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Players/MLB/Cleveland Guardians/Parker Messick
Parker Messick

Parker Messick

Cleveland Guardians•Pitcher•2026
2.65ERA152K142.7IP9.6K/925G
2.65ERA152K142.7IP9.6K/925G
52.2% BBA O 1.550% HA O 4.547.4% OUT O 17.5
Season
Best Performer

Parker Messick goes over 1.5 walks allowed 52.2% of the time (12-11)

Props — 202625 games with closing lines

Pitcher Ks

25g
avg 6.1
36%Over: 9-16
10vs O 6.5+108
vsGiants8/19
✓✗✓✗✗✗✗✗✗✓
H: 41.7%(12)A: 25%(12)

Earned Runs

25g
avg 1.7
44%Over: 11-14
1vs O 1.5-126
vsGiants8/19
✗✓✓✗✗✗✗✗✓✓
H: 27.3%(11)A: 71.4%(7)

Hits Allowed

24g
avg 4.5
50%Over: 12-12
6vs O 4.5-132
vsGiants8/19
✓✗✗✓✓✗✗✓✓✗
H: 63.6%(11)A: 33.3%(9)

Walks Allowed

23g
avg 1.6
52.2%Over: 12-11
0vs O 1.5+119
vsGiants8/19
✗✓✗✗✗✗✓✓✗✗
H: 54.5%(11)A: 50%(12)

Outs Recorded

22g
avg 18.2
54.5%Over: 12-10
20vs O 17.5-175
vsGiants8/19
✓✗✓✗✓✓✗✓✓✓
H: 40%(10)A: 55.6%(9)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
3.7★★★★★
5-Star Games
8(33%)
Total Matchups
24
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Messick's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsPitcher KsO 6.5Earned RunsO 1.5Hits AllowedO 4.5Walks AllowedO 1.5Outs RecordedO 17.5
★★★★★50%(4-4)62.5%(5-3)62.5%(5-3)42.9%(3-4)62.5%(5-3)
★★★★★25%(2-6)40%(2-3)42.9%(3-4)42.9%(3-4)20%(1-4)
★★★★★50%(1-1)0%(0-1)—100%(2-0)50%(1-1)
★★★★★25%(1-3)33.3%(1-2)33.3%(1-2)75%(3-1)66.7%(2-1)
★★★★★0%(0-2)—100%(1-0)0%(0-2)0%(0-1)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Matt Wilkinson
8/19

Current Giants hitters have struck out 29.1% of the time against top-tier left-handed pitchers like Messick over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).

★★★★★vs Keider Montero
8/13

Left-handed starters have an ERA of 2.72 against the Tigers in the past 30 days, but other matchup data favors the Tigers.

★★★★★vs Noah Schultz
8/7

Current White Sox hitters have struck out 23.3% of the time against top-tier left-handed pitchers like Messick over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).

Game Log

Bet
$
184-180 Over364 props
Date ↓OppMarketLineActualResultOdds
8/19vsGiantsEarned RunsO 1.51L-126
8/19vsGiantsHits AllowedO 4.56W-132
8/19vsGiantsOuts RecordedO 17.520W-175
8/19vsGiantsPitcher KsO 5.510W-212
8/19vsGiantsPitcher KsO 9.510W+820
8/19vsGiantsPitcher KsO 6.510W+108
8/19vsGiantsPitcher KsO 3.510W-1340
8/19vsGiantsPitcher KsO 4.510W-493
8/19vsGiantsPitcher KsO 7.510W+210
8/19vsGiantsPitcher KsO 8.510W+400
8/19vsGiantsPitcher KsO 2.510W—
8/19vsGiantsOuts RecordedO 18.520W—
8/19vsGiantsPitcher KsO 10.510L+1600
8/19vsGiantsHits AllowedO 5.56W—
8/19vsGiantsPitcher KsO 610W—
8/19vsGiantsPitcher KsO 1.510W—
8/19vsGiantsWalks AllowedO 1.50L+119
8/19vsGiantsOuts RecordedO 23.520L—
8/13@TigersOuts RecordedO 17.517L-144
8/13@TigersPitcher KsO 5.56W+106
8/13@TigersEarned RunsO 2.52L+119
8/13@TigersHits AllowedO 5.53L+110
8/13@TigersPitcher KsO 6.56L+218
8/13@TigersPitcher KsO 3.56W-450
8/13@TigersPitcher KsO 7.56L+454
8/13@TigersPitcher KsO 4.56W-200
8/13@TigersPitcher KsO 2.56W-1560
8/13@TigersPitcher KsO 10.56L—
8/13@TigersPitcher KsO 8.56L+950
8/13@TigersPitcher KsO 1.56W—
8/13@TigersPitcher KsO 9.56L—
8/13@TigersOuts RecordedO 20.517L—
8/13@TigersOuts RecordedO 14.517W—
8/13@TigersHits AllowedO 4.53L-160
8/13@TigersWalks AllowedO 1.52W-141
8/13@TigersPitcher KsO 56W—
8/13@TigersOuts RecordedO 23.517L—
8/13@TigersEarned RunsO 1.52W-160
8/7@White SoxOuts RecordedO 17.521W-158
8/7@White SoxWalks AllowedO 1.51L-105
8/7@White SoxPitcher KsO 5.58W-140
8/7@White SoxPitcher KsO 9.58L+1060
8/7@White SoxPitcher KsO 6.58W+140
8/7@White SoxPitcher KsO 3.58W-700
8/7@White SoxEarned RunsO 2.52L+120
8/7@White SoxHits AllowedO 4.54L-144
8/7@White SoxPitcher KsO 2.58W-3700
8/7@White SoxPitcher KsO 4.58W-295
8/7@White SoxPitcher KsO 8.58L+529
8/7@White SoxPitcher KsO 7.58W+263

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Parker Messick hit the over on pitcher ks 6.5?
Parker Messick hits the over on pitcher ks 6.5 33.3% of the time in 2026, going 8-16 with an average actual of 6.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$73.
How often does Parker Messick hit the over on earned runs 1.5?
Parker Messick hits the over on earned runs 1.5 44.4% of the time in 2026, going 8-10 with an average actual of 1.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$462.
How often does Parker Messick hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Parker Messick hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 10-10 with an average actual of 4.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$251.
How often does Parker Messick hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Parker Messick hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 52.2% of the time in 2026, going 12-11 with an average actual of 1.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$239.
How often does Parker Messick hit the over on outs recorded 17.5?
Parker Messick hits the over on outs recorded 17.5 47.4% of the time in 2026, going 9-10 with an average actual of 18.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$291.
What are Parker Messick's best prop bets in 2026?
Parker Messick's highest-hitting props in 2026: Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 52.2% (12-11); Hits Allowed O 4.5 at 50% (10-10); Outs Recorded O 17.5 at 47.4% (9-10).

Parker Messick 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.25 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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