Inside Edge
Cleveland Guardians90% K O 4.562.5% BBA O 1.550% OUT O 17.5
Season
Best Performer
Parker Messick goes over 3.5 pitcher ks 100% of the time (9-0)
Props — 202610 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(22%)
Total Matchups
9Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Messick's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-2) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 50%(1-1) | 66.7%(2-1) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-2) | — | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Keider Montero
5/19Tigers hitters have a 2.5 star average matchup against Messick.
★★★★★vs Reid Detmers
5/13Pitchers with similar repertoires to Messick have an ERA of 2.11 against the Angels over the last year.
★★★★★vs Connor Prielipp
5/8Current Twins hitters have struck out 24.8% of the time against pitchers similar to Messick over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
Game Log
Bet
$
66-55 Over121 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/19 | @ Tigers | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 6 | L | +290 |
| 5/19 | @Tigers | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 6 | W | -3100 |
| 5/19 | @Tigers | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -325 |
| 5/19 | @Tigers | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 6 | L | +580 |
| 5/19 | @Tigers | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 6 | W | -146 |
| 5/19 | @Tigers | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 6 | L | +148 |
| 5/19 | @Tigers | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 6 | W | -750 |
| 5/19 | @Tigers | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 6 | L | +980 |
| 5/19 | @Tigers | Pitcher Ks | O 10.5 | 6 | L | +1800 |
| 5/19 | @Tigers | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +110 |
| 5/19 | @Tigers | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +123 |
| 5/19 | @Tigers | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -136 |
| 5/19 | @Tigers | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -158 |
| 5/13 | vs Angels | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 20 | W | -132 |
| 5/13 | vsAngels | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 7 | W | -102 |
| 5/13 | vsAngels | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 7 | L | +198 |
| 5/13 | vsAngels | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 7 | W | -1320 |
| 5/13 | vsAngels | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 7 | L | +750 |
| 5/13 | vsAngels | Pitcher Ks | O 10.5 | 7 | L | +1320 |
| 5/13 | vsAngels | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 7 | W | -210 |
| 5/13 | vsAngels | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 7 | L | +400 |
| 5/13 | vsAngels | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -482 |
| 5/13 | vsAngels | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -139 |
| 5/13 | vsAngels | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -107 |
| 5/8 | vs Twins | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 7 | W | -660 |
| 5/8 | vsTwins | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 7 | W | -122 |
| 5/8 | vsTwins | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 7 | W | +174 |
| 5/8 | vsTwins | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 7 | W | -2500 |
| 5/8 | vsTwins | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 17 | W | -105 |
| 5/8 | vsTwins | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -267 |
| 5/8 | vsTwins | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 7 | L | +680 |
| 5/8 | vsTwins | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 7 | L | +350 |
| 5/8 | vsTwins | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 7 | L | +1220 |
| 5/8 | vsTwins | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 7 | W | +119 |
| 5/8 | vsTwins | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -145 |
| 5/3 | @ Athletics | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 15 | L | -106 |
| 5/3 | @Athletics | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +100 |
| 5/3 | @Athletics | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 6 | W | -1960 |
| 5/3 | @Athletics | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 6 | W | -450 |
| 5/3 | @Athletics | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -210 |
| 5/3 | @Athletics | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 6 | L | +195 |
| 5/3 | @Athletics | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 6 | L | +375 |
| 5/3 | @Athletics | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 6 | L | +680 |
| 5/3 | @Athletics | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 6 | L | +1360 |
| 5/3 | @Athletics | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +105 |
| 5/3 | @Athletics | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 6 | W | -105 |
| 5/3 | @Athletics | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -156 |
| 5/3 | @Athletics | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 15 | L | -135 |
| 4/27 | vs Rays | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 17 | L | -125 |
| 4/27 | vsRays | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 9 | W | -110 |
Cleveland Guardians Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Parker Messick hit the over on pitcher ks 4.5?
Parker Messick hits the over on pitcher ks 4.5 90% of the time in 2026, going 9-1 with an average actual of 6.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$463.
How often does Parker Messick hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Parker Messick hits the over on earned runs 2.5 28.6% of the time in 2026, going 2-5 with an average actual of 1.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$272.
How often does Parker Messick hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Parker Messick hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 42.9% of the time in 2026, going 3-4 with an average actual of 4.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$114.
How often does Parker Messick hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Parker Messick hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 62.5% of the time in 2026, going 5-3 with an average actual of 1.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$46.
How often does Parker Messick hit the over on outs recorded 17.5?
Parker Messick hits the over on outs recorded 17.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 3-3 with an average actual of 18.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$24.
What are Parker Messick's best prop bets in 2026?
Parker Messick's highest-hitting props in 2026: Pitcher Ks O 4.5 at 90% (9-1); Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 62.5% (5-3); Outs Recorded O 17.5 at 50% (3-3).