Cleveland Guardians72.2% K O 4.562.5% BBA O 1.557.1% HA O 4.5
Season
Best Performer
Parker Messick goes over 2.5 pitcher ks 100% of the time (16-0)
Props — 202618 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.7★★★★★
5-Star Games
7(41%)
Total Matchups
17Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Messick's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 57.1%(4-3) | 66.7%(2-1) | 57.1%(4-3) | 50%(3-3) | 57.1%(4-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 75%(3-1) | 66.7%(2-1) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-2) | — | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Sean Burke
7/4Left-handed starters have allowed a batting average of .253 against the White Sox over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Tyler Alexander
6/29Left-handed starters have allowed a batting average of .250 against the Rangers over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Sean Burke
6/23Left-handed starters have allowed a batting average of .255 against the White Sox over the last two years.
Game Log
Bet
$
123-116 Over239 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/4 | vs White Sox | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -155 |
| 7/4 | vsWhite Sox | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +124 |
| 7/4 | vsWhite Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 3 | L | -1400 |
| 7/4 | vsWhite Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 3 | L | -220 |
| 7/4 | vsWhite Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -450 |
| 7/4 | vsWhite Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 3 | L | +102 |
| 7/4 | vsWhite Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 3 | L | +400 |
| 7/4 | vsWhite Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 3 | L | +200 |
| 7/4 | vsWhite Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 3 | L | +740 |
| 7/4 | vsWhite Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 3 | W | — |
| 7/4 | vsWhite Sox | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -106 |
| 7/4 | vsWhite Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 3 | W | — |
| 7/4 | vsWhite Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 10.5 | 3 | L | +1380 |
| 7/4 | vsWhite Sox | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 15 | L | -172 |
| 7/4 | vsWhite Sox | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 5 | W | — |
| 6/29 | vs Rangers | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +130 |
| 6/29 | vsRangers | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 8 | W | — |
| 6/29 | vsRangers | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 20 | W | -164 |
| 6/29 | vsRangers | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 5 | L | +224 |
| 6/29 | vsRangers | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 5 | W | -1220 |
| 6/29 | vsRangers | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 5 | W | — |
| 6/29 | vsRangers | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 5 | L | +111 |
| 6/29 | vsRangers | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -400 |
| 6/29 | vsRangers | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 5 | L | -190 |
| 6/29 | vsRangers | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 5 | W | — |
| 6/29 | vsRangers | Pitcher Ks | O 10.5 | 5 | L | — |
| 6/29 | vsRangers | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 5 | L | +474 |
| 6/29 | vsRangers | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 5 | L | +970 |
| 6/29 | vsRangers | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -168 |
| 6/29 | vsRangers | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 8 | W | +120 |
| 6/29 | vsRangers | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -125 |
| 6/23 | @White Sox | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 23 | W | -125 |
| 6/23 | @White Sox | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -154 |
| 6/23 | @White Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 10 | W | -120 |
| 6/23 | @White Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 10 | W | -2900 |
| 6/23 | @White Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 10 | W | -625 |
| 6/23 | @White Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 10 | W | +370 |
| 6/23 | @White Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 10 | W | +182 |
| 6/23 | @White Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 10 | W | -275 |
| 6/23 | @White Sox | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -120 |
| 6/23 | @White Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 10 | W | +750 |
| 6/23 | @White Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 10 | W | — |
| 6/23 | @White Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 10 | W | +1480 |
| 6/23 | @White Sox | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 23 | W | -102 |
| 6/23 | @White Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 10.5 | 10 | L | — |
| 6/23 | @White Sox | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -136 |
| 6/18 | @ Brewers | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 9 | W | -1800 |
| 6/18 | @Brewers | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 9 | W | +120 |
| 6/18 | @Brewers | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 9 | W | +550 |
| 6/18 | @Brewers | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 9 | W | -175 |
Cleveland Guardians Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Parker Messick hit the over on pitcher ks 4.5?
Parker Messick hits the over on pitcher ks 4.5 72.2% of the time in 2026, going 13-5 with an average actual of 6.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$216.
How often does Parker Messick hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Parker Messick hits the over on earned runs 2.5 41.7% of the time in 2026, going 5-7 with an average actual of 2.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$92.
How often does Parker Messick hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Parker Messick hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 57.1% of the time in 2026, going 8-6 with an average actual of 4.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$105.
How often does Parker Messick hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Parker Messick hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 62.5% of the time in 2026, going 10-6 with an average actual of 1.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$102.
How often does Parker Messick hit the over on outs recorded 17.5?
Parker Messick hits the over on outs recorded 17.5 38.5% of the time in 2026, going 5-8 with an average actual of 18.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$365.
What are Parker Messick's best prop bets in 2026?
Parker Messick's highest-hitting props in 2026: Pitcher Ks O 4.5 at 72.2% (13-5); Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 62.5% (10-6); Hits Allowed O 4.5 at 57.1% (8-6).
Inside Edge