | vsGiants | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -168 |
| 6/30 | vsGiants | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +353 |
| 6/30 | vsGiants | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -178 |
| 6/29 | vsGiants | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -197 |
| 6/29 | vsGiants | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +311 |
| 6/28 | @ Rays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -288 |
| 6/28 | @Rays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +210 |
| 6/28 | @Rays | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +1120 |
| 6/27 | @Rays | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +227 |
| 6/27 | @Rays | O 0.5 | 0 | P | -282 |
| 6/27 | @Rays | O 2.5 | 0 | P | +1220 |
| 6/26 | @Rays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -180 |
| 6/26 | @Rays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +343 |
| 6/26 | @Rays | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +1220 |
| 6/25 | @Cardinals | O 0.5 | 0 | P | -209 |
| 6/25 | @Cardinals | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +296 |
| 6/23 | @Cardinals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +210 |
| 6/23 | @Cardinals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -286 |
| 6/23 | @Cardinals | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 6/22 | @Cardinals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +298 |
| 6/22 | @Cardinals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -193 |
| 6/21 | vs Twins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -284 |
| 6/21 | vsTwins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +209 |
| 6/21 | vsTwins | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +1020 |
| 6/20 | vsTwins | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +244 |
| 6/20 | vsTwins | O 0.5 | 2 | W | -242 |
| 6/15 | vs Angels | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +338 |
| 6/15 | vsAngels | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -178 |
| 6/14 | @ Reds | O 2.5 | 0 | P | +960 |
Arizona Diamondbacks Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Pavin Smith hit the over on strikeouts 0.5?
Pavin Smith hits the over on strikeouts 0.5 52.2% of the time in 2026, going 12-11-7 with an average actual of 0.6.
Is Pavin Smith over 0.5 strikeouts a good bet?
Based on 30 games in 2026, betting $100 on Pavin Smith over 0.5 strikeouts at best closing odds has returned -$667 (-22.23% ROI). The hit rate is 52.2% with an average actual of 0.6.
What is Pavin Smith's strikeouts average this season?
Pavin Smith averages 0.6 strikeouts per game in 2026 across 30 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.
Inside Edge