
57.1% SO O 0.550% HRR O 0.542.9% BB O 0.5
Season
All Pavin Smith propsProps — 20268 games with closing lines
Home Runs
8g0%Over: 0-8
0vs O 0.5+820
@
Marlins6/9
✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 0%(5)A: 0%(3)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.6★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(10%)
Total Matchups
10Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Smith's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 0%(0-4) | 25%(1-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Max Meyer
6/9Matchup data is limited but favors Meyer.
★★★★★vs Cade Cavalli
6/7Smith has an OPS of .916 against right-handers with high groundball rates over the last two years but has a well hit rate of 10% in his last 10 AB's (League Avg: 20.1%) .
★★★★★vs Zack Littell
6/6Matchup data is limited but favors Smith.
Game Log
Bet
$
0-16 Over8g · 16 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/9 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 6/9 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +820 |
| 6/7 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +860 |
| 6/7 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 6/6 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 6/6 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +550 |
| 6/4 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +820 |
| 6/4 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +15000 |
| 6/3 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +15000 |
| 6/3 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +980 |
| 6/1 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 6/1 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +760 |
| 3/28 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +650 |
| 3/28 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 3/27 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +600 |
| 3/27 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +7100 |
Arizona Diamondbacks Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Pavin Smith hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Pavin Smith hits the over on home runs 0.5 0% of the time in 2026, going 0-8 with an average actual of 0.
Is Pavin Smith over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 8 games in 2026, betting $100 on Pavin Smith over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned -$800 (-100% ROI). The hit rate is 0% with an average actual of 0.
What is Pavin Smith's home runs average this season?
Pavin Smith averages 0 home runs per game in 2026 across 8 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.

Inside Edge